比特幣預測：儘管對沖基金前景黯淡，但分析師預測比特幣將出現逆轉，創歷史新高

儘管近期比特幣現貨價格下跌，但一些分析師仍然樂觀，預測2024 年12 月之前將出現逆轉和飆升。這項預測基於使用費雪變換指標分析的歷史價格模式，該指標準確地識別了過去的峰值。透過將當前價格走勢與 2017 年和 2021 年進行比較，分析師認為今年稍後可能會出現單一峰值，但具體時間和幅度仍不確定。

Bitcoin's Trajectory: Analyst Predicts Reversal and Record Highs Amidst Hedge Fund Bearishness

比特幣的軌跡：分析師預測在對沖基金看跌的情況下比特幣將出現逆轉並創歷史新高

Despite Bitcoin's recent price decline, an analyst maintains an optimistic outlook, forecasting a reversal of losses and a surge to record highs by December 2024. This projection is based on historical price patterns analyzed using the 2-week Fisher Transform indicator, a tool that has accurately identified previous market peaks.

儘管比特幣最近價格下跌，但分析師仍保持樂觀前景，預測到2024 年12 月比特幣將扭轉損失並飆升至歷史新高。該預測基於使用2 週費雪變換指標分析的歷史價格模式，該工具已準確識別先前的市場高峰。

The analyst highlights the indicator's effectiveness in distinguishing between double tops, similar to those seen in 2017 and 2021, and potential single peaks in the coming months. Currently, Bitcoin's price action resembles the subtle initial rise observed in 2017, suggesting a single top formation. However, the precise location of this peak remains uncertain.

該分析師強調了該指標在區分雙頂（與 2017 年和 2021 年類似）和未來幾個月潛在單峰方面的有效性。目前，比特幣的價格走勢類似於 2017 年觀察到的微妙的初始上漲，表明存在單一頂部形態。然而，這個峰值的精確位置仍然不確定。

This prediction coincides with a significant increase in bearish bets by leveraged hedge funds. According to data from the United States Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), these funds held a record short position in Bitcoin futures contracts last week, the largest since 2017. Short positions indicate an expectation of price declines, aligning with the current spot market trend.

這項預測恰逢槓桿對沖基金的看跌押注大幅增加。根據美國商品期貨交易委員會（CFTC）的數據，這些基金上週在比特幣期貨合約中持有創紀錄的空頭頭寸，為 2017 年以來最大。空頭部位表明價格下跌的預期，與當前現貨市場趨勢一致。

However, despite the increase in shorts, another analyst notes that the futures premium remains high, potentially providing an opportunity for some crypto hedge funds to profit. The number of shorts may further increase as United States Federal Reserve officials maintain their hawkish stance and positive economic data continues to emerge.

然而，儘管空頭增加，但另一位分析師指出，期貨溢價仍然很高，可能為一些加密貨幣對沖基金提供獲利的機會。隨著聯準會官員維持鷹派立場以及積極的經濟數據不斷出現，空頭數量可能會進一步增加。

The Federal Reserve, being a data-driven institution, may reconsider its aggressive rate cuts as economic conditions improve. This could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory, as it has historically been sensitive to monetary policy changes.

作為一個數據驅動的機構，聯準會可能會隨著經濟狀況的改善而重新考慮其大幅降息。這可能會影響比特幣的價格軌跡，因為它​​歷來對貨幣政策變化很敏感。

While the analyst predicts a positive outlook for Bitcoin, it is crucial to emphasize that the market remains volatile and subject to fluctuations. Investors are advised to conduct their own thorough research before making any investment decisions.

雖然分析師預測比特幣前景樂觀，但必須強調市場仍然不穩定且容易波動。建議投資者在做出任何投資決定之前進行徹底的研究。