比特币的命运：全面审视预测和预测

比特币的价格仍然是猜测的主题，人们的观点从乐观到悲观不等。全球专家预测，由于机构投资增加，到 2024 年，这一数字将增至 122,000 美元。然而，由于通胀和债券收益率担忧，一些分析师表达了看跌观点。在中东，市场情绪乐观，高管们预计，由于全球流动性和供应减少，价格将飙升至 10 万美元以上。

The Fate of Bitcoin: A Comprehensive Analysis of Predictions and Projections

比特币的命运：预测和预测的综合分析

Amidst the ceaseless fluctuations of the cryptocurrency market, the enigmatic question that haunts the minds of countless enthusiasts, investors, and traders alike remains: will Bitcoin's trajectory propel it to the coveted $100,000 milestone by the end of 2024?

在加密货币市场的不断波动中，困扰着无数爱好者、投资者和交易者的一个神秘问题仍然存在：比特币的发展轨迹是否会推动其在 2024 年底达到令人垂涎的 10 万美元里程碑？

Historical Precedents and Market Sentiment

历史先例和市场情绪

In the midst of the market's bullish fervor, which has recently given way to a period of consolidation, industry experts exuded unwavering confidence in Bitcoin's ability to ascend to $100,000 and beyond. This optimism was fueled by Bitcoin's remarkable ascent of over 100 percent in the preceding 12 months.

在市场的看涨热情中，最近已经被盘整期所取代，行业专家对比特币升至 10 万美元及以上的能力表现出坚定不移的信心。比特币在过去 12 个月内涨幅超过 100%，加剧了这种乐观情绪。

On March 14, 2024, Bitcoin surged to an all-time intraday high of $73,835.57, igniting widespread belief in its imminent march towards the six-figure mark. However, the past week has witnessed a substantial decline, pushing Bitcoin below the $60,000 threshold.

2024 年 3 月 14 日，比特币飙升至历史最高点 73,835.57 美元，引发了人们对其即将迈向六位数大关的广泛信心。然而，过去一周比特币大幅下跌，跌破 60,000 美元大关。

Global Perspectives: Bullish and Bearish Views

全球视角：看涨和看跌观点

Across the globe, a spectrum of viewpoints has emerged regarding Bitcoin's future trajectory. A recent Finder survey, which polled the insights of 31 fintech experts, suggests that Bitcoin could potentially reach $122,000 by the end of 2024 and soar to $155,000 by 2025.

在全球范围内，关于比特币未来发展轨迹的观点多种多样。 Finder 最近的一项调查对 31 位金融科技专家的见解进行了调查，结果表明，到 2024 年底，比特币的价格可能会达到 122,000 美元，到 2025 年将飙升至 155,000 美元。

This bullish sentiment is bolstered by the increasing participation of institutional investors, who are recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. AllianceBernstein, a global asset management firm, shares this optimistic outlook, anticipating a resumption of Bitcoin's bullish trajectory following the halving event.

这种看涨情绪得到了机构投资者日益增多的参与的支撑，他们认识到比特币作为一种有价值的资产类别的潜力。全球资产管理公司AllianceBernstein也持同样乐观的看法，预计比特币在减半事件后将恢复看涨轨迹。

"We expect Bitcoin's bullish trajectory to resume post-halving, when the mining hash rates have adjusted and ETF inflows resume back (negative to flat flows last 10 days)," stated Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra in a research note.

Gautam Chhugani 和 Mahika Sapra 在一份研究报告中表示：“我们预计比特币的看涨轨迹将在减半后恢复，届时挖矿算力已调整且 ETF 流入量将恢复（过去 10 天流量为负值至持平）。”

Crypto analyst Captain Faibik also embraces a bullish stance, forecasting a surge of 15-20 percent in the near future. Faibik's analysis identifies the emergence of an upside breakout within the Falling Wedge pattern, a technical indicator often associated with a trend reversal and indicative of an impending bullish rally.

