比特币在欧洲早盘跌至 6.88 万美元后，收复失地，重返 7 万美元

本文最初发表于 CoinDesk 的每日新闻通讯 First Mover，介绍了加密货币市场的最新动态。

output: First Mover Americas: Bitcoin Pares Losses Following Thursday's Slump

产出：美洲先行者：比特币在周四暴跌后减少了损失

The latest price moves in crypto markets in context for Nov. 1, 2024.

2024 年 11 月 1 日加密货币市场的最新价格走势。

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This article originally appeared in First Mover, CoinDesk’s daily newsletter, putting the latest moves in crypto markets in context. Subscribe to get it in your inbox every day.

本文最初发表于 CoinDesk 的每日新闻通讯 First Mover，介绍了加密货币市场的最新动态。订阅即可每天将其发送到您的收件箱中。

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Uptober Forming Amid Rising Stablecoin Liquidity, Bitcoin Transactions

Uptober 在稳定币流动性和比特币交易不断上升的情况下形成

CoinDesk 20 Index: 2,062.17 -3.66%

CoinDesk 20 指数：2,062.17 -3.66%

Bitcoin (BTC): $70,079.42 -3.1%

比特币（BTC）：70,079.42 美元 -3.1%

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Bitcoin pared some of its losses, returning to $70,000 during the European morning after falling as low as $68,800. Still, BTC remained about 3% lower in the last 24 hours. Altcoins suffered greater losses, with the CoinDesk 20 Index's measurement of the broader crypto market down over 3.5%. Explanations for the slide range from profit-taking following the rally earlier in the week to a dip in Donald Trump's election victory odds on Polymarket. Traders have also been looking at tech earnings, tensions between Iran and Israel and a sharp rise in U.K. gilt yields following the roll-out of the government budget earlier this week, Quinn Thompson, founder of crypto hedge fund Lekker Capital, told CoinDesk.

比特币收复部分失地，在欧洲早盘跌至 68,800 美元后重返 70,000 美元。尽管如此，BTC 在过去 24 小时内仍下跌约 3%。山寨币遭受了更大的损失，衡量更广泛加密货币市场的 CoinDesk 20 指数下跌了 3.5% 以上。造成这种下滑的原因包括本周早些时候股市上涨后的获利了结以及 Polymarket 上唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 当选获胜几率的下降。加密货币对冲基金 Lekker Capital 创始人 Quinn Thompson 告诉 CoinDesk，交易员还一直在关注科技收益、伊朗和以色列之间的紧张关系，以及本周早些时候政府预算推出后英国国债收益率的大幅上涨。

Short-term holders of bitcoin sent more than 2.3 billion, some 32,000 BTC, to exchanges at a loss on Thursday as the price dropped below $70,000 after approaching an all-time high earlier this week. The panic selling was the most since Aug. 5's yen carry trade unwind. Short-term holders — investors who have held bitcoin for less than 155 days — tend to panic and sell when the price drops, and buy when there is euphoria or greed in the market. In total, they sent over 54,000 BTC to exchanges on Thursday, the highest amount since Mar. 27.

周四，比特币的短期持有者向交易所亏本发送了超过 23 亿枚比特币（约 32,000 个比特币），因为比特币价格在本周早些时候触及历史高点后跌破 70,000 美元。恐慌性抛售是自 8 月 5 日日元套利交易平仓以来最严重的一次。短期持有者——持有比特币少于 155 天的投资者——往往会在价格下跌时感到恐慌并卖出，而在市场出现兴奋或贪婪时买入。周四，他们总共向交易所发送了超过 54,000 个 BTC，这是自 3 月 27 日以来的最高金额。

The odds on Kamala Harris winning next week's U.S. presidential election are rising on betting platform Polymarket, with some observers suggesting the increase reflects hedging positions among traders who've also bet on a victory for Donald Trump. Harris’ odds have risen to almost 39% from 33% on Oct. 30. Trump's odds dropped in tandem, suggestive of lower expectations of him winning, though at 61%, he's still the preferred candidate. The increase in the price for Harris’ shares could reflect traders buying them as a hedge on their Trump bets, market observers say, as some allege reports of voting irregularities pitted against Trump that could influence market bets.

在博彩平台Polymarket上，卡马拉·哈里斯赢得下周美国总统大选的赔率正在上升，一些观察人士认为，这一上升反映了也押注唐纳德·特朗普获胜的交易员的对冲头寸。哈里斯的胜算已从 10 月 30 日的 33% 上升至近 39%。特朗普的胜算也随之下降，表明人们对他获胜的预期较低，尽管他仍是首选候选人（61%）。市场观察人士表示，哈里斯股票价格的上涨可能反映出交易员购买这些股票是为了对冲特朗普的押注，因为一些人声称有关投票违规行为的报道可能会影响市场押注。

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