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与普遍的看涨情绪相反,比特币在 10 月份开始出现看跌情绪,该月前三天价格下跌超过 7%。
Bitcoin began October on a bearish note, recording a price decline of over 7% in the first three days of the month. But while the BTC market experienced an uptick on Friday as data from the US Labor Department signaled incoming rate cuts, investors have generally retained a cautionary approach.
比特币从 10 月份开始就处于看跌状态,该月前三天价格下跌超过 7%。尽管由于美国劳工部的数据表明即将降息,比特币市场周五出现上涨,但投资者普遍保持谨慎态度。
Bitcoin price began the new month of October on a bearish note, showing signs of struggle to maintain the bullish momentum that saw the asset hit new all-time highs (ATH) in September. At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is up 2.17% over the past 24 hours, trading at $62,071.
比特币价格在 10 月份的新月份开始时就处于看跌状态,显示出难以维持看涨势头的迹象,该资产在 9 月份创下了历史新高 (ATH)。截至撰写本文时,比特币价格在过去 24 小时内上涨 2.17%,交易价格为 62,071 美元。
However, over the past three days of the month, BTC price has recorded a loss of 7.16%. This decline comes as the asset hit a new local top on September 28, failing to break past the $63,000 resistance level.
然而,本月过去三天,BTC 价格却录得 7.16% 的下跌。此次下跌之际,该资产于 9 月 28 日触及新的局部顶部,但未能突破 63,000 美元的阻力位。
Now, as Bitcoin price experiences a slight recovery following the bearish sentiments at the start of the month,鏈接至外部站点。 Chain analysis platform CryptoQuant has revealed some interesting trends. According to the platform’s data, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, which measures investor sentiments, now signals ‘Fear.’
现在,随着比特币价格在月初的看跌情绪之后出现小幅回升,链接至外部站点。链分析平台 CryptoQuant 揭示了一些有趣的趋势。根据该平台的数据,衡量投资者情绪的比特币恐惧和贪婪指数现在发出“恐惧”信号。
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index signals ‘Fear’ following recent price slump
近期价格暴跌后,比特币恐惧和贪婪指数发出“恐惧”信号
The Fear and Greed Index generally measures the emotions, moods, and behaviors of the crypto market as well as predicts potential trends based on investor sentiment. The index operates on a 0-100 scale, where values above 50 indicate greed, with anything over 74 representing extreme greed, while values below 50 signal fear, and under 24, extreme fear.
恐惧和贪婪指数通常衡量加密货币市场的情绪、情绪和行为,并根据投资者情绪预测潜在趋势。该指数的范围为 0-100,其中值高于 50 表示贪婪,超过 74 表示极度贪婪,而值低于 50 表示恐惧,低于 24 表示极度恐惧。
According to maartunn, an analyst on CryptoQuant, the Fear and Greed Index is currently at 37, indicating that many investors are cautious about adding the leading cryptocurrency to their portfolio. In particular, the analyst notes that each time the Fear and Greed Index reached the fear level since 2023, Bitcoin’s price has formed a bottom, i.e. reached the lowest point during a price decline, and is set for price reversal.
CryptoQuant 分析师 maartunn 表示,恐惧和贪婪指数目前为 37,表明许多投资者对将领先的加密货币添加到投资组合持谨慎态度。该分析师特别指出,自2023年以来,每当恐惧和贪婪指数达到恐惧水平时,比特币的价格就已经形成底部,即达到价格下跌期间的最低点,并为价格反转做好准备。
Bitcoin price might have already bottomed out as it begins to form a recovery from the fear level, which could see the asset rally to new highs before the end of the year. However, it cannot be said that the price bottom has now occurred as Bitcoin’s daily chart shows the asset is still far above its next significant support level following months of consolidation between $55,000 – 70,000.
比特币价格可能已经触底,因为它开始从恐惧水平复苏,这可能会导致资产在年底前反弹至新高。然而,不能说价格已经触底,因为比特币日线图显示,在 55,000 美元至 70,000 美元之间盘整数月之后,该资产仍远高于其下一个重要支撑位。
Bitcoin price is now facing resistance at the $63,000 level, which has caused the asset to begin forming lower highs on the daily chart. If BTC price fails to break past this resistance level soon, it could begin forming a double top pattern, which will invalidate any bullish expectations for the month.
比特币价格目前面临 63,000 美元水平的阻力,这导致该资产开始在日线图上形成较低的高点。如果比特币价格未能很快突破这一阻力位,它可能会开始形成双顶模式,这将使本月的任何看涨预期失效。
Stablecoin activity supports fear, uncertainty among investors
稳定币活动加剧了投资者的恐惧和不确定性
In addition to the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index of 37, the crypto market has also experienced an increase in the market activity of stablecoins namely the Tether USD (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC). This development indicates that investors are opting for less volatile assets than risky coins such as Bitcoin, which is often due to uncertainty and fear of impending price crash.
除了比特币恐惧和贪婪指数为 37 之外,加密货币市场的稳定币 Tether USD (USDT) 和 USD Coin (USDC) 的市场活动也有所增加。这一发展表明,与比特币等高风险代币相比,投资者选择波动性较小的资产,这通常是由于不确定性和对即将到来的价格崩盘的担忧。
A CryptoQuant analyst known as BaroVirtual has attributed this fear to several factors including weak retail market participation, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, as well as the SEC’s hesitation to launch a Spot Ethereum ETF Options. At the same time, another analyst has noted that the options market is also showing signs of fear among traders.
一位名为 BaroVirtual 的 CryptoQuant 分析师将这种担忧归因于多种因素,包括零售市场参与度疲软、中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧,以及 SEC 对推出现货以太坊 ETF 期权犹豫不决。与此同时,另一位分析师指出,期权市场也显示出交易者的恐惧迹象。
According to the analyst, the options Put/Call Open Interest Ratio, which measures the total amount of bearish (Put) options relative to bullish (Call) options, has shown a bullish bias throughout the recent bull market. But now, as Bitcoin price hit new highs and began to consolidate, the Put/Call OI Ratio has shown a bearish bias.
这位分析师表示,期权看跌/看涨未平仓利率衡量的是看跌(看跌)期权相对于看涨(看涨)期权的总量,在最近的牛市中表现出看涨倾向。但现在,随着比特币价格创下新高并开始盘整,看跌/看涨期权持仓比率已显示出看跌倾向。
This development suggests that options traders are now expecting a price bottom to occur soon, which will see the asset begin to rally to new highs before the end of the year. However, if the options market continues to show bearish sentiments, it could indicate that the recent bullish momentum may fizzle out soon.
这一事态发展表明,期权交易者现在预计价格很快就会触底,这将使该资产在年底前开始反弹至新高。然而,如果期权市场继续表现出看跌情绪,则可能表明近期的看涨势头可能很快就会消失。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin continues to exchange hands at 62,071 following a 2.17% gain in the last day. Meanwhile, the token’s daily trading volume is down 17.91% and valued at $29.71 billion.
截至撰写本文时,比特币继续以 62,071 换手,继最后一天上涨 2.17% 后。与此同时,该代币的日交易量下降了 17.91%,价值 297.1 亿美元。
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