比特幣的命運：全面檢視預測與預測

比特幣的價格仍然是猜測的主題，人們的觀點從樂觀到悲觀不等。全球專家預測，由於機構投資增加，到 2024 年，這一數字將增加至 122,000 美元。然而，由於通膨和債券殖利率擔憂，一些分析師表達了看跌觀點。在中東，市場情緒樂觀，高層預計，由於全球流動性和供應減少，價格將飆升至 10 萬美元以上。

The Fate of Bitcoin: A Comprehensive Analysis of Predictions and Projections

比特幣的命運：預測和預測的綜合分析

Amidst the ceaseless fluctuations of the cryptocurrency market, the enigmatic question that haunts the minds of countless enthusiasts, investors, and traders alike remains: will Bitcoin's trajectory propel it to the coveted $100,000 milestone by the end of 2024?

在加密貨幣市場的不斷波動中，困擾著無數愛好者、投資者和交易者的一個神秘問題仍然存在：比特幣的發展軌跡是否會推動其在 2024 年底達到令人垂涎的 10 萬美元里程碑？

Historical Precedents and Market Sentiment

歷史先例和市場情緒

In the midst of the market's bullish fervor, which has recently given way to a period of consolidation, industry experts exuded unwavering confidence in Bitcoin's ability to ascend to $100,000 and beyond. This optimism was fueled by Bitcoin's remarkable ascent of over 100 percent in the preceding 12 months.

在市場的看漲熱情中，最近已經被盤整期所取代，行業專家對比特幣升至 10 萬美元及以上的能力表現出堅定不移的信心。比特幣在過去 12 個月內漲幅超過 100%，加劇了這種樂觀情緒。

On March 14, 2024, Bitcoin surged to an all-time intraday high of $73,835.57, igniting widespread belief in its imminent march towards the six-figure mark. However, the past week has witnessed a substantial decline, pushing Bitcoin below the $60,000 threshold.

2024 年 3 月 14 日，比特幣飆升至歷史最高點 73,835.57 美元，引發了人們對其即將邁向六位數大關的廣泛信心。然而，過去一周比特幣大幅下跌，跌破 6 萬美元大關。

Global Perspectives: Bullish and Bearish Views

全球視野：看漲與看跌觀點

Across the globe, a spectrum of viewpoints has emerged regarding Bitcoin's future trajectory. A recent Finder survey, which polled the insights of 31 fintech experts, suggests that Bitcoin could potentially reach $122,000 by the end of 2024 and soar to $155,000 by 2025.

在全球範圍內，關於比特幣未來發展軌跡的觀點多種多樣。 Finder 最近的一項調查對 31 位金融科技專家的見解進行了調查，結果表明，到 2024 年底，比特幣的價格可能會達到 122,000 美元，到 2025 年將飆升至 155,000 美元。

This bullish sentiment is bolstered by the increasing participation of institutional investors, who are recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. AllianceBernstein, a global asset management firm, shares this optimistic outlook, anticipating a resumption of Bitcoin's bullish trajectory following the halving event.

這種看漲情緒得到了機構投資者日益增多的參與的支撐，他們認識到比特幣作為有價值的資產類別的潛力。全球資產管理公司AllianceBernstein也持同樣樂觀的看法，預計比特幣在減半事件後將恢復看漲軌跡。

"We expect Bitcoin's bullish trajectory to resume post-halving, when the mining hash rates have adjusted and ETF inflows resume back (negative to flat flows last 10 days)," stated Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra in a research note.

Gautam Chhugani 和Mahika Sapra 在一份研究報告中表示：「我們預計比特幣的看漲軌跡將在減半後恢復，屆時挖礦算力已調整且ETF 流入量將恢復（過去10 天流量為負值至持平）。

Crypto analyst Captain Faibik also embraces a bullish stance, forecasting a surge of 15-20 percent in the near future. Faibik's analysis identifies the emergence of an upside breakout within the Falling Wedge pattern, a technical indicator often associated with a trend reversal and indicative of an impending bullish rally.

