比特币、以太坊在减半前飙升，顶住抛售压力

比特币减半事件在即，引发多空大战。分析师预测购买活动增加，导致 BTC 和 ETH 价格飙升。积极的链上指标显示 BTC 和 ETH 的大量积累，尽管价格波动，但净流量却在减少。随着比特币在窄幅区间内振荡，空头试图将价格推至支撑线以下，而突破均线则可能会创下新的历史高点。以太坊面临类似的竞争，价格为 3,400 美元，跌破 3,100 美元可能会引发抛售压力。

Bitcoin and Ethereum Surge Ahead of Halving Event, Defying Bearish Pressure

比特币和以太坊在减半事件之前飙升，克服了看跌压力

With the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event just days away, the cryptocurrency market is witnessing an intense battle between bulls and bears. Despite facing formidable resistance from sellers, buyers are relentlessly striving to establish a new all-time high for Bitcoin before the event.

距离备受期待的比特币减半事件仅剩几天，加密货币市场正在见证多头与空头之间的激烈争夺。尽管面临卖家的强大阻力，但买家仍在不懈努力，在活动之前创造比特币的历史新高。

The resilience of the market is evident in the eager accumulation observed at every dip in Bitcoin and Ethereum's value. Top analysts anticipate a surge in buying activity leading up to the halving, predicting a subsequent spike in BTC and ETH prices.

市场的弹性在比特币和以太坊价值每次下跌时所观察到的急切增持中显而易见。顶级分析师预计减半前购买活动将激增，并预测 BTC 和 ETH 价格随后将飙升。

Robust Demand Signals Institutional Confidence

强劲的需求表明机构信心

Analysts have expressed increasing bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin and Ethereum, citing promising patterns despite persistent selling pressures. Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, has highlighted the potential for $1 trillion to flow into the bitcoin market through institutional investments in newly launched spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

尽管抛售压力持续存在，但分析师们对比特币和以太坊的看涨情绪日益高涨，并指出其前景乐观。 Bitwise 首席投资官 Matt Hougan 强调，通过新推出的现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的机构投资，有可能有 1 万亿美元流入比特币市场。

Such institutional interest has the potential to drive Bitcoin's value beyond $100,000 and Ethereum's above $6,000 in the coming months. This bullish outlook has encouraged investors to increase their holdings of BTC and ETH during price pullbacks.

这种机构兴趣有可能在未来几个月内推动比特币的价值超过 100,000 美元，以太坊的价值超过 6,000 美元。这种看涨前景鼓励投资者在价格回调期间增持 BTC 和 ETH。

On-Chain Metrics Reveal Accumulation Trend

链上指标揭示积累趋势

Data from IntoTheBlock indicates a sharp decline in Bitcoin's Netflow metric, currently standing at 9.47K BTC. This decline suggests that investors are actively accumulating BTC, even as prices fluctuate. Similarly, Ethereum's Netflow metric has entered the negative zone at 50K ETH, signaling a reduction in exchange reserves and a diminished likelihood of a price decline.

来自 IntoTheBlock 的数据表明，比特币的 Netflow 指标急剧下降，目前为 9.47K BTC。这种下跌表明，即使价格波动，投资者仍在积极积累比特币。同样，以太坊的 Netflow 指标已进入 50K ETH 的负值区域，这表明外汇储备减少，价格下跌的可能性降低。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Resilience Amidst Volatility

比特币价格分析：波动中的韧性

Bitcoin has recently been trading within a tight range between $72K and $68K, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. Despite attempts by bears to establish a downward trend below support lines, the cryptocurrency has demonstrated resilience.

比特币最近一直在 7.2 万美元到 6.8 万美元之间的窄幅区间内交易，反映出买家和卖家之间的平衡。尽管空头试图在支撑线下方建立下降趋势，但加密货币已表现出弹性。

A recent breakout below Fib levels indicates a growing bearish dominance, supported by the declining trend of the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching the oversold region.

最近突破斐波那契水平表明看跌主导地位不断增强，受到 20 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 下降趋势和接近超卖区域的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 的支撑。

However, a surge above EMA lines would push the price towards $72K, providing an opportunity for buyers to break through the $74K barrier and establish a new all-time high near $80K. Conversely, a downturn below the uptrend line could indicate profit-taking by buyers, potentially leading to a decline towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) around $63K.

然而，突破 EMA 线将推动价格升至 72,000 美元，为买家提供突破 74,000 美元关口并在 80,000 美元附近建立新的历史高点的机会。相反，跌破上升趋势线可能表明买家获利了结，可能导致价格跌向 6.3 万美元左右的 50 天简单移动平均线 (SMA)。

Ethereum Price Analysis: Battle for Support

以太坊价格分析：支持之战

Ethereum has been closely hovering around the $3,400 support level, signaling a tense battle between buyers and sellers. The recent drop below EMA trend lines has strengthened the confidence of sellers.

以太坊一直紧密徘徊在 3,400 美元的支撑位附近，这表明买家和卖家之间的紧张斗争。最近跌破EMA趋势线增强了卖家的信心。

Should the price continue to decline and reach the $3,100 support, it will likely test buyers' patience. A breach below this level could trigger a wave of selling pressure.

如果价格继续下跌并达到 3,100 美元的支撑位，可能会考验买家的耐心。跌破该水平可能会引发一波抛售压力。

On the other hand, a rebound from the current level or above $3,100 would stimulate buying demand, potentially resulting in a breakout above $3,650 and a consolidation around the $4K mark.

另一方面，从当前水平或 3,100 美元以上反弹将刺激购买需求，可能导致突破 3,650 美元并在 4000 美元大关附近盘整。

Conclusion: Bullish Sentiment Prevails

结论：看涨情绪盛行

As the Bitcoin halving event nears, the cryptocurrency market is poised for a surge in buying activity. Despite short-term fluctuations and resistance from sellers, the underlying trend remains bullish. Institutional interest, robust accumulation, and positive on-chain metrics reinforce the potential for substantial gains in both Bitcoin and Ethereum. The battle between bulls and bears will continue, but the momentum appears to be shifting in favor of the former.

随着比特币减半事件的临近，加密货币市场的购买活动有望激增。尽管存在短期波动和卖方阻力，但基本趋势仍然看涨。机构兴趣、强劲的积累和积极的链上指标增强了比特币和以太坊大幅收益的潜力。多头和空头之间的战斗仍将继续，但势头似乎正在向有利于前者的方向转变。