减半后比特币触及关键十字路口：预期波动，价格前景喜忧参半

比特币的价格走势已经到了关键时刻，进入“减半后重新吸筹区间”，波动性加大。分析表明，Coinbase 上持续存在的现货买家正在吸收抛售压力，这表明人们有兴趣以较低的价格购买。然而，市场情绪复杂，存在潜在的看涨模式以及对维持 60,000 美元以上支撑位的担忧。全球影响，例如在香港上市的比特币和以太币 ETF 的推出，增加了市场动态的不确定性。建议投资者监控技术指标并跟踪比特币的支撑位，以应对当前的市场波动。

Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: Post-Halving Re-Accumulation and Mixed Price Outlook

比特币的关键时刻：减半后的重新积累和价格前景好坏参半

Yerevan, Armenia - Bitcoin's recent price fluctuations have positioned the cryptocurrency at a critical juncture. As analyzed by Rekt Capital, Bitcoin has entered the "Post-Halving Re-Accumulation Range," a period historically characterized by heightened volatility. This analysis follows a decline from Bitcoin's March peak of $75,000, pushing it beneath the psychological resistance level of $60,000.

亚美尼亚埃里温 - 比特币最近的价格波动使加密货币处于关键时刻。据Rekt Capital分析，比特币已进入“减半后重新积累区间”，这是历史上波动性加剧的时期。在此分析之前，比特币从 3 月份的峰值 75,000 美元下跌，跌破了 60,000 美元的心理阻力位。

Post-Halving Analysis Indicates Increased Volatility

减半后分析表明波动性增加

Rekt Capital's analysis suggests that Bitcoin's current range lies between $53,000 and $69,000. Within this range, the cryptocurrency is expected to experience significant price swings as buyers and sellers compete for dominance. The post-halving period, which occurs approximately every four years following a halving of Bitcoin's block reward, has historically exhibited such volatility.

Rekt Capital 的分析表明，比特币目前的价格区间在 53,000 美元至 69,000 美元之间。在此范围内，随着买家和卖家争夺主导地位，加密货币预计将经历大幅价格波动。减半后时期大约每四年发生一次，比特币区块奖励减半后，历史上就表现出这种波动性。

Persistent Spot Buyer Absorption Suggests Buying Interest

现货买家持续关注表明购买兴趣

Simultaneously, data from @52kskew reveals that a persistent spot buyer on Coinbase has been absorbing sell pressure, indicating an undercurrent of buying interest at current price levels. If this purchasing pattern persists, it could prevent further declines and support Bitcoin's recovery.

与此同时，@52kskew 的数据显示，Coinbase 上持续的现货买家一直在吸收抛售压力，这表明当前价格水平存在潜在的购买兴趣。如果这种购买模式持续下去，它可以防止进一步下跌并支持比特币的复苏。

Mixed Outlook for Bitcoin's Future Price

比特币未来价格的前景喜忧参半

Market sentiment regarding Bitcoin's future price is varied. The Wolf of All Streets has identified a potential bullish pattern, known as a "bull flag," on the daily chart. This formation suggests a possible rebound from the 100-day moving average and could indicate upward momentum if Bitcoin can maintain its support level and reclaim $60,000.

关于比特币未来价格的市场情绪各不相同。 《华尔街之狼》在日线图上发现了一种潜在的看涨模式，称为“牛旗”。这种形态表明比特币可能从 100 日移动均线反弹，如果比特币能够维持其支撑位并重回 60,000 美元，则可能表明上涨势头。

However, contrasting views from Cold Blooded Shiller and Satoshi Flipper urge caution. Cold Blooded Shiller suggests that a failure to remain above $62,500 could trigger a significant correction, potentially leading to a decline as low as $52,000. Satoshi Flipper echoes this concern, noting a potential retest of the bull flag support, hinting at uncertainty about Bitcoin's upward trajectory.

然而，冷血席勒和中本聪的观点截然不同，敦促人们谨慎行事。 Cold Blooded Shiller 表示，如果未能保持在 62,500 美元之上，可能会引发大幅回调，可能导致跌幅低至 52,000 美元。 Satoshi Flipper 回应了这一担忧，指出可能会重新测试牛市旗形支撑，暗示比特币上涨轨迹的不确定性。

Global Market Influences

全球市场影响

The recent debut of Hong Kong-listed spot Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has introduced a new dynamic to the market. Despite a modest start with under $10 million in trading volume, the launch has been met with cautious optimism. Market analysts believe that the ETFs' presence could contribute to market stability or even boost Bitcoin's price if they attract sustained investor interest.

最近在香港上市的现货比特币和以太币交易所交易基金（ETF）的首次亮相为市场带来了新的活力。尽管交易量起步不高，交易量不足 1000 万美元，但市场对此次推出持谨慎乐观态度。市场分析师认为，ETF 的存在可能有助于市场稳定，如果能吸引持续的投资者兴趣，甚至会推高比特币的价格。

Strategic Insights for Investors

投资者的战略见解

Given the conflicting market signals, investors must navigate Bitcoin's price fluctuations with a thoughtful strategy. John Glover of Ledn suggests that any dips into the mid-to-low $50,000 range should be considered buying opportunities, as they historically have marked potential recovery points. Conversely, seasonal trends analyzed by K33 Research suggest lower activity and prices during the summer months, which could impact short-term trading strategies.

鉴于市场信号相互矛盾，投资者必须采取深思熟虑的策略来应对比特币的价格波动。 Ledn 的约翰·格洛弗 (John Glover) 建议，任何跌至 50,000 美元中低点的区间都应被视为买入机会，因为它们在历史上已经标志着潜在的复苏点。相反，K33 Research 分析的季节性趋势表明夏季月份的活动和价格较低，这可能会影响短期交易策略。

Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin's support above $60,000 and track the broader market sentiment throughout May. This monitoring will help guide their decisions during this period of volatility. Effective navigation requires a keen understanding of technical indicators and a comprehensive assessment of global market conditions.

投资者应密切关注比特币 60,000 美元上方的支撑位，并跟踪整个 5 月份的更广泛的市场情绪。这种监测将有助于指导他们在这段波动时期的决策。有效的导航需要对技术指标的敏锐理解和对全球市场状况的全面评估。