全球市场面临不确定性，比特币暴跌

今天主要市场都出现亏损，包括比特币。比特币价格已跌至 13,184 美元左右，发出看跌信号。过去一个月，以太坊期权交易员表现出对看涨期权而非看跌期权的偏好，这表明人们对加密货币的看涨情绪。比特币价格下跌的原因是投资者出于对全球经济和美国总统大选不确定性的担忧而抛售高风险资产。

Bitcoin Takes a Hit as Global Markets Reel from Uncertainty

全球市场因不确定性而受到打击，比特币受到打击

Amidst a sea of red in major markets, Bitcoin has taken a tumble, losing 3.6% over the past 24 hours to hover around $13,184 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). This setback comes as investors shed riskier assets, with global equities and risk assets alike suffering losses.

在主要市场的一片红海中，比特币遭遇重挫，截至 UTC 时间 20:00（美国东部时间下午 4 点），过去 24 小时内下跌 3.6%，徘徊在 13,184 美元附近。这一挫折发生之际，投资者正在抛售风险较高的资产，全球股市和风险资产都遭受损失。

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Bitcoin remains below its 10-day and 50-day moving averages, a technical indicator often viewed as a sign of weakness. The price dip began on Wednesday, reaching a low of $12,894 around 14:00 UTC (10 a.m. ET), but has since recovered slightly.

比特币仍低于 10 日和 50 日移动均线，这一技术指标通常被视为疲软的迹象，加剧了看跌情绪。价格从周三开始下跌，在 UTC 时间 14:00（美国东部时间上午 10 点）左右触及 12,894 美元的低点，但此后略有回升。

Katie Stockton, technical analyst at Fairlead Strategies, attributes the decline to a "risk-off" day, where investors sought to reduce exposure to assets perceived as higher risk, including cryptocurrencies. "Bitcoin is seeing a retracement of its strong up move as risk assets trade off sharply," she explained.

Fairlead Strategies 的技术分析师凯蒂·斯托克顿 (Katie Stockton) 将下跌归因于“避险”日，投资者寻求减少被视为风险较高的资产（包括加密货币）的敞口。她解释说：“随着风险资产大幅下跌，比特币的强劲上涨势头正在回撤。”

The Nikkei 225 in Asia closed with a 0.30% loss, weighed down by rising coronavirus infections and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election. The FTSE 100 in Europe ended the day 2.5% lower as new lockdown restrictions sparked sell-offs. In the United States, the S&P 500 fell 2.9% as concerns over the global economic outlook intensified amid rising coronavirus cases worldwide.

受冠状病毒感染上升和美国总统大选不确定性的拖累，亚洲日经 225 指数收盘下跌 0.30%。由于新的封锁限制引发抛售，欧洲富时 100 指数当天收盘下跌 2.5%。在美国，由于全球冠状病毒病例不断增加，对全球经济前景的担忧加剧，标准普尔 500 指数下跌 2.9%。

Despite the current setback, Stockton maintains a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. She believes that despite the recent correction, the cryptocurrency still has a strong chance of surpassing its 2019 price high. "The recent breakout above the August high lends a bullish intermediate-term bias," she said. "Uncertainty is taking its toll on the markets, but we think it will be short-lived."

尽管目前遭遇挫折，斯托克顿仍对比特币保持看涨前景。她认为，尽管最近出现了调整，但加密货币仍有很大机会超越 2019 年的价格高点。 “最近突破八月高点带来了看涨的中期偏见，”她说。 “不确定性正在对市场造成影响，但我们认为这将是短暂的。”

Neil Van Huis, director of institutional trading at Blockfills, highlights the significant drop in Bitcoin's mining hashrate, a measure of computing power used to mine Bitcoin, to levels not seen since June. This decline, primarily due to older, inefficient machines being turned off, presents an opportunity for investment in newer mining rigs. "This is good for mining companies," Van Huis said. "It also comes at a time when prices are rising. With that comes more investment into the space like JPMorgan and PayPal. That should, in my opinion, keep prices bullish, especially now that we cleared that $12,000-$12,500 hurdle for a bit."

