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一位用户名为 burakkesmeci 的分析师表示,比特币市场目前正面临关键的价格波动。 burakkesmeci 指出,根据 MVRV 比率和 CQ Bull & Bear 指标,比特币投资者目前表现出很高的市场预期。
Bitcoin price has shown no significant movement in the past day, according to data from CoinMarketCap, currently hovering around the $62,000 price mark. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency has slipped into a minor consolidation state since the little gains recorded on Friday.
根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据,比特币价格在过去一天没有出现明显波动,目前徘徊在 62,000 美元的价格大关附近。值得注意的是,自周五小幅上涨以来,这种主要的加密货币已陷入小幅盘整状态。
However, for long-term traders, Bitcoin has remained in a range-bound movement stretching to March. And while many investors are highly expectant of a bullish breakout in Q4 2024, certain market conditions must be met.
然而,对于长期交易者来说,比特币一直保持区间波动,一直持续到三月份。尽管许多投资者对 2024 年第四季度的看涨突破寄予厚望,但必须满足某些市场条件。
Bitcoin MVRV, CQ Bull & Bear Indicators Show Market Uneasiness
比特币 MVRV、CQ 牛熊指标显示市场不安
In a recent Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, an analyst with the username burakkesmeci shares that the Bitcoin market is currently set for key price movements. Based on the MVRV Ratio and CQ Bull & Bear metric, burakkesmeci notes that Bitcoin investors presently show a significant level of market anticipation.
在 CryptoQuant 最近发表的一篇快速文章中,一位用户名为 burakkesmeci 的分析师表示,比特币市场目前正面临关键的价格走势。 burakkesmeci 指出,根据 MVRV 比率和 CQ Bull & Bear 指标,比特币投资者目前表现出很高的市场预期。
For context, the MVRV Ratio compares the current price of Bitcoin to its realized value (the price at which the asset last moved on-chain). It is generally used to indicate if Bitcoin is undervalued or overvalued relative to its realized value.
作为上下文,MVRV 比率将比特币的当前价格与其实现价值(资产最后一次在链上移动的价格)进行比较。它通常用于指示比特币相对于其实现价值是否被低估或高估。
When the MVRV ratio crosses above its 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA 365), it indicates a bullish trend as investors are seeing a year-to-date gain on their assets. However, burakkesmeci notes that Bitcoin’s MVRV currently at 1.90 has been hovering just below its SMA 365 (2.03) since July, showing the BTC market is in a steady position waiting for a breakout.
当 MVRV 比率突破 365 天简单移动平均线 (SMA 365) 时,就表明看涨趋势,因为投资者看到了年初至今的资产收益。然而,burakkesmeci 指出,自 7 月以来,比特币的 MVRV 目前为 1.90,一直徘徊在略低于 SMA 365(2.03)的水平,这表明 BTC 市场处于稳定状态,等待突破。
The analyst has also observed a similar pattern in the CQ Bull & Bear indicator, which measures recent price action relative to longer-term price movements. According to burrakesmeci, the CQ Bull & Bear metric has been oscillating slightly below its SMA 365 (0.46) since August, enforcing the notion that the Bitcoin market is in a holding pattern.
分析师还在 CQ 牛市和熊市指标中观察到类似的模式,该指标衡量相对于长期价格走势的近期价格走势。根据 burrakesmeci 的说法,自 8 月份以来,CQ Bull & Bear 指标一直在略低于 SMA 365 (0.46) 的位置波动,强化了比特币市场处于持有模式的观点。
Bitcoin Needs A Bullish Spark For Q4 Breakout
比特币需要看涨火花才能实现第四季度的突破
For Bitcoin to experience a bullish breakout from its current holding position, burakkesmeci highlights certain events that must occur. First, he notes that the Federal Reserve must fully engage in a rate-cut cycle, gradually lowering interest rates over time.
为了使比特币从当前持有位置经历看涨突破,burakkesmeci 强调了必须发生的某些事件。首先,他指出美联储必须全面进入降息周期,随着时间的推移逐步降低利率。
Interestingly, following a 50 basis points cut in September, market experts are tipping the Fed to implement another 25% cut at their next FOMC meeting in November.
有趣的是,继 9 月份降息 50 个基点之后,市场专家建议美联储在 11 月份的下一次 FOMC 会议上再次降息 25%。
Another bullish factor highlighted by burakkesmeci is an impending quantitative easing which will see the US government inject liquidity into the economy. It is expected that higher liquidity will allow individuals to explore risky investments such as Bitcoin.
布拉克斯梅奇强调的另一个看涨因素是即将实施的量化宽松政策,美国政府将向经济注入流动性。预计更高的流动性将使个人能够探索比特币等风险投资。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $62,009 with a 0.02% loss in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the asset's daily trading volume is down by 53.80% and valued at $12.97 billion.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 62,009 美元,过去 24 小时内下跌 0.02%。与此同时,该资产的日交易量下降了53.80%,价值为129.7亿美元。
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