比特币牛市即将到来，预计将超越 2021 年的飙升

尽管最近出现了调整，但一位分析师仍对比特币保持看涨前景。分析师援引技术指标和潜在的有利因素（包括香港的发展）预测，当前的牛市可能会超过 2021 年的强度。值得注意的是，继美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 在美国采取行动之后，香港批准了现货比特币 ETF作为一个重大转折点，可以推动进一步的采用和投资。

Bitcoin Bull Market Surges Ahead, Poised to Eclipse 2021 Surge: Analyst

分析师：比特币牛市飙升，2021 年涨幅将黯然失色

Despite a recent correction of approximately 12% from its record peak, a prominent analyst maintains an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. In a comprehensive analysis, the trader highlights a convergence of bullish technical indicators and potential tailwinds, particularly emanating from developments in Hong Kong.

尽管比特币近期较历史最高点回调约 12%，但一位著名分析师仍对比特币保持乐观前景。在综合分析中，该交易员强调了看涨的技术指标和潜在的有利因素的融合，特别是来自香港的发展。

2023 Bull Run outpaces 2021

2023 年牛市跑赢 2021 年

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is experiencing a period of consolidation. However, this retracement follows a remarkable rally that propelled the cryptocurrency to not only double in value but also surpass its previous all-time high set in 2021. Driven primarily by retail investors, Bitcoin reached a historic milestone of approximately $70,000.

在撰写本文时，比特币正在经历一段整合期。然而，这次回撤是在一次显着的反弹之后发生的，这场反弹不仅推动加密货币的价值翻了一番，还超过了 2021 年创下的历史新高。主要在散户投资者的推动下，比特币达到了约 70,000 美元的历史性里程碑。

Institutional Backing Fueling Growth

机构支持推动增长

The subsequent surge to a record high of $73,800 was largely attributed to institutional involvement. In January 2024, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved multiple spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This decision has resulted in billions of dollars flowing into these products, notably those issued by financial powerhouses such as BlackRock and Fidelity.

随后飙升至 73,800 美元的历史新高很大程度上归功于机构的参与。 2024 年 1 月，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准了多个现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）。这一决定导致数十亿美元流入这些产品，特别是贝莱德和富达等金融巨头发行的产品。

Bullish Technical Signals

看涨技术信号

Based on these supportive fundamentals, the analyst contends that the current bull market is poised to surpass the 2021 surge in strength. The trader notes that key technical indicators, including the Average Directional Index (ADX) and Directional Indicators (DI), have flashed numerous bullish signals.

基于这些支撑性的基本面，分析师认为当前的牛市有望超越 2021 年的强劲势头。该交易员指出，包括平均方向指数（ADX）和方向指标（DI）在内的关键技术指标已经闪现出许多看涨信号。

Flat Prices, Upbeat Sentiment

价格稳定，市场情绪乐观

Although the price action may temporarily appear subdued, the formations on the daily chart suggest that market participants remain optimistic about Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency landscape. The presence of these bullish signals amidst sideways price movement indicates an underlying accumulation phase.

尽管价格走势可能暂时显得疲软，但日线图上的形态表明市场参与者对比特币和更广泛的加密货币格局仍然持乐观态度。价格横盘走势中出现的这些看涨信号表明潜在的积累阶段。

Gold's Surge, Bitcoin's Opportunity

黄金的上涨，比特币的机会

Beyond technical factors, developments surrounding gold are also seen as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin. Gold recently experienced a breakout, reaching a high of $2,300 this week, as global economic uncertainty heightened the demand for the precious metal.

除了技术因素之外，围绕黄金的发展也被视为比特币的潜在催化剂。由于全球经济的不确定性加剧了对贵金属的需求，金价最近经历了突破，本周触及 2,300 美元的高点。

While Bitcoin has consistently outperformed gold in recent years, the analyst suggests that as gold ascends to new highs, it could potentially propel Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," to follow suit.

尽管近年来比特币的表现一直优于黄金，但分析师表示，随着黄金升至新高，它可能会推动比特币（通常被称为“数字黄金”）效仿黄金。

Hong Kong's Spot Bitcoin ETFs: A Game-Changer

香港现货比特币 ETF：游戏规则改变者

Upcoming events in Hong Kong could further accelerate Bitcoin's upward momentum. Following in the footsteps of the US SEC, Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is considering approving multiple applications for spot Bitcoin ETFs. These ETFs would enable investors of all types, including institutions, to gain exposure to Bitcoin.

香港即将发生的事件可能会进一步加速比特币的上涨势头。追随美国证券交易委员会的脚步，香港证券及期货事务监察委员会（证监会）正在考虑批准多项现货比特币 ETF 申请。这些 ETF 将使包括机构在内的所有类型的投资者能够获得比特币的投资。

One of the notable applicants is Harvest Fund Management, a mainland China-based asset manager. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong would signal a significant shift in the territory's stance towards cryptocurrency investment and regulation.

嘉实基金管理公司（Harvest Fund Management）是著名的申请人之一，这是一家总部位于中国大陆的资产管理公司。香港现货比特币 ETF 的批准将标志着该地区对加密货币投资和监管的立场发生重大转变。

Conclusion

结论

The combination of bullish technical signals, gold's surge, and the potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong suggests that the current bull market could eclipse the strength of its 2021 predecessor. Analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, particularly as institutional adoption and mainstream acceptance continue to grow.

看涨的技术信号、黄金的飙升以及香港现货比特币 ETF 的潜在批准等因素相结合，表明当前的牛市可能会超过 2021 年牛市的强度。分析师对比特币的长期前景仍然乐观，特别是随着机构采用和主流接受度持续增长。