加密货币分析师 Captain Faibik 也持看涨立场，预测在不久的将来会飙升 15-20%。 Faibik 的分析表明，下降楔形模式中出现了上行突破，该技术指标通常与趋势反转相关，并预示着即将到来的看涨反弹。

Bearish Countercurrents

看跌逆流

Amidst the prevailing optimism, dissenting voices have emerged, cautioning against complacency. Markus Thielen, founder of 10X Research, warns of the potential for a significant price correction in risk assets, including stocks and cryptocurrencies, citing persistent inflation and rising bond yields.

在乐观情绪盛行的同时，也出现了反对的声音，警告不要自满。 10X Research 创始人马库斯·蒂伦 (Markus Thielen) 警告称，由于持续的通胀和债券收益率上升，包括股票和加密货币在内的风险资产可能出现大幅价格调整。

Thielen's bearish outlook extends to his investment strategy, as he has recently liquidated all his tech stocks and maintains a limited exposure to cryptocurrencies. He warns that the overall macroeconomic environment is conducive to a broader decline in risk assets.

蒂伦的看跌前景延伸到了他的投资策略，因为他最近清算了所有科技股票，并保持了有限的加密货币敞口。他警告说，整体宏观经济环境有利于风险资产更广泛的下跌。

Banking giant Goldman Sachs reiterates its bearish stance, dismissing the notion of Bitcoin's inclusion in investment portfolios and emphasizing its clients' lack of interest in the cryptocurrency. Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff derides Bitcoin as "gambling money" with no intrinsic value.

银行业巨头高盛重申其看跌立场，否认将比特币纳入投资组合的想法，并强调其客户对加密货币缺乏兴趣。经济学家兼黄金倡导者彼得·希夫嘲笑比特币是没有内在价值的“赌钱”。

Santiment, a chain data provider, has recently detected a souring of sentiment surrounding Bitcoin following the recent dip. The prevailing ratio of bearish to bullish comments reflects this negativity, suggesting a climate of apprehension among traders.

区块链数据提供商 Santiment 最近发现，在最近的下跌之后，围绕比特币的情绪正在恶化。看跌评论与看涨评论的普遍比例反映了这种消极情绪，表明交易者中存在一种忧虑的气氛。

Regional Perspectives: Middle East Sentiment

区域视角：中东情绪

To gauge the sentiment towards Bitcoin's $100,000 target in the Middle East region, Economy Middle East sought the insights of crypto exchange executives and investors.

为了衡量中东地区比特币 10 万美元目标的情绪，Economy Middle East 寻求加密货币交易所高管和投资者的见解。

Talal Tabbaa, founder of MENA-based crypto broker CoinMENA, exudes bullishness, stating: "Bitcoin hitting 100k is a matter of when, not if." He attributes this anticipated surge to two primary factors: global liquidity and the limited supply of Bitcoin available for sale.

中东和北非加密货币经纪商 CoinMENA 的创始人 Talal Tabbaa 流露出看涨情绪，他表示：“比特币突破 10 万只是时间问题，而不是是否会发生的问题。”他将这种预期的激增归因于两个主要因素：全球流动性和可供出售的比特币供应有限。

Tabbaa anticipates that central banks will resume quantitative easing to finance their growing budget deficits, while the Bitcoin halving event will reduce the daily supply of newly mined Bitcoins by half. These factors, he asserts, are likely to propel Bitcoin's price well above $100,000 within the next 18 months.

Tabbaa 预计，各国央行将恢复量化宽松政策，为其不断增长的预算赤字提供资金，而比特币减半事件将使新开采的比特币的每日供应量减少一半。他断言，这些因素可能会在未来 18 个月内推动比特币的价格远超 10 万美元。

Vineet Budki, managing partner and CEO of Cypher Capital, adopts an even more bullish stance, envisioning Bitcoin soaring to heights that seem improbable to some today. He notes the staggering increase in crypto wallets, indicating a growing global adoption of cryptocurrencies.

