減半後比特幣觸及關鍵十字路口：預期波動，價格前景好壞參半

比特幣的價格走勢已經到了關鍵時刻，進入“減半後重新吸籌區間”，波動性加大。分析表明，Coinbase 上持續存在的現貨買家正在吸收拋售壓力，這表明人們有興趣以較低的價格購買。然而，市場情緒複雜，存在潛在的看漲模式以及對維持 60,000 美元以上支撐位的擔憂。全球影響，例如在香港上市的比特幣和以太幣 ETF 的推出，增加了市場動態的不確定性。建議投資者監控技術指標並追蹤比特幣的支撐位，以應對當前的市場波動。

Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: Post-Halving Re-Accumulation and Mixed Price Outlook

比特幣的關鍵時刻：減半後的重新累積與價格前景好壞參半

Yerevan, Armenia - Bitcoin's recent price fluctuations have positioned the cryptocurrency at a critical juncture. As analyzed by Rekt Capital, Bitcoin has entered the "Post-Halving Re-Accumulation Range," a period historically characterized by heightened volatility. This analysis follows a decline from Bitcoin's March peak of $75,000, pushing it beneath the psychological resistance level of $60,000.

亞美尼亞埃里溫 - 比特幣最近的價格波動使加密貨幣處於關鍵時刻。根據Rekt Capital分析，比特幣已進入“減半後重新累積區間”，這是歷史上波動性加劇的時期。在此分析之前，比特幣從 3 月的峰值 75,000 美元下跌，跌破了 60,000 美元的心理阻力位。

Post-Halving Analysis Indicates Increased Volatility

減半後分析顯示波動性增加

Rekt Capital's analysis suggests that Bitcoin's current range lies between $53,000 and $69,000. Within this range, the cryptocurrency is expected to experience significant price swings as buyers and sellers compete for dominance. The post-halving period, which occurs approximately every four years following a halving of Bitcoin's block reward, has historically exhibited such volatility.

Rekt Capital 的分析表明，比特幣目前的價格區間在 53,000 美元至 69,000 美元之間。在此範圍內，隨著買家和賣家爭奪主導地位，加密貨幣預計將經歷大幅價格波動。減半後時期大約每四年發生一次，比特幣區塊獎勵減半後，歷史上就表現出這種波動性。

Persistent Spot Buyer Absorption Suggests Buying Interest

現貨買家持續關注顯示購買興趣

Simultaneously, data from @52kskew reveals that a persistent spot buyer on Coinbase has been absorbing sell pressure, indicating an undercurrent of buying interest at current price levels. If this purchasing pattern persists, it could prevent further declines and support Bitcoin's recovery.

同時，@52kskew 的數據顯示，Coinbase 上持續的現貨買家一直在吸收拋售壓力，這表明當前價格水平存在潛在的購買興趣。如果這種購買模式持續下去，它可以防止進一步下跌並支持比特幣的復甦。

Mixed Outlook for Bitcoin's Future Price

比特幣未來價格的前景好壞參半

Market sentiment regarding Bitcoin's future price is varied. The Wolf of All Streets has identified a potential bullish pattern, known as a "bull flag," on the daily chart. This formation suggests a possible rebound from the 100-day moving average and could indicate upward momentum if Bitcoin can maintain its support level and reclaim $60,000.

關於比特幣未來價格的市場情緒各不相同。 《華爾街之狼》在日線圖上發現了一種潛在的看漲模式，稱為「牛旗」。這種形態表明比特幣可能從 100 日移動均線反彈，如果比特幣能夠維持其支撐位並重回 60,000 美元，則可能表明上漲勢頭。

However, contrasting views from Cold Blooded Shiller and Satoshi Flipper urge caution. Cold Blooded Shiller suggests that a failure to remain above $62,500 could trigger a significant correction, potentially leading to a decline as low as $52,000. Satoshi Flipper echoes this concern, noting a potential retest of the bull flag support, hinting at uncertainty about Bitcoin's upward trajectory.

然而，冷血席勒和中本聰的觀點截然不同，敦促人們謹慎行事。 Cold Blooded Shiller 表示，如果未能保持在 62,500 美元之上，可能會引發大幅回調，可能導致跌幅低至 52,000 美元。 Satoshi Flipper 回應了這一擔憂，指出可能會重新測試牛市旗形支撐，暗示比特幣上漲軌蹟的不確定性。

Global Market Influences

全球市場影響

The recent debut of Hong Kong-listed spot Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has introduced a new dynamic to the market. Despite a modest start with under $10 million in trading volume, the launch has been met with cautious optimism. Market analysts believe that the ETFs' presence could contribute to market stability or even boost Bitcoin's price if they attract sustained investor interest.

最近在香港上市的現貨比特幣和以太幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的首次亮相為市場帶來了新的活力。儘管交易量起步不高，交易量不到 1,000 萬美元，但市場對此推出持謹慎樂觀態度。市場分析師認為，ETF 的存在可能有助於市場穩定，如果能吸引持續投資者的興趣，甚至會推高比特幣的價格。

Strategic Insights for Investors

投資者的策略見解

Given the conflicting market signals, investors must navigate Bitcoin's price fluctuations with a thoughtful strategy. John Glover of Ledn suggests that any dips into the mid-to-low $50,000 range should be considered buying opportunities, as they historically have marked potential recovery points. Conversely, seasonal trends analyzed by K33 Research suggest lower activity and prices during the summer months, which could impact short-term trading strategies.

鑑於市場訊號相互矛盾，投資者必須採取深思熟慮的策略來應對比特幣的價格波動。 Ledn 的 John Glover 建議，任何跌至 50,000 美元中低點的區間都應被視為買入機會，因為它們在歷史上已經標誌著潛在的復甦點。相反，K33 Research 分析的季節性趨勢顯示夏季月份的活動和價格較低，這可能會影響短期交易策略。

Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin's support above $60,000 and track the broader market sentiment throughout May. This monitoring will help guide their decisions during this period of volatility. Effective navigation requires a keen understanding of technical indicators and a comprehensive assessment of global market conditions.

投資者應密切關注比特幣 60,000 美元上方的支撐位，並追蹤整個 5 月的更廣泛的市場情緒。這種監測將有助於指導他們在這段波動時期的決策。有效的導航需要對技術指標的敏銳理解和對全球市場狀況的全面評估。