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一位分析师解释了超出200天移动平均线(MA)的突破如何使比特币进入该指标上部频段周围的顶部的路径。
An analyst has explained how a break above the 200-day moving average (MA) might put Bitcoin on the path to a top around the upper band of this indicator.
一位分析师已经解释了超过200天移动平均线(MA)的断裂可能会使比特币在该指标上部频段周围的顶部。
Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Currently Has Its Upper Band Located At $208,550
比特币Mayer Mouther当前的上班乐队位于208,550美元
In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed the Mayer Multiple of Bitcoin. The “Mayer Multiple” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the BTC price and its 200-day MA.
在X上的一篇新帖子中,分析师Ali Martinez讨论了比特币的Mayer倍数。这里的“ Mayer倍数”是指一个指标,该指标可以跟踪BTC价格与200天MA之间的比率。
One way to interpret the metric is as a measure of the distance away that the asset’s value is from the 200-day MA.
解释该指标的一种方法是衡量资产价值与200天MA的距离的量度。
Historically, the 200-day MA has served as a boundary between bullish and bearish trends for the cryptocurrency, so how far its price is from this important line can help indicate potential oversold and overbought conditions.
从历史上看,200天的MA一直是对加密货币的看涨和看跌趋势之间的界限,因此其价格距离这一重要界限的距离可以帮助表明潜在的超售和过高的条件。
More specifically, a Mayer Multiple value of 2.4 or more has generally signaled that the asset is becoming overheated. Similarly, a value of 0.8 or under can suggest the coin may be due to a bounce back towards the 200-day MA.
更具体地说,Mayer多重值2.4或更多,通常表明资产正在过热。同样,值为0.8或以下的值可能表明硬币可能是由于向200天MA的反弹引起的。
Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the 200-day MA of Bitcoin, as well as lines corresponding to the 2.4 and 0.8 Mayer Multiple levels, over the past decade:
现在,这是分析师共享的图表,该图表显示了200天的比特币MA的趋势,以及与2.4和0.8 Mayer多个级别相对应的线路,在过去的十年中:
As is visible in the chart, Bitcoin has recently declined under the 200-day MA, situated at $86,900. This means that the Mayer Multiple has now dropped under the 1.0 mark.
如图所示,比特币最近在200天的MA下下降了,价格为86,900美元。这意味着Mayer倍数现在已下降到1.0标记以下。
The next potential support for the cryptocurrency could be located at $69,500, corresponding to the level where the Mayer Multiple would assume a value equal to 0.8.
对加密货币的下一个潜在支撑可能位于$ 69,500,对应于Mayer多倍的水平将值等于0.8。
BTC has witnessed a surge in the past day, so it’s currently closer to retesting the 200-day MA than falling back on this support. In the scenario that the asset goes on to retest this mark and successfully break above it, Martinez has noted that the stage might be set for a market top around $208,550.
BTC在过去的一天中目睹了激增,因此目前比回归200天的MA更接近了这一支持。在资产继续重新测量并成功地超越其上方的情况下,马丁内斯指出,舞台可能会在市场上登上208,550美元左右。
This level, of course, correlates to the 2.4 Mayer Multiple level. So far in the current cycle, Bitcoin hasn’t made a single touch of this level. From the chart, it’s visible that the bull run in the second half of 2021 attained its peak far below the line, but the cryptocurrency still spent time around it during the first half of the year.
当然,这个级别与2.4 Mayer多级相关。到目前为止,在当前周期中,比特币还没有对此水平进行单一的触摸。从图表中可以看出,公牛在2021年下半场奔跑的峰值远低于该线的峰值,但是在上半年,加密货币仍然在它周围花费了时间。
Given the precedence, it’s possible that the asset would hit this mark at least once in the remaining portion of the current cycle. It only remains to be seen, however, whether the pattern holds, considering the uncertainty in the form of tariffs that’s looming over the market.
鉴于优先级,在当前周期的其余部分中,资产可能至少达到了一次。然而,考虑到在市场上迫在眉睫的关税形式的不确定性,这种模式是否存在,这仍然有待观察。
BTC Price
BTC价格
Bitcoin has shown some sharp recovery during the last 24 hours as its price is back to $81,500 after a jump of over 6%.
比特币在过去24小时内显示出一些急剧的恢复,因为它的价格涨到了6%以上,又回到了81,500美元。
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