Cypher Capital 的执行合伙人兼首席执行官 Vineet Budki 采取了更为乐观的立场，他预计比特币将飙升至今天一些人看来不可能的高度。他注意到加密钱包的惊人增长，表明加密货币在全球范围内的采用不断增长。

Budki postulates that as the number of global crypto owners surpasses 15 percent of the world's population, the price of Bitcoin will inevitably escalate. He believes that the potential for Bitcoin to reach $1 million by 2030 is not far-fetched.

Budki 假设，随着全球加密货币拥有者数量超过世界人口的 15%，比特币的价格将不可避免地上涨。他认为，比特币到 2030 年达到 100 万美元的潜力并非遥不可及。

Resilience and Institutional Acceptance

弹性和机构接受度

Matt Dixon, founder and CEO of UAE-based Evai, an AI crypto rating platform, believes that while cryptocurrencies are still defining their fundamental characteristics, they have already demonstrated resilience. He notes the growing institutional acceptance of Bitcoin, particularly with the recent regulatory approval of Bitcoin ETFs.

总部位于阿联酋的人工智能加密货币评级平台 Evai 的创始人兼首席执行官马特·迪克森 (Matt Dixon) 认为，虽然加密货币仍在定义其基本特征，但它们已经表现出了弹性。他指出，机构对比特币的接受度不断提高，特别是最近监管部门批准了比特币 ETF。

Dixon's outlook is promising, as he foresees Bitcoin potentially crossing the $100,000 threshold due to its increasing adoption as a digital store of value and hedge against inflation.

Dixon 的前景十分乐观，因为他预计比特币可能会突破 10 万美元的门槛，因为比特币作为一种数字价值储存手段和对冲通胀的手段越来越多地被采用。

Sam A. Speirs, regional director for Bitget crypto exchange, concurs, stating that Bitcoin's trajectory towards $100,000 before 2025 is not merely a possibility, but a likelihood. He anticipates that Bitcoin could potentially exceed $120,000 post-halving.

Bitget 加密货币交易所区域总监 Sam A. Speirs 对此表示赞同，他表示比特币在 2025 年之前达到 10 万美元的轨迹不仅是一种可能性，而且是可能性。他预计比特币减半后的价格可能会超过 12 万美元。

Saqr Ereiqat, CEO of TradeDog market manager, expresses unwavering optimism, citing a confluence of factors that support Bitcoin's bullish outlook. He highlights the halving, accelerating user adoption, advancements in layer 2 technology for faster transactions, and the recent launch of ETFs.

TradeDog 市场经理首席执行官 Saqr Ereiqat 表达了坚定不移的乐观态度，并列举了支持比特币看涨前景的多种因素。他强调了减半、加速用户采用、第 2 层技术的进步以加快交易速度，以及最近推出的 ETF。

Conclusion

结论

The fate of Bitcoin remains a matter of intense speculation and debate. The opinions of experts vary widely, ranging from bullish projections of $122,000 or even $155,000 by 2025 to bearish warnings of a broader correction in risk assets.

比特币的命运仍然是一个激烈的猜测和争论的问题。专家们的意见差异很大，从乐观预测到 2025 年将达到 122,000 美元甚至 155,000 美元，到悲观警告称风险资产将出现更广泛的调整。

While the market has recently faced some headwinds, the underlying sentiment towards Bitcoin remains positive, with many analysts anticipating a resumption of its bullish trajectory following the halving event. Institutional adoption and growing global interest are the key factors driving the belief that Bitcoin has the potential to achieve new milestones in the coming months and years.

尽管市场最近面临一些阻力，但人们对比特币的基本情绪仍然乐观，许多分析师预计比特币减半事件后将恢复看涨轨迹。机构采用和日益增长的全球兴趣是促使人们相信比特币有潜力在未来几个月和几年内实现新里程碑的关键因素。

However, it is imperative for investors to exercise due diligence, conduct thorough research, and maintain a disciplined approach to risk management when navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrencies.

然而，投资者在应对动荡的加密货币世界时，必须进行尽职调查，进行彻底的研究，并保持严格的风险管理方法。