加密貨幣分析師 Captain Faibik 也持看漲立場，預測在不久的將來會飆升 15-20%。 Faibik 的分析表明，在下降楔形模式中出現了上行突破，該技術指標通常與趨勢反轉相關，並預示著即將到來的看漲反彈。

Bearish Countercurrents

看跌逆流

Amidst the prevailing optimism, dissenting voices have emerged, cautioning against complacency. Markus Thielen, founder of 10X Research, warns of the potential for a significant price correction in risk assets, including stocks and cryptocurrencies, citing persistent inflation and rising bond yields.

在樂觀情緒盛行的同時，也出現了反對的聲音，警告不要自滿。 10X Research 創辦人 Markus Thielen 警告稱，由於持續的通膨和債券殖利率上升，包括股票和加密貨幣在內的風險資產可能會大幅價格調整。

Thielen's bearish outlook extends to his investment strategy, as he has recently liquidated all his tech stocks and maintains a limited exposure to cryptocurrencies. He warns that the overall macroeconomic environment is conducive to a broader decline in risk assets.

蒂倫的看跌前景延伸到了他的投資策略，因為他最近清算了所有科技股票，並保持了有限的加密貨幣風險。他警告說，整體宏觀經濟環境有利於風險資產更廣泛的下跌。

Banking giant Goldman Sachs reiterates its bearish stance, dismissing the notion of Bitcoin's inclusion in investment portfolios and emphasizing its clients' lack of interest in the cryptocurrency. Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff derides Bitcoin as "gambling money" with no intrinsic value.

銀行業巨頭高盛重申其看跌立場，否認將比特幣納入投資組合的想法，並強調其客戶對加密貨幣缺乏興趣。經濟學家兼黃金倡導者彼得·希夫嘲笑比特幣是沒有內在價值的「賭錢」。

Santiment, a chain data provider, has recently detected a souring of sentiment surrounding Bitcoin following the recent dip. The prevailing ratio of bearish to bullish comments reflects this negativity, suggesting a climate of apprehension among traders.

區塊鏈數據提供商 Santiment 最近發現，在最近的下跌之後，圍繞比特幣的情緒正在惡化。看跌評論與看漲評論的普遍比例反映了這種負面情緒，顯示交易者中存在著一種憂慮的氣氛。

Regional Perspectives: Middle East Sentiment

區域視角：中東情緒

To gauge the sentiment towards Bitcoin's $100,000 target in the Middle East region, Economy Middle East sought the insights of crypto exchange executives and investors.

為了衡量中東地區比特幣 10 萬美元目標的情緒，Economy Middle East 尋求加密貨幣交易所高管和投資者的見解。

Talal Tabbaa, founder of MENA-based crypto broker CoinMENA, exudes bullishness, stating: "Bitcoin hitting 100k is a matter of when, not if." He attributes this anticipated surge to two primary factors: global liquidity and the limited supply of Bitcoin available for sale.

中東和北非加密貨幣經紀商 CoinMENA 的創始人 Talal Tabbaa 流露出看漲情緒，他表示：“比特幣突破 10 萬只是時間問題，而不是是否會發生的問題。”他將這種預期的激增歸因於兩個主要因素：全球流動性和可出售的比特幣供應有限。

Tabbaa anticipates that central banks will resume quantitative easing to finance their growing budget deficits, while the Bitcoin halving event will reduce the daily supply of newly mined Bitcoins by half. These factors, he asserts, are likely to propel Bitcoin's price well above $100,000 within the next 18 months.

Tabbaa 預計，各國央行將恢復量化寬鬆政策，為其不斷增長的預算赤字提供資金，而比特幣減半事件將使新開採的比特幣的每日供應量減少一半。他斷言，這些因素可能會在未來 18 個月內推動比特幣的價格遠超過 10 萬美元。

Vineet Budki, managing partner and CEO of Cypher Capital, adopts an even more bullish stance, envisioning Bitcoin soaring to heights that seem improbable to some today. He notes the staggering increase in crypto wallets, indicating a growing global adoption of cryptocurrencies.

