比特币在经济低迷中暴跌，市场情绪暴跌

在市场情绪低迷的情况下，比特币的价格已跌破 6 万美元，跌至 5.91 万美元的低点。尽管略有复苏，但市场仍然保持谨慎，与近期的历史高点相比，比特币面临着重大损失。 4 月份加密货币市场出现了更广泛的下跌，以太坊下跌了 18%，规模较小的加密货币遭受的损失更大。分析师将经济低迷归因于季节性因素和对利率上升的担忧，一些分析师修正了对比特币未来前景的看涨立场。

Bitcoin's Descent: Market Sentiment Plummets Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

比特币的下跌：全球经济不确定性下市场情绪暴跌

Bitcoin's price has plunged below the $60,000 mark, continuing a downward trend over the past five days that has pushed the cryptocurrency to a low of $59.1K. Despite a slight recovery to $59,500 levels, sentiment remains bearish, a far cry from Bitcoin's all-time high of $73,757 reached over six weeks ago.

比特币的价格已跌破 60,000 美元大关，在过去五天里继续下跌趋势，将加密货币推低至 59,100 美元的低点。尽管比特币小幅回升至 59,500 美元的水平，但市场情绪仍然看跌，与六周前达到的 73,757 美元的历史高点相去甚远。

Red April in the Crypto Market

加密货币市场的红色四月

The crypto market has experienced a bloodbath in April, with Ether dropping by 18% and Bitcoin losing more than 16% of its value. Smaller cryptocurrencies have suffered even more, with Dogecoin and altcoins losing over a third of their market capitalization.

加密市场在 4 月份经历了一场血洗，以太币下跌了 18%，比特币损失了超过 16% 的价值。较小的加密货币遭受的损失更大，狗狗币和山寨币损失了超过三分之一的市值。

K33 Research has pointed to seasonal influences, such as decreased interest during the summer months, as potential factors contributing to the lower prices.

K33 Research 指出季节性影响（例如夏季兴趣下降）是导致价格下跌的潜在因素。

Mass Liquidations and Negative Sentiment

大规模清算和负面情绪

In the past 24 hours alone, approximately 134,420 traders were liquidated, resulting in total liquidations worth $432.47 million. The largest single liquidation order, valued at $6.07 million, occurred on the OKX – ETH-USDT-SWAP exchange.

仅在过去 24 小时内，就有约 134,420 名交易者被清算，清算总额达 4.3247 亿美元。最大单笔清算订单价值 607 万美元，发生在 OKX – ETH-USDT-SWAP 交易所。

Analysts attribute the recent decline in Bitcoin's popularity to its failure to capitalize on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

分析师将比特币最近受欢迎程度的下降归因于其未能利用中东地缘政治紧张局势。

Pessimistic Forecasts from Market Experts

市场专家的悲观预测

Chart analyst Peter Brandt has revised his previously bullish stance on Bitcoin, suggesting that the upward trend may have reached its peak. This starkly contrasts with his February forecast, which predicted prices could soar to $200,000 during a bullish cycle lasting until September 2025.

图表分析师 Peter Brandt 修正了之前对比特币的看涨立场，表明上涨趋势可能已达到顶峰。这与他 2 月份的预测形成鲜明对比，该预测预计在持续到 2025 年 9 月的看涨周期中，价格可能飙升至 20 万美元。

Brandt's latest analysis relies on the concept of exponential decay, which assumes a continuous decline in value at a constant rate over time. This view aligns with growing concerns among investors about a potential global recession due to the U.S. Federal Reserve's likely decision to maintain interest rates above 5%.

布兰特的最新分析依赖于指数衰减的概念，该概念假设价值随着时间的推移以恒定的速度持续下降。这一观点与投资者对美联储可能决定将利率维持在 5% 以上可能导致全球经济衰退的日益担忧不谋而合。

Bulls and Bears Clash on Outlook

多头和空头在前景上发生冲突

Optimists in the Bitcoin market argue that central bank intervention will either trigger a global recession or exacerbate inflation in the second half of 2024. However, even if this hypothesis holds true, the earnings potential of S&P 500 companies and the $6.9 trillion in assets held by non-banking corporations may make them more attractive hedges against fiat currencies.

比特币市场的乐观主义者认为，央行干预要么引发全球经济衰退，要么加剧 20​​24 年下半年的通胀。然而，即使这一假设成立，标普 500 指数公司的盈利潜力以及其持有的 6.9 万亿美元资产非银行企业可能会使它们对法定货币更具吸引力。

Stocks, too, compete for a share of reserve assets, potentially trading at premiums to historical multiples. Additionally, the U.S. Treasury Department's reinstatement of its debt repurchase program on May 1, for the first time in over 20 years, aims to maintain liquidity, a crucial factor since Japan's recent intervention to support its foreign currency rate.

股票也在争夺储备资产的份额，其交易价格可能高于历史倍数。此外，美国财政部20多年来首次于5月1日恢复债务回购计划，旨在维持流动性，这是自日本最近干预支持其外汇汇率以来的一个关键因素。

As a result, investors remain skeptical about Bitcoin's long-term price trajectory amidst the deteriorating macroeconomic environment.

因此，在宏观经济环境恶化的情况下，投资者仍然对比特币的长期价格轨迹持怀疑态度。

Conclusion

结论

Bitcoin's recent price decline and the broader market sentiment reflect concerns about rising interest rates, potential recession, and geopolitical uncertainty. While bulls maintain optimism, bears are in control in the short term, leading to substantial liquidations and a bearish outlook. Investors should carefully weigh the risks and potential rewards before making any investment decisions in the volatile crypto market.

比特币最近的价格下跌和更广泛的市场情绪反映了对利率上升、潜在衰退和地缘政治不确定性的担忧。虽然多头保持乐观，但空头在短期内占据主导地位，导致大量平仓和看跌前景。在波动的加密货币市场做出任何投资决定之前，投资者应仔细权衡风险和潜在回报。