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比特币在持续的价格纠正中甚至在Altcoin市场上保持了主导地位。领先的加密货币已成为焦点
Bitcoin has continued to maintain its dominance in the altcoin market even amid the recent price corrections. The flagship cryptocurrency has been in the spotlight throughout this market cycle, but one technical outlook suggests that it needs to give way.
即使在最近的价格校正中,比特币也继续在Altcoin市场中保持优势。在整个市场周期中,旗舰加密货币一直是人们关注的焦点,但是一种技术前景表明它需要让位。
Particularly, a crypto analyst known as Seth on social media platform X pointed to Bitcoin’s dominance relative strength index (RSI) as a crucial factor that must change before Bitcoin and the broader market can kick off another leg upward.
特别是,一位在社交媒体平台上被称为塞思(Seth)的加密分析师X指出,比特币的相对强度指数(RSI)是必须改变比特币和更广泛的市场可以改变的关键因素。
Bitcoin Dominance RSI Hits New Level
比特币优势RSI达到了新的水平
Seth’s latest analysis, shared on X, highlights a critical observation regarding Bitcoin’s market dominance. He noted that Bitcoin’s monthly dominance RSI recently surged to 70, a level that has never been reached before in Bitcoin’s history. While this might seem like a bullish signal at first glance, the analyst suggests otherwise, warning that the dominance RSI must cool down for the final phase of the bull run to take place. This perspective comes as the crypto market experiences a downturn, leaving investors questioning when the next bullish wave will begin.
塞思(Seth)在X上分享的最新分析强调了关于比特币市场优势的重要观察。他指出,比特币的每月主导地位RSI最近飙升至70,这是比特币历史上从未达到的水平。虽然乍一看这似乎是一个看涨的信号,但分析师建议另外,警告说,RSI必须在公牛奔跑的最后阶段冷静下来。这种观点是因为加密货币市场经历了衰退,因此投资者质疑下一个看涨浪潮何时开始。
RSI, or relative strength index, tracks the speed and change of price movements and is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. With Bitcoin’s RSI dominance at such an extreme level, even with the recent price decline, it suggests that BTC’s control over the market is at an unsustainable peak, which could slow down the broader market rally.
RSI或相对强度指数跟踪价格变动的速度和变化,并用于识别过多买卖条件。随着比特币的RSI优势在如此极高的水平上,即使最近的价格下跌,BTC对市场的控制权是不可持续的峰值,这可能会减缓更广泛的市场集会。
According to Seth, those who fail to grasp this concept do not understand the fundamental mechanics of financial markets, as this principle applies beyond just Bitcoin and altcoins. Given this, the healthiest path forward would be a reduction in Bitcoin’s dominance over the next few weeks, with the analyst projecting a fall to 44% dominance.
根据塞思的说法,那些未能掌握这一概念的人不了解金融市场的基本机制,因为该原则不仅适用于比特币和山寨币。鉴于此,最健康的途径将是在接下来的几周内降低比特币的统治地位,分析师预计下降至44%的优势。
Why BTC’s RSI Dominance Decline Matters
为什么BTC的RSI优势下降很重要
A decline in Bitcoin’s RSI dominance would mean that the market is shifting toward more balanced conditions, allowing capital to flow into altcoins and drive up their prices. Throughout past bull cycles, particularly in 2021, Bitcoin’s rise to a peak was often followed by a surge in altcoin investments, triggering widespread rallies across the market.
比特币的RSI优势下降将意味着市场正在向更加平衡的条件转移,使资本可以流入山寨币并提高其价格。在过去的牛周期中,尤其是在2021年,比特币的上升到达到顶峰之后,随后是山寨币投资激增,引发了整个市场的广泛集会。
This pattern has historically marked the final phase of a bull run, where capital flows away from Bitcoin and into altcoins with a higher potential for short-term gains. Until Bitcoin’s dominance cools off, the altcoin sector may struggle to gain momentum and continue to derail the final phase of the BTC bull run.
这种模式从历史上标志着公牛奔跑的最后阶段,那里的资本从比特币流向了山寨币,其短期收益潜力较高。除非比特币的主导地位降温,altcoin行业可能会努力获得动力,并继续破坏BTC Bull Run的最后阶段。
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $81,500, reflecting a 2.5% decline in the last 24 hours. Market data from CoinMarketCap indicates that Bitcoin’s dominance currently stands at 61.0%, having risen by 0.65% within the same period. This growing dominance suggests that capital remains concentrated in BTC.
在撰写本文时,BTC的交易价格为81,500美元,反映了过去24小时内下降2.5%。 CoinMarketCap的市场数据表明,比特币的优势目前为61.0%,同期在同一时期增长了0.65%。这种日益增长的主导地位表明,资本仍然集中在BTC中。
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