Stock-to-Flow模型的创建者预测比特币将大幅上涨

Stock-2-Flow 模型的创建者、著名分析师 PlanB 预测比特币的价值将大幅飙升，声称其将保持在 60,000 美元以上，并有可能飙升至超过 200,000 美元的前所未有的水平。 PlanB 的分析将比特币的价格与其算力和减半事件联系起来，减半事件减少了新硬币的供应，并在历史上引发了大幅的价格上涨。

Bitcoin Poised for Significant Surge, Predicts Stock-to-Flow Model Creator

Stock-to-Flow模型创建者预测比特币将大幅上涨

Renowned crypto analyst PlanB, the mastermind behind the widely acclaimed Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, has issued a bold prediction for Bitcoin's future trajectory. In a recent interview, he unequivocally asserted that the leading cryptocurrency is poised for a substantial upswing, with a strong likelihood of never dipping below $60,000 again.

著名加密货币分析师 PlanB、广受好评的 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型背后的策划者，对比特币的未来轨迹做出了大胆的预测。在最近的一次采访中，他明确断言，领先的加密货币即将大幅上涨，很有可能永远不会再次跌破 60,000 美元。

PlanB's prediction is predicated on a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin's hashrate and its correlation with its value. He contends that this relationship has consistently propelled Bitcoin's upward path, as evidenced by his insightful chart. This correlation serves as a cornerstone of his bullish outlook for the digital asset.

PlanB 的预测基于对比特币算力及其与其价值相关性的全面分析。他认为，这种关系一直推动比特币的上涨，正如他富有洞察力的图表所证明的那样。这种相关性是他对数字资产看涨前景的基石。

Leveraging the S2F model, PlanB forecasts that Bitcoin's price could ascend to unprecedented heights, potentially exceeding $200,000 and even reaching as high as $500,000. The S2F model compares the current supply of Bitcoin to the rate at which new coins enter circulation. It has proven to be a remarkably accurate predictor of Bitcoin's price movements, particularly during halving events.

利用S2F模型，PlanB预测比特币的价格可能会升至前所未有的高度，有可能超过20万美元，甚至高达50万美元。 S2F 模型将比特币的当前供应量与新币进入流通的速度进行比较。事实证明，它可以非常准确地预测比特币的价格走势，尤其是在减半事件期间。

These pivotal events, which occur approximately every four years, effectively reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are mined, subsequently diminishing the supply. Historically, these halvings have triggered significant price rallies. PlanB's analysis underscores the profound connection between Bitcoin and the S2F model, especially in the lead-up to a halving. The transition from "blue to red" dots in the model signifies a shift into a bullish market phase, indicating the potential for substantial price appreciation.

这些关键事件大约每四年发生一次，有效降低了新比特币的开采速度，从而减少了供应。从历史上看，这些减半引发了价格的大幅上涨。 PlanB 的分析强调了比特币和 S2F 模型之间的深刻联系，尤其是在减半之前。模型中从“蓝点到红点”的转变意味着市场进入看涨阶段，表明价格有可能大幅上涨。

While acknowledging the possibility of short-term volatility, with potential dips of 20-30%, PlanB remains unwavering in his optimism about Bitcoin's long-term trajectory. He suggests that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 within the current year, with further upside potential in the years to come. However, analysts caution that the peak may not occur until 2025, emphasizing the importance of patience and a long-term perspective for investors.

尽管承认短期波动的可能性（可能下跌 20-30%），PlanB 对比特币长期轨迹的乐观态度仍然坚定不移。他表示，比特币今年可能会达到 10 万美元，并且在未来几年还有进一步的上涨潜力。不过，分析师警告称，峰值可能要到 2025 年才会出现，并强调投资者保持耐心和长远眼光的重要性。

Beyond PlanB's analysis, there are compelling reasons for investors to consider Bitcoin as an asset class. The recent approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States is expected to drive a surge in cash inflow into the cryptocurrency market in the coming years.

除了 PlanB 的分析之外，投资者还有令人信服的理由将比特币视为一种资产类别。美国最近批准了 11 只现货比特币 ETF，预计将推动未来几年流入加密货币市场的现金流激增。

Furthermore, with the fourth Bitcoin halving event less than 20 days away, the annual inflation rate for the digital asset will be reduced to less than 1 percent. Additionally, the US Federal Reserve has signaled several interest rate cuts this year following the easing of inflation without major unemployment cases.

此外，距离第四次比特币减半事件还有不到20天的时间，数字资产的年通胀率将降至1%以下。此外，在通胀有所缓解且没有出现重大失业情况的情况下，美联储今年已暗示将多次降息。

PlanB's prediction and the broader market dynamics paint a compelling picture for Bitcoin's potential. While short-term fluctuations may occur, the long-term prospects for the leading cryptocurrency remain overwhelmingly bullish, supported by strong fundamentals and a growing institutional interest. Investors are advised to exercise caution, but also to recognize the potential for substantial returns in the years to come.

PlanB 的预测和更广泛的市场动态为比特币的潜力描绘了一幅引人注目的图景。尽管可能会出现短期波动，但在强劲的基本面和不断增长的机构兴趣的支持下，领先的加密货币的长期前景仍然极其乐观。建议投资者谨慎行事，但也要认识到未来几年获得丰厚回报的潜力。