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隨著比特幣減半臨近,市場依然看漲,交易員逢低獲利,數位投資產品出現大量資金流入。鏈上分析表明,現貨比特幣交易所交易基金持續流入,儘管減半後可能出現波動,但分析師仍維持長期看漲前景。包括比特幣在內的頂級加密貨幣的技術分析顯示,價格走勢各不相同,其中一些預計將進一步上漲,而另一些則面臨阻力位。
Bitcoin Nears Halving with Bullish Sentiment and Record Inflows
比特幣接近減半,看漲情緒和創紀錄的資金流入
With less than 11 days remaining until the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event, the cryptocurrency market exudes confidence, and traders appear undeterred by temporary price dips. According to data from CoinShares, digital investment products witnessed a remarkable $646 million influx last week, bringing the year-to-date inflows to an astounding $13.8 billion. This figure significantly surpasses the $10.6 billion recorded in 2021, underscoring the sustained interest in Bitcoin.
距離備受期待的比特幣減半事件還剩不到 11 天,加密貨幣市場充滿信心,交易者似乎並沒有被暫時的價格下跌嚇倒。根據 CoinShares 的數據,數位投資產品上週流入了 6.46 億美元,使年初至今的流入額達到驚人的 138 億美元。這一數字大大超過了 2021 年記錄的 106 億美元,凸顯了人們對比特幣的持續興趣。
Analysts Project Bullish Outlook Despite Unknown Post-Halving Dynamics
儘管減半後的動態未知,但分析師預期前景看漲
On-chain analytics firm Santiment suggests that inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will likely maintain their momentum until the halving event. However, the firm acknowledges that it remains to be seen whether a subsequent decline in ETF volume and on-chain volume will follow.
鏈上分析公司 Santiment 表示,在減半事件之前,流入現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的勢頭可能會保持勢頭。然而,該公司承認,ETF 交易量和鏈上交易量是否會隨之下降還有待觀察。
Despite the uncertainty surrounding the immediate post-halving market behavior, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. In an interview with CNBC, Anthony Scaramucci, CEO of SkyBridge Capital, expressed his belief that Bitcoin could reach $170,000 during the current cycle. Scaramucci envisions Bitcoin eventually trading at "half the valuation of gold" but cautions that significant volatility is to be expected along the way.
儘管減半後的市場行為存在不確定性,但分析師仍對比特幣的長期前景持樂觀態度。 SkyBridge Capital執行長安東尼·斯卡拉穆奇(Anthony Scaramucci)在接受CNBC採訪時表示,他相信比特幣在本週期內可能會達到17萬美元。斯卡拉穆奇預計,比特幣最終的交易價格將是“黃金估值的一半”,但他警告稱,在此過程中預計會大幅波動。
Technical Analysis Highlights Key Resistance and Support Levels
技術分析強調關鍵阻力位和支撐位
S&P 500 Index: The S&P 500 Index has exhibited indecision with outside-day and inside-day candlestick patterns. A break below 5,146 could indicate the start of a corrective phase, while a breakout above 5,265 would resume the uptrend.
S&P 500 指數:S&P 500 指數在日內和日內燭台形態上表現出優柔寡斷。跌破 5,146 點可能表示修正階段的開始,而突破 5,265 點則將恢復上升趨勢。
U.S. Dollar Index: The U.S. Dollar Index has encountered resistance at 105, suggesting bearish sentiment. However, the lack of a decline below moving averages indicates some support. Range-bound action is likely between 104 and 105.
美元指數:美元指數在105處遭遇阻力,暗示看跌情緒。然而,未跌破移動平均線表示存在一定支撐。區間波動可能在 104 至 105 之間。
Bitcoin: Bitcoin has broken above a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling bullish momentum. The all-time high of $73,777 poses as a critical resistance. If overcome, the next target is around $84,000.
比特幣:比特幣已突破對稱三角形模式,顯示看漲勢頭。 73,777 美元的歷史高點構成了關鍵阻力。如果克服,下一個目標是 84,000 美元左右。
Ether: Ether is trading within a range between $3,056 and $3,679, with $3,679 acting as a key resistance level. A break above this level could lead to a rally towards $4,488.
以太幣:以太幣交易價格在 3,056 美元至 3,679 美元之間,其中 3,679 美元是關鍵阻力位。突破該水平可能會導致反彈至 4,488 美元。
BNB: BNB remains within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a balance between supply and demand. A breakout above the downtrend line could retest the March 16 high at $645.
BNB:BNB維持對稱三角形格局,供需平衡。突破下降趨勢線可能會重新測試 3 月 16 日的高點 645 美元。
Solana: Solana is struggling to maintain above the 20-day EMA, indicating bearish pressure. A drop below this level could lead to a fall towards $162.
Solana:Solana 正在努力維持在 20 日均線上方,顯示看跌壓力。跌破該水準可能會導致跌向 162 美元。
XRP: XRP has rebounded after falling below an uptrend line, with buyers pushing the price above moving averages. The pair could swing between $0.56 and $0.69 before attempting a break higher.
XRP:XRP 在跌破上升趨勢線後反彈,買家將價格推高至移動平均線之上。在嘗試突破更高之前,該貨幣對可能在 0.56 美元至 0.69 美元之間波動。
Dogecoin: Dogecoin has regained momentum above the 20-day EMA and is targeting $0.23. A break above this level would signal an uptrend resumption.
狗狗幣:狗狗幣已經恢復到 20 日均線上方的勢頭,目標價為 0.23 美元。突破該水準將標誌著上升趨勢的恢復。
Cardano: Cardano has recovered above $0.57 and is facing resistance at the 20-day EMA. A break above this level could lead to a rise towards $0.68.
卡爾達諾:卡爾達諾已恢復至 0.57 美元上方,並在 20 日均線處面臨阻力。突破該水平可能導致價格上漲至 0.68 美元。
Toncoin: Toncoin has broken above $5.69, initiating the next leg of the uptrend. The pair aims for $7.09, with support at the 20-day EMA.
Toncoin:Toncoin 已突破 5.69 美元,開啟下一階段的上升趨勢。該貨幣對目標價為 7.09 美元,支撐位於 20 日均線。
Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Trading and investing involve risk, and individuals should conduct thorough research before making any decisions.
免責聲明:本文不提供投資建議或建議。交易和投資涉及風險,個人在做出任何決定之前應進行徹底的研究。
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