尽管市场波动，比特币减半仍激发乐观情绪

摘要：最近每四年发生一次的比特币减半使挖矿奖励减少了一半，至 3.125 BTC。虽然一些分析师预计减半将减缓比特币价值的下跌而不是引发价格飙升，但由于年度通胀率下降，预计这一事件将增强其作为价值储存手段的地位。尽管反应不一，但专家们对比特币的长期前景仍然持乐观态度，一些人预测未来几年比特币价格将上涨至 10 万美元甚至 15 万美元。

Bitcoin Halving Concludes: Scarcity Fuels Optimism Despite Market Fluctuations

比特币减半结束：尽管市场波动，但稀缺性激发乐观情绪

The highly anticipated Bitcoin Halving event has come to a close, officially reducing miner rewards to 3.125 BTC, effective last Friday. This pivotal occurrence, which takes place every four years or after 210,000 blocks are validated, has stirred considerable excitement among crypto enthusiasts worldwide.

备受期待的比特币减半活动已经结束，矿工奖励正式减少至 3.125 BTC，于上周五生效。这一关键事件每四年或在 210,000 个区块得到验证后发生一次，在全球加密货币爱好者中引起了极大的兴奋。

Historically, Bitcoin Halvings have been associated with significant surges in trading value. While analysts initially cautioned against similar expectations this time around, they acknowledged that the event could mitigate the decline in value experienced since the last Halving.

从历史上看，比特币减半与交易价值的大幅飙升有关。尽管分析师最初警告这次不要做出类似的预期，但他们承认，这一事件可能会缓解自上次减半以来经历的价值下跌。

The fundamental principle behind Bitcoin Halving is the reduction in the rate at which new tokens are created, resulting in scarcity and a subsequent increase in price. This concept is firmly rooted in the belief that Bitcoin's finite supply of 21 million will ultimately drive its value upward.

比特币减半背后的基本原理是降低新代币的创建速度，从而导致稀缺性和随后的价格上涨。这一概念深深植根于这样的信念：比特币 2100 万的有限供应最终将推动其价值上涨。

Manhar Garegrat, Country Head at Liminal Custody Solutions for India, emphasized the potential impact of Halving on price due to increased scarcity. He anticipates upward price pressure and an influx of new investors. However, Bitcoin prices have exhibited volatility in recent weeks, influenced by the introduction of ETFs and expectations surrounding Federal Bank rate cuts.

印度 Liminal Custody Solutions 国家主管 Manhar Garegrat 强调，由于稀缺性增加，减半对价格的潜在影响。他预计价格将面临上涨压力，并且新投资者将涌入。然而，受 ETF 推出和联邦银行降息预期影响，比特币价格近几周出现波动。

Rahul Pagidipati, Chief Executive Officer of ZebPay, expressed optimism about the long-term and short-term outlook for Bitcoin, stating that Halving ensures the asset remains deflationary.

ZebPay 首席执行官 Rahul Pagidipati 对比特币的长期和短期前景表示乐观，并表示减半确保该资产保持通缩状态。

Despite the anticipation, Bitcoin's listed price has not experienced a significant surge in the immediate aftermath of Halving. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $66,256.67, representing a modest 1.64% increase over the past 24 hours. Nonetheless, Bitcoin remains within reach of its all-time high of nearly $73,000, and the prevailing optimism suggests it has the potential to surpass this milestone once again.

尽管有这样的预期，但比特币的上市价格在减半后并未出现大幅上涨。截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 66,256.67 美元，在过去 24 小时内小幅上涨 1.64%。尽管如此，比特币仍有望触及近 73,000 美元的历史高点，而且普遍的乐观情绪表明它有可能再次超越这一里程碑。

Experts from JPMorgan and Deutsche Bank have taken a more tempered view, suggesting that the effects of Halving are already priced into Bitcoin's current value. JPMorgan analysts believe Bitcoin's price is unlikely to rise significantly post-Halving due to its overbought status.

摩根大通和德意志银行的专家采取了更为温和的观点，认为减半的影响已经反映在比特币当前的价值中。摩根大通分析师认为，由于其超买状态，比特币价格在减半后不太可能大幅上涨。

It remains to be seen how the crypto market will react in the coming weeks to the changes brought about by Halving. However, the underlying principles of scarcity and limited supply continue to fuel optimism among many investors, who believe that Bitcoin's long-term trajectory remains bullish.

未来几周加密市场将如何应对减半带来的变化还有待观察。然而，稀缺性和供应有限的基本原则继续激发了许多投资者的乐观情绪，他们认为比特币的长期轨迹仍然看涨。

In addition to its potential impact on price, Bitcoin Halving has broader implications for the cryptocurrency ecosystem. It reinforces the deflationary nature of Bitcoin, setting it apart from traditional fiat currencies and potentially positioning it as a store of value for future generations. Moreover, the event highlights the community's commitment to the long-term success and sustainability of Bitcoin.

除了对价格的潜在影响外，比特币减半还对加密货币生态系统产生更广泛的影响。它强化了比特币的通货紧缩性质，使其有别于传统的法定货币，并有可能将其定位为子孙后代的价值储存手段。此外，该活动凸显了社区对比特币长期成功和可持续性的承诺。

As the dust settles from the latest Halving, the crypto market and the wider financial world will undoubtedly continue to monitor Bitcoin's performance with keen interest. The ongoing adoption, innovation, and regulatory developments surrounding Bitcoin suggest that its journey towards mainstream acceptance and widespread use is far from over.

随着最新减半的尘埃落定，加密货币市场和更广泛的金融界无疑将继续以浓厚的兴趣关注比特币的表现。围绕比特币的持续采用、创新和监管发展表明，其被主流接受和广泛使用的旅程还远未结束。