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随着比特币减半临近,市场依然看涨,交易员逢低获利,数字投资产品出现大量资金流入。链上分析表明,现货比特币交易所交易基金持续流入,尽管减半后可能出现波动,但分析师仍维持长期看涨前景。对包括比特币在内的顶级加密货币的技术分析显示,价格走势各不相同,其中一些有望进一步上涨,而另一些则面临阻力位。
Bitcoin Nears Halving with Bullish Sentiment and Record Inflows
比特币接近减半,看涨情绪和创纪录的资金流入
With less than 11 days remaining until the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event, the cryptocurrency market exudes confidence, and traders appear undeterred by temporary price dips. According to data from CoinShares, digital investment products witnessed a remarkable $646 million influx last week, bringing the year-to-date inflows to an astounding $13.8 billion. This figure significantly surpasses the $10.6 billion recorded in 2021, underscoring the sustained interest in Bitcoin.
距离备受期待的比特币减半事件还剩不到 11 天,加密货币市场充满信心,交易者似乎并没有被暂时的价格下跌吓倒。根据 CoinShares 的数据,数字投资产品上周流入了 6.46 亿美元,使年初至今的流入额达到惊人的 138 亿美元。这一数字大大超过了 2021 年记录的 106 亿美元,凸显了人们对比特币的持续兴趣。
Analysts Project Bullish Outlook Despite Unknown Post-Halving Dynamics
尽管减半后的动态未知,但分析师预计前景看涨
On-chain analytics firm Santiment suggests that inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will likely maintain their momentum until the halving event. However, the firm acknowledges that it remains to be seen whether a subsequent decline in ETF volume and on-chain volume will follow.
链上分析公司 Santiment 表示,在减半事件之前,流入现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的势头可能会保持势头。然而,该公司承认,ETF 交易量和链上交易量是否会随之下降还有待观察。
Despite the uncertainty surrounding the immediate post-halving market behavior, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. In an interview with CNBC, Anthony Scaramucci, CEO of SkyBridge Capital, expressed his belief that Bitcoin could reach $170,000 during the current cycle. Scaramucci envisions Bitcoin eventually trading at "half the valuation of gold" but cautions that significant volatility is to be expected along the way.
尽管减半后的市场行为存在不确定性,但分析师仍对比特币的长期前景持乐观态度。 SkyBridge Capital首席执行官安东尼·斯卡拉穆奇(Anthony Scaramucci)在接受CNBC采访时表示,他相信比特币在本周期内可能会达到17万美元。斯卡拉穆奇预计,比特币最终的交易价格将是“黄金估值的一半”,但他警告称,在此过程中预计会出现大幅波动。
Technical Analysis Highlights Key Resistance and Support Levels
技术分析强调关键阻力位和支撑位
S&P 500 Index: The S&P 500 Index has exhibited indecision with outside-day and inside-day candlestick patterns. A break below 5,146 could indicate the start of a corrective phase, while a breakout above 5,265 would resume the uptrend.
S&P 500 指数:S&P 500 指数在日内和日内烛台形态上表现出优柔寡断。跌破 5,146 点可能表明修正阶段的开始,而突破 5,265 点则将恢复上升趋势。
U.S. Dollar Index: The U.S. Dollar Index has encountered resistance at 105, suggesting bearish sentiment. However, the lack of a decline below moving averages indicates some support. Range-bound action is likely between 104 and 105.
美元指数:美元指数在105处遭遇阻力,暗示看跌情绪。然而,未跌破移动平均线表明存在一定支撑。区间波动可能在 104 至 105 之间。
Bitcoin: Bitcoin has broken above a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling bullish momentum. The all-time high of $73,777 poses as a critical resistance. If overcome, the next target is around $84,000.
比特币:比特币已突破对称三角形模式,表明看涨势头。 73,777 美元的历史高点构成了关键阻力。如果克服,下一个目标是 84,000 美元左右。
Ether: Ether is trading within a range between $3,056 and $3,679, with $3,679 acting as a key resistance level. A break above this level could lead to a rally towards $4,488.
以太币:以太币交易价格在 3,056 美元至 3,679 美元之间,其中 3,679 美元是关键阻力位。突破该水平可能会导致反弹至 4,488 美元。
BNB: BNB remains within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a balance between supply and demand. A breakout above the downtrend line could retest the March 16 high at $645.
BNB:BNB保持对称三角形格局,供需平衡。突破下降趋势线可能会重新测试 3 月 16 日的高点 645 美元。
Solana: Solana is struggling to maintain above the 20-day EMA, indicating bearish pressure. A drop below this level could lead to a fall towards $162.
Solana:Solana 正在努力维持在 20 日均线上方,表明看跌压力。跌破该水平可能会导致跌向 162 美元。
XRP: XRP has rebounded after falling below an uptrend line, with buyers pushing the price above moving averages. The pair could swing between $0.56 and $0.69 before attempting a break higher.
XRP:XRP 在跌破上升趋势线后反弹,买家将价格推高至移动平均线之上。在尝试突破更高之前,该货币对可能在 0.56 美元至 0.69 美元之间波动。
Dogecoin: Dogecoin has regained momentum above the 20-day EMA and is targeting $0.23. A break above this level would signal an uptrend resumption.
狗狗币:狗狗币已经恢复到 20 日均线上方的势头,目标价为 0.23 美元。突破该水平将标志着上升趋势的恢复。
Cardano: Cardano has recovered above $0.57 and is facing resistance at the 20-day EMA. A break above this level could lead to a rise towards $0.68.
卡尔达诺:卡尔达诺已恢复至 0.57 美元上方,并在 20 日均线处面临阻力。突破该水平可能导致价格上涨至 0.68 美元。
Toncoin: Toncoin has broken above $5.69, initiating the next leg of the uptrend. The pair aims for $7.09, with support at the 20-day EMA.
Toncoin:Toncoin 已突破 5.69 美元,开启下一阶段的上升趋势。该货币对目标价为 7.09 美元,支撑位于 20 日均线。
Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Trading and investing involve risk, and individuals should conduct thorough research before making any decisions.
免责声明:本文不提供投资建议或建议。交易和投资涉及风险,个人在做出任何决定之前应进行彻底的研究。
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