在资金流入激增的情况下，比特币准备进行关键数据测试

投资者应考虑美国经济数据，包括即将发布的 2024 年第一季度 GDP 数据，这些数据可能会通过 BTC 现货 ETF 市场影响比特币的表现。预计美国经济将在 2024 年第一季度增长 2.5%，这可能会影响美联储的利率路径，并影响 BTC 流入和价格趋势。

Bitcoin Faces Key Economic Data as Inflow Momentum Persists

随着资金流入势头持续，比特币面临关键经济数据

Despite the recent surge in Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows, investors must remain vigilant of upcoming US economic data, particularly the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers for the first quarter of 2024, scheduled for release later today.

尽管近期比特币现货交易所交易基金（ETF）流入量激增，但投资者必须对即将发布的美国经济数据保持警惕，特别是定于今天晚些时候发布的 2024 年第一季度国内生产总值（GDP）数据。

A stronger-than-anticipated US economy could dampen investor expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September, potentially impacting Bitcoin-spot ETF inflow trends and the cryptocurrency's price. Economists project US GDP growth to moderate to 2.5% in Q1 2024 after expanding by 3.4% in Q4 2023.

强于预期的美国经济可能会削弱投资者对美联储 (Fed) 9 月降息的预期，从而可能影响比特币现货 ETF 流入趋势和加密货币的价格。经济学家预计，美国 GDP 增速在 2023 年第四季度增长 3.4% 后，2024 年第一季度将放缓至 2.5%。

Technical Analysis: Near-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish Signals

技术分析：近期看跌、长期看涨信号

Technically, Bitcoin remains below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) but holds above the 200-day EMA. These indicators suggest bearish short-term but bullish long-term price signals.

从技术上讲，比特币仍低于 50 日指数移动平均线 (EMA)，但高于 200 日指数移动平均线。这些指标表明短期看跌但长期看涨的价格信号。

A breakout above the 50-day EMA would bolster momentum towards the $69,000 resistance level, potentially triggering a surge to $70,000. Conversely, a decline below the $64,000 support level could expose Bitcoin to further downside pressure towards the $60,365 support zone.

突破 50 日均线将增强迈向 69,000 美元阻力位的势头，可能引发价格飙升至 70,000 美元。相反，跌破 64,000 美元支撑位可能会使比特币面临进一步下行压力，朝向 60,365 美元支撑位。

Investor Considerations: Data and Support Levels

投资者考虑因素：数据和支持水平

On Thursday, investors should closely monitor the US GDP numbers and Bitcoin-spot ETF flow data. A more hawkish Fed stance or weaker economic indicators could impact sentiment and potentially halt the current inflow momentum.

周四，投资者应密切关注美国 GDP 数据和比特币现货 ETF 流量数据。美联储立场更加鹰派或经济指标走弱可能会影响市场情绪，并可能阻止当前的资金流入势头。

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 45.73, indicating that Bitcoin has room to fall further before entering oversold territory. However, the $60,365 support level provides a crucial buffer against a sharp selloff.

14天相对强弱指数（RSI）目前为45.73，表明比特币在进入超卖区域之前还有进一步下跌的空间。然而，60,365 美元的支撑位为应对急剧抛售提供了重要的缓冲。

Conclusion: Vigilance Required Amid Market Dynamics

结论：市场动态需保持警惕

While Bitcoin's recent inflow streak remains impressive, investors must remain cautious of potential shifts in economic conditions and their impact on the market. The upcoming US GDP data and Bitcoin-spot ETF flow data will be key market movers. Careful monitoring of technical levels and investor sentiment will be essential for navigating the evolving market dynamics.

尽管比特币近期的流入势头仍然令人印象深刻，但投资者必须对经济状况的潜在变化及其对市场的影响保持谨慎。即将发布的美国 GDP 数据和比特币现货 ETF 流量数据将成为市场的关键推动者。仔细监控技术水平和投资者情绪对于驾驭不断变化的市场动态至关重要。