Stock-to-Flow模型的創建者預測比特幣將大幅上漲

Stock-2-Flow 模型的創建者、著名分析師 PlanB 預測比特幣的價值將大幅飆升，聲稱將保持在 60,000 美元以上，並有可能飆升至超過 200,000 美元的前所未有的水平。 PlanB 的分析將比特幣的價格與其算力和減半事件聯繫起來，減半事件減少了新硬幣的供應，並在歷史上引發了大幅的價格上漲。

Bitcoin Poised for Significant Surge, Predicts Stock-to-Flow Model Creator

Stock-to-Flow模型創建者預測比特幣將大幅上漲

Renowned crypto analyst PlanB, the mastermind behind the widely acclaimed Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, has issued a bold prediction for Bitcoin's future trajectory. In a recent interview, he unequivocally asserted that the leading cryptocurrency is poised for a substantial upswing, with a strong likelihood of never dipping below $60,000 again.

著名加密貨幣分析師 PlanB、廣受好評的 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型背後的策劃者，對比特幣的未來軌跡做出了大膽的預測。在最近的一次採訪中，他明確斷言，領先的加密貨幣即將大幅上漲，很有可能永遠不會再跌破 6 萬美元。

PlanB's prediction is predicated on a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin's hashrate and its correlation with its value. He contends that this relationship has consistently propelled Bitcoin's upward path, as evidenced by his insightful chart. This correlation serves as a cornerstone of his bullish outlook for the digital asset.

PlanB 的預測是基於對比特幣算力及其與其價值相關性的全面分析。他認為，這種關係一直推動比特幣的上漲，正如他富有洞察力的圖表所證明的那樣。這種相關性是他對數位資產看漲前景的基石。

Leveraging the S2F model, PlanB forecasts that Bitcoin's price could ascend to unprecedented heights, potentially exceeding $200,000 and even reaching as high as $500,000. The S2F model compares the current supply of Bitcoin to the rate at which new coins enter circulation. It has proven to be a remarkably accurate predictor of Bitcoin's price movements, particularly during halving events.

利用S2F模型，PlanB預測比特幣的價格可能會升至前所未有的高度，有可能超過20萬美元，甚至高達50萬美元。 S2F 模型將比特幣的當前供應量與新幣進入流通的速度進行比較。事實證明，它可以非常準確地預測比特幣的價格走勢，尤其是在減半事件期間。

These pivotal events, which occur approximately every four years, effectively reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are mined, subsequently diminishing the supply. Historically, these halvings have triggered significant price rallies. PlanB's analysis underscores the profound connection between Bitcoin and the S2F model, especially in the lead-up to a halving. The transition from "blue to red" dots in the model signifies a shift into a bullish market phase, indicating the potential for substantial price appreciation.

這些關鍵事件大約每四年發生一次，有效降低了新比特幣的開採速度，從而減少了供應。從歷史上看，這些減半引發了價格的大幅上漲。 PlanB 的分析強調了比特幣和 S2F 模型之間的深刻聯繫，尤其是在減半之前。模型中從「藍點到紅點」的轉變意味著市場進入看漲階段，顯示價格有可能大幅上漲。

While acknowledging the possibility of short-term volatility, with potential dips of 20-30%, PlanB remains unwavering in his optimism about Bitcoin's long-term trajectory. He suggests that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 within the current year, with further upside potential in the years to come. However, analysts caution that the peak may not occur until 2025, emphasizing the importance of patience and a long-term perspective for investors.

儘管承認短期波動的可能性（可能下跌 20-30%），PlanB 對比特幣長期軌蹟的樂觀態度仍然堅定不移。他表示，比特幣今年可能達到 10 萬美元，未來幾年還有進一步的上漲潛力。不過，分析師警告稱，高峰可能要到 2025 年才會出現，並強調投資者保持耐心和長遠眼光的重要性。

Beyond PlanB's analysis, there are compelling reasons for investors to consider Bitcoin as an asset class. The recent approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States is expected to drive a surge in cash inflow into the cryptocurrency market in the coming years.

除了 PlanB 的分析之外，投資者還有令人信服的理由將比特幣視為資產類別。美國最近批准了 11 隻現貨比特幣 ETF，預計將推動未來幾年流入加密貨幣市場的現金流激增。

Furthermore, with the fourth Bitcoin halving event less than 20 days away, the annual inflation rate for the digital asset will be reduced to less than 1 percent. Additionally, the US Federal Reserve has signaled several interest rate cuts this year following the easing of inflation without major unemployment cases.

此外，距離第四次比特幣減半事件還有不到20天的時間，數位資產的年通膨率將降至1%以下。此外，在通膨有所緩解且沒有出現重大失業情況的情況下，聯準會今年已暗示將多次降息。

PlanB's prediction and the broader market dynamics paint a compelling picture for Bitcoin's potential. While short-term fluctuations may occur, the long-term prospects for the leading cryptocurrency remain overwhelmingly bullish, supported by strong fundamentals and a growing institutional interest. Investors are advised to exercise caution, but also to recognize the potential for substantial returns in the years to come.

PlanB 的預測和更廣泛的市場動態為比特幣的潛力描繪了一幅引人注目的圖景。儘管可能會出現短期波動，但在強勁的基本面和不斷增長的機構興趣的支持下，領先的加密貨幣的長期前景仍然極其樂觀。建議投資者謹慎行事，但也要認識到未來幾年獲得豐厚回報的潛力。