儘管市場波動，比特幣減半仍激發樂觀情緒

摘要：最近每四年發生一次的比特幣減半使挖礦獎勵減少了一半，至 3.125 BTC。雖然一些分析師預計減半將減緩比特幣價值的下跌而不是引發價格飆升，但由於年度通膨率下降，預計這一事件將增強其作為價值儲存手段的地位。儘管反應不一，專家們對比特幣的長期前景仍然持樂觀態度，有些人預測未來幾年比特幣價格將上漲至 10 萬美元甚至 15 萬美元。

Bitcoin Halving Concludes: Scarcity Fuels Optimism Despite Market Fluctuations

比特幣減半結束：儘管市場波動，但稀缺性激發樂觀情緒

The highly anticipated Bitcoin Halving event has come to a close, officially reducing miner rewards to 3.125 BTC, effective last Friday. This pivotal occurrence, which takes place every four years or after 210,000 blocks are validated, has stirred considerable excitement among crypto enthusiasts worldwide.

備受期待的比特幣減半活動已經結束，礦工獎勵正式減少至 3.125 BTC，並於上週五生效。這一關鍵事件每四年或在 21 萬個區塊得到驗證後發生一次，在全球加密貨幣愛好者中引起了極大的興奮。

Historically, Bitcoin Halvings have been associated with significant surges in trading value. While analysts initially cautioned against similar expectations this time around, they acknowledged that the event could mitigate the decline in value experienced since the last Halving.

從歷史上看，比特幣減半與交易價值的大幅飆升有關。儘管分析師最初警告這次不要做出類似的預期，但他們承認，這起事件可能會緩解自上次減半以來經歷的價值下跌。

The fundamental principle behind Bitcoin Halving is the reduction in the rate at which new tokens are created, resulting in scarcity and a subsequent increase in price. This concept is firmly rooted in the belief that Bitcoin's finite supply of 21 million will ultimately drive its value upward.

比特幣減半背後的基本原理是降低新代幣的創建速度，從而導致稀缺性和隨後的價格上漲。這個概念深深植根於這樣的信念：比特幣 2,100 萬的有限供應最終將推動其價值上漲。

Manhar Garegrat, Country Head at Liminal Custody Solutions for India, emphasized the potential impact of Halving on price due to increased scarcity. He anticipates upward price pressure and an influx of new investors. However, Bitcoin prices have exhibited volatility in recent weeks, influenced by the introduction of ETFs and expectations surrounding Federal Bank rate cuts.

印度 Liminal Custody Solutions 國家主管 Manhar Garegrat 強調，由於稀缺性增加，減半對價格的潛在影響。他預計價格將面臨上漲壓力，新投資者將湧入。然而，受 ETF 推出和聯邦銀行降息預期影響，比特幣價格近幾週出現波動。

Rahul Pagidipati, Chief Executive Officer of ZebPay, expressed optimism about the long-term and short-term outlook for Bitcoin, stating that Halving ensures the asset remains deflationary.

ZebPay 執行長 Rahul Pagidipati 對比特幣的長期和短期前景表示樂觀，並表示減半確保資產保持通縮狀態。

Despite the anticipation, Bitcoin's listed price has not experienced a significant surge in the immediate aftermath of Halving. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $66,256.67, representing a modest 1.64% increase over the past 24 hours. Nonetheless, Bitcoin remains within reach of its all-time high of nearly $73,000, and the prevailing optimism suggests it has the potential to surpass this milestone once again.

儘管有這樣的預期，但比特幣的上市價格在減半後並未大幅上漲。截至撰寫本文時，BTC 交易價格為 66,256.67 美元，在過去 24 小時內小幅上漲 1.64%。儘管如此，比特幣仍有望觸及近 73,000 美元的歷史高點，而且普遍的樂觀情緒表明它有可能再次超越這一里程碑。

Experts from JPMorgan and Deutsche Bank have taken a more tempered view, suggesting that the effects of Halving are already priced into Bitcoin's current value. JPMorgan analysts believe Bitcoin's price is unlikely to rise significantly post-Halving due to its overbought status.

摩根大通和德意志銀行的專家採取了較溫和的觀點，認為減半的影響已經反映在比特幣當前的價值上。摩根大通分析師認為，由於其超買狀態，比特幣價格在減半後不太可能大幅上漲。

It remains to be seen how the crypto market will react in the coming weeks to the changes brought about by Halving. However, the underlying principles of scarcity and limited supply continue to fuel optimism among many investors, who believe that Bitcoin's long-term trajectory remains bullish.

未來幾週加密市場將如何應對減半帶來的變化還有待觀察。然而，稀缺性和供應有限的基本原則繼續激發了許多投資者的樂觀情緒，他們認為比特幣的長期軌跡仍然看漲。

In addition to its potential impact on price, Bitcoin Halving has broader implications for the cryptocurrency ecosystem. It reinforces the deflationary nature of Bitcoin, setting it apart from traditional fiat currencies and potentially positioning it as a store of value for future generations. Moreover, the event highlights the community's commitment to the long-term success and sustainability of Bitcoin.

除了對價格的潛在影響外，比特幣減半還對加密貨幣生態系統產生更廣泛的影響。它強化了比特幣的通貨緊縮性質，使其有別於傳統的法定貨幣，並有可能將其定位為子孫後代的價值儲存手段。此外，該活動凸顯了社群對比特幣長期成功和永續性的承諾。

As the dust settles from the latest Halving, the crypto market and the wider financial world will undoubtedly continue to monitor Bitcoin's performance with keen interest. The ongoing adoption, innovation, and regulatory developments surrounding Bitcoin suggest that its journey towards mainstream acceptance and widespread use is far from over.

隨著最新的減半塵埃落定，加密貨幣市場和更廣泛的金融界無疑將繼續以濃厚的興趣關注比特幣的表現。圍繞比特幣的持續採用、創新和監管發展表明，其被主流接受和廣泛使用的旅程還遠未結束。