比特币预测：尽管对冲基金前景黯淡，但分析师预测比特币将出现逆转，创历史新高

尽管近期比特币现货价格下跌，但一些分析师仍然乐观，预测 2024 年 12 月之前将出现逆转和飙升。这一预测基于使用费舍尔变换指标分析的历史价格模式，该指标准确地识别了过去的峰值。通过将当前价格走势与 2017 年和 2021 年进行比较，分析师认为今年晚些时候可能会出现单一峰值，但具体时间和幅度仍不确定。

Bitcoin's Trajectory: Analyst Predicts Reversal and Record Highs Amidst Hedge Fund Bearishness

比特币的轨迹：分析师预测在对冲基金看跌的情况下比特币将出现逆转并创历史新高

Despite Bitcoin's recent price decline, an analyst maintains an optimistic outlook, forecasting a reversal of losses and a surge to record highs by December 2024. This projection is based on historical price patterns analyzed using the 2-week Fisher Transform indicator, a tool that has accurately identified previous market peaks.

尽管比特币最近价格下跌，但分析师仍保持乐观前景，预测到 2024 年 12 月比特币将扭转损失并飙升至历史新高。该预测基于使用 2 周费舍尔变换指标分析的历史价格模式，该工具已准确识别之前的市场峰值。

The analyst highlights the indicator's effectiveness in distinguishing between double tops, similar to those seen in 2017 and 2021, and potential single peaks in the coming months. Currently, Bitcoin's price action resembles the subtle initial rise observed in 2017, suggesting a single top formation. However, the precise location of this peak remains uncertain.

该分析师强调了该指标在区分双顶（与 2017 年和 2021 年类似）和未来几个月潜在单峰方面的有效性。目前，比特币的价格走势类似于 2017 年观察到的微妙的初始上涨，表明存在单一顶部形态。然而，这个峰值的精确位置仍然不确定。

This prediction coincides with a significant increase in bearish bets by leveraged hedge funds. According to data from the United States Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), these funds held a record short position in Bitcoin futures contracts last week, the largest since 2017. Short positions indicate an expectation of price declines, aligning with the current spot market trend.

这一预测恰逢杠杆对冲基金的看跌押注大幅增加。根据美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）的数据，这些基金上周在比特币期货合约中持有创纪录的空头头寸，为 2017 年以来最大。空头头寸表明价格下跌的预期，与当前现货市场趋势一致。

However, despite the increase in shorts, another analyst notes that the futures premium remains high, potentially providing an opportunity for some crypto hedge funds to profit. The number of shorts may further increase as United States Federal Reserve officials maintain their hawkish stance and positive economic data continues to emerge.

然而，尽管空头增加，但另一位分析师指出，期货溢价仍然很高，可能为一些加密货币对冲基金提供获利的机会。随着美联储官员维持鹰派立场以及积极的经济数据不断出现，空头数量可能会进一步增加。

The Federal Reserve, being a data-driven institution, may reconsider its aggressive rate cuts as economic conditions improve. This could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory, as it has historically been sensitive to monetary policy changes.

作为一个数据驱动的机构，美联储可能会随着经济状况的改善而重新考虑其大幅降息。这可能会影响比特币的价格轨迹，因为它历来对货币政策变化很敏感。

While the analyst predicts a positive outlook for Bitcoin, it is crucial to emphasize that the market remains volatile and subject to fluctuations. Investors are advised to conduct their own thorough research before making any investment decisions.

虽然分析师预测比特币前景乐观，但必须强调市场仍然不稳定并容易波动。建议投资者在做出任何投资决定之前进行彻底的研究。