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比特幣在持續的價格糾正中甚至在Altcoin市場上保持了主導地位。領先的加密貨幣已成為焦點
Bitcoin has continued to maintain its dominance in the altcoin market even amid the recent price corrections. The flagship cryptocurrency has been in the spotlight throughout this market cycle, but one technical outlook suggests that it needs to give way.
即使在最近的價格校正中,比特幣也繼續在Altcoin市場中保持優勢。在整個市場週期中,旗艦加密貨幣一直是人們關注的焦點,但是一種技術前景表明它需要讓位。
Particularly, a crypto analyst known as Seth on social media platform X pointed to Bitcoin’s dominance relative strength index (RSI) as a crucial factor that must change before Bitcoin and the broader market can kick off another leg upward.
特別是,一位在社交媒體平台上被稱為塞思(Seth)的加密分析師X指出,比特幣的相對強度指數(RSI)是必須改變比特幣和更廣泛的市場可以改變的關鍵因素。
Bitcoin Dominance RSI Hits New Level
比特幣優勢RSI達到了新的水平
Seth’s latest analysis, shared on X, highlights a critical observation regarding Bitcoin’s market dominance. He noted that Bitcoin’s monthly dominance RSI recently surged to 70, a level that has never been reached before in Bitcoin’s history. While this might seem like a bullish signal at first glance, the analyst suggests otherwise, warning that the dominance RSI must cool down for the final phase of the bull run to take place. This perspective comes as the crypto market experiences a downturn, leaving investors questioning when the next bullish wave will begin.
塞思(Seth)在X上分享的最新分析強調了關於比特幣市場優勢的重要觀察。他指出,比特幣的每月主導地位RSI最近飆升至70,這是比特幣歷史上從未達到的水平。雖然乍一看這似乎是一個看漲的信號,但分析師建議另外,警告說,RSI必須在公牛奔跑的最後階段冷靜下來。這種觀點是因為加密貨幣市場經歷了衰退,因此投資者質疑下一個看漲浪潮何時開始。
RSI, or relative strength index, tracks the speed and change of price movements and is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. With Bitcoin’s RSI dominance at such an extreme level, even with the recent price decline, it suggests that BTC’s control over the market is at an unsustainable peak, which could slow down the broader market rally.
RSI或相對強度指數跟踪價格變動的速度和變化,並用於識別過多買賣條件。隨著比特幣的RSI優勢在如此極高的水平上,即使最近的價格下跌,BTC對市場的控制權是不可持續的峰值,這可能會減緩更廣泛的市場集會。
According to Seth, those who fail to grasp this concept do not understand the fundamental mechanics of financial markets, as this principle applies beyond just Bitcoin and altcoins. Given this, the healthiest path forward would be a reduction in Bitcoin’s dominance over the next few weeks, with the analyst projecting a fall to 44% dominance.
根據塞思的說法,那些未能掌握這一概念的人不了解金融市場的基本機制,因為該原則不僅適用於比特幣和山寨幣。鑑於此,最健康的途徑將是在接下來的幾週內降低比特幣的統治地位,分析師預計下降至44%的優勢。
Why BTC’s RSI Dominance Decline Matters
為什麼BTC的RSI優勢下降很重要
A decline in Bitcoin’s RSI dominance would mean that the market is shifting toward more balanced conditions, allowing capital to flow into altcoins and drive up their prices. Throughout past bull cycles, particularly in 2021, Bitcoin’s rise to a peak was often followed by a surge in altcoin investments, triggering widespread rallies across the market.
比特幣的RSI優勢下降將意味著市場正在向更加平衡的條件轉移,使資本可以流入山寨幣並提高其價格。在過去的牛週期中,尤其是在2021年,比特幣的上升到達到頂峰之後,隨後是山寨幣投資激增,引發了整個市場的廣泛集會。
This pattern has historically marked the final phase of a bull run, where capital flows away from Bitcoin and into altcoins with a higher potential for short-term gains. Until Bitcoin’s dominance cools off, the altcoin sector may struggle to gain momentum and continue to derail the final phase of the BTC bull run.
這種模式從歷史上標誌著公牛奔跑的最後階段,那裡的資本從比特幣流向了山寨幣,其短期收益潛力較高。除非比特幣的主導地位降溫,altcoin行業可能會努力獲得動力,並繼續破壞BTC Bull Run的最後階段。
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $81,500, reflecting a 2.5% decline in the last 24 hours. Market data from CoinMarketCap indicates that Bitcoin’s dominance currently stands at 61.0%, having risen by 0.65% within the same period. This growing dominance suggests that capital remains concentrated in BTC.
在撰寫本文時,BTC的交易價格為81,500美元,反映了過去24小時內下降2.5%。 CoinMarketCap的市場數據表明,比特幣的優勢目前為61.0%,同期在同一時期增長了0.65%。這種日益增長的主導地位表明,資本仍然集中在BTC中。
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