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隨著比特幣(BTC) 在創下歷史新高後徘徊不前,加密貨幣分析師Lark Davis 預計2024 年剩餘時間看漲。戴維斯列舉了兩個關鍵因素:選舉年曆史上積極的股市表現(包括BTC與傳統市場日益增強的相關性) )以及降息的可能性,這可能會為加密貨幣市場注入更多流動性並推高 BTC 的價格。
Bitcoin's Bullish Surge Poised to Continue: Analyst Outlines Compelling Reasons
比特幣的看漲勢頭將繼續:分析師概述了令人信服的原因
In the wake of Bitcoin (BTC) hitting a record high of $73,750, there have been concerns that its bullish momentum might be waning. However, renowned crypto analyst Lark Davis has presented compelling evidence to suggest that BTC's upward trajectory is far from over, with its price predicted to soar for the remainder of the year and beyond.
在比特幣 (BTC) 觸及 73,750 美元的歷史新高後,有人擔心其看漲勢頭可能正在減弱。然而,著名的加密貨幣分析師 Lark Davis 提供了令人信服的證據,表明 BTC 的上漲軌跡還遠未結束,預計其價格將在今年剩餘時間及以後飆升。
Election Year Favorability
選舉年好感度
Davis highlights the historical trend that the stock market tends to perform positively in 83% of election years. While this correlation primarily applies to stocks, Davis notes that BTC has become increasingly intertwined with Wall Street due to the emergence of spot Bitcoin ETFs and growing institutional interest. As a result, he believes that BTC's price movements are likely to mirror those of traditional markets. Therefore, Bitcoin's price could potentially continue to react favorably in anticipation of the US elections in November.
戴維斯強調了歷史趨勢,即股市在 83% 的選舉年往往表現積極。雖然這種相關性主要適用於股票,但戴維斯指出,由於現貨比特幣 ETF 的出現和機構興趣的增長,比特幣與華爾街的聯繫越來越緊密。因此,他認為比特幣的價格走勢可能會反映傳統市場的價格趨勢。因此,隨著 11 月美國大選的到來,比特幣的價格可能會繼續出現有利的反應。
Interest Rate Cuts
降息
Davis also points to the potential for interest rate cuts, as forecasted by Goldman Sachs. The investment bank predicts three rate reductions this year, with the first anticipated in June. This would translate to more capital available for investments in risk assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
戴維斯也指出了高盛預測的降息潛力。該投資銀行預計今年將降息三次,第一次預計在六月。這將意味著更多的資本可用於投資比特幣和其他加密貨幣等風險資產。
The influx of additional liquidity into the crypto market could spark a significant rally in BTC's price. This is evident from the substantial price surge witnessed following the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which attracted new funds from institutional investors.
額外的流動性湧入加密市場可能會引發比特幣價格的大幅上漲。從現貨比特幣 ETF 推出後價格大幅上漲就可以看出這一點,該 ETF 吸引了機構投資者的新資金。
PlanB's Long-Term Bullish Outlook
PlanB 的長期看漲前景
Crypto analyst PlanB has also presented a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, dismissing concerns about a short-lived bull season. According to PlanB, the BTC top is not expected until 2025, with the potential to reach $1 million at its peak. He reiterates that Bitcoin reaching $100,000 and even higher this year is "inevitable," aligning with Davis's prediction of a bullish 2024 for BTC.
加密貨幣分析師 PlanB 也對比特幣提出了看漲的前景,消除了人們對牛市短暫的擔憂。根據 PlanB 的說法,BTC 預計要到 2025 年才會見頂,高峰有可能達到 100 萬美元。他重申,比特幣今年達到 10 萬美元甚至更高是“不可避免的”,這與戴維斯對 2024 年比特幣看漲的預測一致。
PlanB emphasizes that sharp price corrections are a normal part of a bull market and do not signal the end of the cycle. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $67,600, showing a gain of over 3% in the past 24 hours.
PlanB 強調,價格大幅調整是牛市的正常組成部分,並不意味著週期結束。截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格約為 67,600 美元,過去 24 小時內漲幅超過 3%。
Conclusion
結論
The confluence of factors presented by Davis and PlanB strongly suggests that Bitcoin's bullish momentum is set to continue for the foreseeable future. The stock market's favorable performance in election years, the potential for interest rate cuts, and the broader adoption of Bitcoin by institutions are all contributing to a positive environment for the cryptocurrency.
Davis 和 PlanB 提出的多種因素強烈表明,在可預見的未來,比特幣的看漲勢頭將持續下去。股市在選舉年的良好表現、降息的潛力以及機構更廣泛地採用比特幣都為加密貨幣創造了積極的環境。
Despite the occasional price fluctuations, Bitcoin's long-term bullish trajectory remains intact. Analysts like PlanB and Davis anticipate substantial price appreciation in the coming months and years, with the potential for Bitcoin to reach new record highs.
儘管價格偶爾波動,但比特幣的長期看漲軌跡仍然完好無損。 PlanB 和 Davis 等分析師預計,未來幾個月和幾年內,比特幣價格將大幅上漲,比特幣有可能創下新的歷史新高。
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