Cypher Capital 的執行合夥人兼執行長 Vineet Budki 採取了更樂觀的立場，他預計比特幣將飆升至今天一些人看來不可能的高度。他注意到加密錢包的驚人成長，顯示加密貨幣在全球範圍內的採用不斷增長。

Budki postulates that as the number of global crypto owners surpasses 15 percent of the world's population, the price of Bitcoin will inevitably escalate. He believes that the potential for Bitcoin to reach $1 million by 2030 is not far-fetched.

Budki 假設，隨著全球加密貨幣擁有者數量超過世界人口的 15%，比特幣的價格將不可避免地上漲。他認為，比特幣到 2030 年達到 100 萬美元的潛力並非遙不可及。

Resilience and Institutional Acceptance

彈性和機構接受度

Matt Dixon, founder and CEO of UAE-based Evai, an AI crypto rating platform, believes that while cryptocurrencies are still defining their fundamental characteristics, they have already demonstrated resilience. He notes the growing institutional acceptance of Bitcoin, particularly with the recent regulatory approval of Bitcoin ETFs.

總部位於阿聯酋的人工智慧加密貨幣評級平台 Evai 的創始人兼執行長 Matt Dixon 認為，雖然加密貨幣仍在定義其基本特徵，但它們已經表現出了彈性。他指出，機構對比特幣的接受度不斷提高，特別是最近監管部門批准了比特幣 ETF。

Dixon's outlook is promising, as he foresees Bitcoin potentially crossing the $100,000 threshold due to its increasing adoption as a digital store of value and hedge against inflation.

Dixon 的前景十分樂觀，因為他預計比特幣可能會突破 10 萬美元的門檻，因為比特幣作為一種數位價值儲存手段和對沖通膨的手段越來越多地被採用。

Sam A. Speirs, regional director for Bitget crypto exchange, concurs, stating that Bitcoin's trajectory towards $100,000 before 2025 is not merely a possibility, but a likelihood. He anticipates that Bitcoin could potentially exceed $120,000 post-halving.

Bitget 加密貨幣交易所區域總監 Sam A. Speirs 對此表示贊同，他表示比特幣在 2025 年之前達到 10 萬美元的軌跡不僅是一種可能性，而且是可能性。他預計比特幣減半後的價格可能會超過 12 萬美元。

Saqr Ereiqat, CEO of TradeDog market manager, expresses unwavering optimism, citing a confluence of factors that support Bitcoin's bullish outlook. He highlights the halving, accelerating user adoption, advancements in layer 2 technology for faster transactions, and the recent launch of ETFs.

TradeDog 市場經理執行長 Saqr Ereiqat 表達了堅定不移的樂觀態度，並列舉了支持比特幣看漲前景的多種因素。他強調了減半、加速用戶採用、第 2 層技術的進步以加快交易速度，以及最近推出的 ETF。

Conclusion

結論

The fate of Bitcoin remains a matter of intense speculation and debate. The opinions of experts vary widely, ranging from bullish projections of $122,000 or even $155,000 by 2025 to bearish warnings of a broader correction in risk assets.

比特幣的命運仍然是一個激烈的猜測和爭論的問題。專家們的意見差異很大，從樂觀預測到 2025 年將達到 122,000 美元甚至 155,000 美元，到悲觀警告稱風險資產將出現更廣泛的調整。

While the market has recently faced some headwinds, the underlying sentiment towards Bitcoin remains positive, with many analysts anticipating a resumption of its bullish trajectory following the halving event. Institutional adoption and growing global interest are the key factors driving the belief that Bitcoin has the potential to achieve new milestones in the coming months and years.

儘管市場最近面臨一些阻力，但人們對比特幣的基本情緒仍然樂觀，許多分析師預計比特幣減半事件後將恢復看漲軌跡。機構採用和日益增長的全球興趣是促使人們相信比特幣有潛力在未來幾個月和幾年內實現新里程碑的關鍵因素。

However, it is imperative for investors to exercise due diligence, conduct thorough research, and maintain a disciplined approach to risk management when navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrencies.

然而，投資者在應對動盪的加密貨幣世界時，必須進行盡職調查，進行徹底的研究，並保持嚴格的風險管理方法。