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尽管最近价格飙升,但比特币(BTC)由于其价格走势在平行通道内而面临潜在的看跌走势。加权情绪下降表明,投资者情绪也转为负面。链上指标表明抛售压力不断增加,未实现利润水平很高,进一步支持了看跌前景。
Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Fades Amidst Market Sentiment Shift
随着市场情绪的转变,比特币的看涨势头逐渐减弱
Market Update
市场动态
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged over 6% in the past week, propelled by a recent rally that pushed its value above the significant psychological support level of $70,000. However, analysts are cautioning that a price correction may be imminent, potentially driving BTC towards $63,000.
比特币 (BTC) 在过去一周飙升超过 6%,近期反弹推动其价值突破 70,000 美元的重要心理支撑位。然而,分析师警告称,价格调整可能即将到来,可能推动 BTC 升至 63,000 美元。
Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis
市场情绪和技术分析
Investor sentiment around BTC has taken a bearish turn, with Santiment's data indicating a sharp spike followed by a plunge into the negative zone. This shift highlights growing concerns among investors.
围绕 BTC 的投资者情绪已经转向看跌,Santiment 的数据显示比特币大幅上涨,随后又跌入负值区域。这一转变凸显了投资者日益增长的担忧。
A technical analysis conducted by Crypto Tony, a prominent crypto analyst, suggests that BTC's price is currently trading within a parallel channel. Such a pattern often precedes a price correction, with the prediction indicating a potential drop towards the $63,000 mark.
著名加密货币分析师 Crypto Tony 进行的一项技术分析表明,BTC 的价格目前在平行通道内交易。这种模式通常出现在价格调整之前,预测表明价格可能跌向 63,000 美元大关。
On-Chain Metrics
链上指标
On-chain metrics further support the possibility of a BTC price pullback. CryptoQuant's data reveals that BTC's Adjusted Spent Output Realized Price (aSORP) is in the red, indicating that more investors are selling at a profit. This is a bearish signal that can indicate the approach of a market top during a bullish market.
链上指标进一步支持了比特币价格回调的可能性。 CryptoQuant 的数据显示,BTC 的调整后支出实现价格 (aSORP) 出现亏损,表明更多投资者正在获利抛售。这是一个看跌信号,可以表明牛市期间市场顶部已接近。
Another bearish indicator is the Net Unrealized Loss and Profit (NULP), which suggests that investors are experiencing a high level of unrealized profits. This can lead to increased selling pressure as investors seek to cash in on their gains.
另一个看跌指标是净未实现损失和利润(NULP),它表明投资者正在经历高水平的未实现利润。当投资者寻求兑现收益时,这可能会导致抛售压力增加。
High net deposits of BTC on exchanges compared to the seven-day average also point to an increase in selling pressure, further supporting the potential for a price correction.
与 7 天平均水平相比,交易所的 BTC 净存款量较高也表明抛售压力增加,进一步支撑了价格回调的可能性。
Chart Analysis
图表分析
An analysis of BTC's daily chart provides insights into its future trajectory. The Money Flow Index (MFI) has declined, indicating a higher probability of a price correction. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicators both show bullish signals, suggesting that upward momentum may continue.
对比特币日线图的分析可以洞察其未来的轨迹。资金流量指数(MFI)下降,表明价格调整的可能性较高。然而,移动平均收敛分歧(MACD)和蔡金资金流(CMF)指标均显示出看涨信号,表明上涨势头可能会持续。
Conclusion
结论
While BTC's recent price surge has been encouraging, market sentiment and technical indicators raise concerns about a potential price correction. Investors are advised to proceed with caution and closely monitor market dynamics in the coming days. Should the price indeed fall towards $63,000, it could present an opportunity for strategic traders to accumulate BTC at a lower price point.
尽管比特币最近的价格飙升令人鼓舞,但市场情绪和技术指标引发了人们对潜在价格调整的担忧。建议投资者谨慎行事,并密切关注未来几天的市场动态。如果价格确实跌向 63,000 美元,这可能为战略交易者提供以较低价格积累 BTC 的机会。
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