比特币有望连续第七个月上涨，创造历史

比特币（BTC）有望实现连续第七个月价格上涨，这是加密货币的历史性里程碑。如果 BTC 在 3 月底前保持在 61,130 美元上方，这将标志着历史上首次连续七个月上涨。这种看涨趋势遵循 2020 年 10 月至 2021 年 3 月的模式，当时 BTC 飙升 445%，然后经历 40% 的回调。尽管历史上在减半前面临调整，但由于现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的流入支撑了其价格，比特币的前景仍然乐观。

Bitcoin (BTC), the world's leading cryptocurrency, is poised to achieve a historic milestone by potentially securing its seventh consecutive monthly increase in value, a feat it has never accomplished before.

比特币（BTC）是世界领先的加密货币，有望实现一个历史性的里程碑，有望实现连续第七个月的价值增长，这是它以前从未实现过的壮举。

As of March 29, 2023, Bitcoin's price stands at $63,878, well above its closing price of $61,130 in February. Should it maintain this level or exceed it by the end of March, Bitcoin will etch its name in history as the first cryptocurrency to achieve seven consecutive months of green candles on its monthly price chart.

截至 2023 年 3 月 29 日，比特币的价格为 63,878 美元，远高于 2 月份的收盘价 61,130 美元。如果比特币能在 3 月底保持这一水平或超过这一水平，那么比特币将作为第一个在月度价格图表上连续七个月实现绿色蜡烛的加密货币而载入史册。

The significance of this achievement cannot be overstated. The last time Bitcoin experienced a similar rally was between October 2020 and March 2021, when its price surged an impressive 445% from $10,781 to $58,783. That rally was followed by a 40% correction over the subsequent three months.

这一成就的重要性怎么强调都不为过。比特币上一次经历类似的上涨是在 2020 年 10 月至 2021 年 3 月期间，当时其价格从 10,781 美元飙升至 58,783 美元，飙升了 445%。此次反弹之后，接下来的三个月内出现了 40% 的回调。

However, experts believe that the current market conditions are different due to the influx of capital from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Matthijs de Vries, founder of AllianceBlock, told Cointelegraph, "The constant inflow into the spot Bitcoin ETF will serve as a major boost to drive price growth in the coming days. With the BTC halving cycle also closing in, the bullish sentiment will be complemented overall."

然而，专家认为，由于现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的资金涌入，当前的市场状况有所不同。 AllianceBlock 创始人 Matthijs de Vries 告诉 Cointelegraph，“比特币现货 ETF 的持续流入将成为未来几天推动价格上涨的主要推动力。随着 BTC 减半周期的临近，看涨情绪将得到补充全面的。”

This sentiment is echoed by various analysts. Willy Woo, a Bitcoin analyst and managing partner at CMCC Crest, highlighted that despite the recent sell-off by spot Bitcoin ETFs, retail investors are actively buying the dip. "ETF investors showing they're noob," Woo tweeted. "On the first dip, ETFs did $1.6b of outflows while the Bitcoin network received $1.1b of total net flows. This means plenty of self-custody investors bought the dip."

这种观点得到了多位分析师的赞同。 CMCC Crest 的比特币分析师兼管理合伙人 Willy Woo 强调，尽管近期比特币 ETF 现货遭到抛售，但散户投资者仍在积极逢低买入。吴在推特上写道：“ETF 投资者表现出他们是菜鸟。” “在第一次下跌时，ETF 流出了 1.6 亿美元，而比特币网络则收到了 1.1 亿美元的总净流量。这意味着大量自我托管投资者在下跌时买入。”

Despite the optimism surrounding Bitcoin's price performance, it is important to note that historical data suggests the possibility of a pre-halving correction. Rekt Capital, a renowned crypto analyst, cautioned in a recent tweet that Bitcoin remains in the "Danger Zone" where historical pre-halving retraces occur.

尽管人们对比特币的价格表现持乐观态度，但值得注意的是，历史数据表明存在减半前修正的可能性。著名加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 在最近的一条推文中警告称，比特币仍处于历史减半前回调发生的“危险区域”。

However, while the potential for a correction exists, the overall market sentiment remains bullish. Matthijs de Vries predicts that Bitcoin could reach $74,000 by the end of the first quarter.

然而，尽管存在回调的可能性，但整体市场情绪仍然看涨。 Matthijs de Vries 预测，到第一季度末，比特币价格可能达到 74,000 美元。

It is crucial to emphasize that this article does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own thorough research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.

需要强调的是，本文不构成财务建议。投资者在做出任何投资决定之前应进行彻底的研究并进行尽职调查。