Blockfills 机构交易总监 Neil Van Huis 强调，比特币的挖矿哈希率（衡量比特币挖矿计算能力的指标）大幅下降至 6 月份以来的最高水平。这种下降主要是由于旧的、低效的机器被关闭，这为投资新的采矿设备提供了机会。 “这对矿业公司来说是件好事，”范休斯说。 “这也是在价格上涨的时候发生的。随之而来的是对摩根大通和贝宝等领域的更多投资。在我看来，这应该会保持价格看涨，特别是现在我们暂时清除了 12,000 美元至 12,500 美元的障碍。 ”

In the futures market, institutional interest on CME remains strong, with open interest surpassing $800 million on Tuesday. "Futures contracts trading at a premium to spot prices even as the October CME expiry is fast approaching this Friday," noted Denis Vinokourov, head of research at Bequant.

在期货市场，机构对 CME 的兴趣依然强劲，周二未平仓合约超过 8 亿美元。 Bequant 研究主管丹尼斯·维诺库罗夫 (Denis Vinokourov) 表示：“尽管 CME 10 月合约即将于本周五到期，但期货合约的交易价格仍高于现货价格。”

Guy Hirsch, U.S. managing director at eToro, views the current market volatility as a positive factor for Bitcoin. "The election outcome might produce a shift from a pro-business administration into an administration that is much more skeptical about free markets" just as COVID-19 cases hit record levels, he said. "We could be in for a long winter that may see bitcoin potentially challenge its previous record high set back in 2017."

eToro 美国董事总经理 Guy Hirsch 认为当前的市场波动对比特币来说是一个积极因素。他说，“选举结果可能会导致政府从支持商业的政府转变为对自由市场更加持怀疑态度的政府”，就像 COVID-19 病例达到创纪录水平一样。 “我们可能会经历一个漫长的冬天，比特币可能会挑战 2017 年创下的历史新高。”

Ether Options Skew Towards Calls

以太坊期权偏向看涨期权

Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has also experienced a slight decline on Wednesday, currently trading around $384 and seeing a 5.6% loss over the past 24 hours as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).

按市值计算的第二大加密货币以太币在周三也经历了小幅下跌，目前交易价格约为 384 美元，截至 UTC 时间 20:00（美国东部时间下午 4:00）在过去 24 小时内下跌了 5.6%。

The ether options market has exhibited a preference for calls over puts in recent times. On Deribit, the largest ether options venue, 55% of trades have been calls compared to 44% puts over the past month, according to Genesis Volatility.

近来，以太坊期权市场表现出对看涨期权而非看跌期权的偏好。根据 Genesis Volatility 的数据，在最大的以太坊期权交易平台 Deribit 上，过去一个月 55% 的交易为看涨期权，而看跌期权交易为 44%。

While this trend does not necessarily indicate a clear price direction for ether, it suggests where liquidity is concentrated. "Seeing more activity on the call side indicates that the call legs have the most liquidity and active participation," said Greg Magadini, CEO of Genesis Volatility. "This is useful for traders to know when structuring less liquid multi-legged trades."

虽然这种趋势并不一定表明以太币的明确价格方向，但它表明流动性集中在哪里。 Genesis Volatility 首席执行官格雷格·马加迪尼 (Greg Magadini) 表示：“看涨期权方面的活动增多，表明看涨期权具有最多的流动性和积极的参与。” “这对于交易者了解何时构建流动性较低的多腿交易很有用。”

Other Markets

其他市场

Digital assets listed on the CoinDesk 20 generally experienced losses on Wednesday, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) emerging as a notable exception, gaining 2.6%. Other significant losers included 0x (-8.3%), Chainlink (-5.9%), and Orchid (-5.7%).

周三，CoinDesk 20 上市的数字资产普遍下跌，比特币现金 (BCH) 成为一个明显的例外，上涨 2.6%。其他大幅下跌的公司包括 0x (-8.3%)、Chainlink (-5.9%) 和 Orchid (-5.7%)。

In commodities, oil prices fell 4.3%, with the price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude dropping to $37.26. Gold also dipped by 1.6% to $1,877 as of press time.

大宗商品方面，油价下跌 4.3%，西德克萨斯中质原油每桶价格跌至 37.26 美元。截至发稿时，黄金也下跌 1.6% 至 1,877 美元。

U.S. Treasury bond yields displayed a mixed performance, remaining nearly flat overall. The 10-year bond yield rose the most, climbing by 0.44% to 0.773.

美国国债收益率表现参差不齐，总体基本持平。 10年期国债收益率涨幅最大，上涨0.44%至0.773。