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随着比特币 (BTC) 在创下历史新高后徘徊不前,加密货币分析师 Lark Davis 预计 2024 年剩余时间看涨。戴维斯列举了两个关键因素:选举年历史上积极的股市表现(包括 BTC 与传统市场日益增强的相关性) )以及降息的可能性,这可能会为加密货币市场注入更多流动性并推高 BTC 的价格。
Bitcoin's Bullish Surge Poised to Continue: Analyst Outlines Compelling Reasons
比特币的看涨势头将继续:分析师概述了令人信服的原因
In the wake of Bitcoin (BTC) hitting a record high of $73,750, there have been concerns that its bullish momentum might be waning. However, renowned crypto analyst Lark Davis has presented compelling evidence to suggest that BTC's upward trajectory is far from over, with its price predicted to soar for the remainder of the year and beyond.
在比特币 (BTC) 触及 73,750 美元的历史新高后,有人担心其看涨势头可能正在减弱。然而,著名的加密货币分析师 Lark Davis 提供了令人信服的证据,表明 BTC 的上涨轨迹还远未结束,预计其价格将在今年剩余时间及以后飙升。
Election Year Favorability
选举年好感度
Davis highlights the historical trend that the stock market tends to perform positively in 83% of election years. While this correlation primarily applies to stocks, Davis notes that BTC has become increasingly intertwined with Wall Street due to the emergence of spot Bitcoin ETFs and growing institutional interest. As a result, he believes that BTC's price movements are likely to mirror those of traditional markets. Therefore, Bitcoin's price could potentially continue to react favorably in anticipation of the US elections in November.
戴维斯强调了历史趋势,即股市在 83% 的选举年往往表现积极。虽然这种相关性主要适用于股票,但戴维斯指出,由于现货比特币 ETF 的出现和机构兴趣的增长,比特币与华尔街的联系越来越紧密。因此,他认为比特币的价格走势可能会反映传统市场的价格走势。因此,随着 11 月份美国大选的到来,比特币的价格可能会继续出现有利的反应。
Interest Rate Cuts
降息
Davis also points to the potential for interest rate cuts, as forecasted by Goldman Sachs. The investment bank predicts three rate reductions this year, with the first anticipated in June. This would translate to more capital available for investments in risk assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
戴维斯还指出了高盛预测的降息潜力。该投资银行预计今年将降息三次,第一次预计在六月份。这将意味着更多的资本可用于投资比特币和其他加密货币等风险资产。
The influx of additional liquidity into the crypto market could spark a significant rally in BTC's price. This is evident from the substantial price surge witnessed following the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which attracted new funds from institutional investors.
额外的流动性涌入加密市场可能会引发比特币价格的大幅上涨。从现货比特币 ETF 推出后价格大幅上涨就可以看出这一点,该 ETF 吸引了机构投资者的新资金。
PlanB's Long-Term Bullish Outlook
PlanB 的长期看涨前景
Crypto analyst PlanB has also presented a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, dismissing concerns about a short-lived bull season. According to PlanB, the BTC top is not expected until 2025, with the potential to reach $1 million at its peak. He reiterates that Bitcoin reaching $100,000 and even higher this year is "inevitable," aligning with Davis's prediction of a bullish 2024 for BTC.
加密货币分析师 PlanB 也对比特币提出了看涨的前景,消除了人们对牛市短暂的担忧。根据 PlanB 的说法,BTC 预计要到 2025 年才会见顶,峰值有可能达到 100 万美元。他重申,比特币今年达到 10 万美元甚至更高是“不可避免的”,这与戴维斯对 2024 年比特币看涨的预测一致。
PlanB emphasizes that sharp price corrections are a normal part of a bull market and do not signal the end of the cycle. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $67,600, showing a gain of over 3% in the past 24 hours.
PlanB 强调,价格大幅调整是牛市的正常组成部分,并不意味着周期结束。截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格约为 67,600 美元,过去 24 小时内涨幅超过 3%。
Conclusion
结论
The confluence of factors presented by Davis and PlanB strongly suggests that Bitcoin's bullish momentum is set to continue for the foreseeable future. The stock market's favorable performance in election years, the potential for interest rate cuts, and the broader adoption of Bitcoin by institutions are all contributing to a positive environment for the cryptocurrency.
Davis 和 PlanB 提出的多种因素强烈表明,在可预见的未来,比特币的看涨势头将持续下去。股市在选举年的良好表现、降息的潜力以及机构更广泛地采用比特币都为加密货币创造了积极的环境。
Despite the occasional price fluctuations, Bitcoin's long-term bullish trajectory remains intact. Analysts like PlanB and Davis anticipate substantial price appreciation in the coming months and years, with the potential for Bitcoin to reach new record highs.
尽管价格偶尔波动,但比特币的长期看涨轨迹仍然完好无损。 PlanB 和 Davis 等分析师预计,未来几个月和几年内,比特币价格将大幅上涨,比特币有可能创下新的历史新高。
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