比特幣牛市即將到來，預計將超越 2021 年的飆升

儘管最近出現了調整，但一位分析師仍對比特幣保持看漲前景。分析師引用技術指標和潛在的有利因素（包括香港的發展）預測，目前的牛市可能會超過2021 年的強度。值得注意的是，繼美國證券交易委員會(SEC) 在美國採取行動之後，香港批准了現貨比特幣ETF作為一個重大轉折點，可以推動進一步的採用和投資。

Bitcoin Bull Market Surges Ahead, Poised to Eclipse 2021 Surge: Analyst

分析師：比特幣牛市飆升，2021 年漲幅將黯然失色

Despite a recent correction of approximately 12% from its record peak, a prominent analyst maintains an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. In a comprehensive analysis, the trader highlights a convergence of bullish technical indicators and potential tailwinds, particularly emanating from developments in Hong Kong.

儘管比特幣近期較史上最高點回調約 12%，但一位著名分析師仍對比特幣保持樂觀前景。在綜合分析中，該交易員強調了看漲的技術指標和潛在的有利因素的融合，特別是來自香港的發展。

2023 Bull Run outpaces 2021

2023 年多頭跑贏 2021 年

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is experiencing a period of consolidation. However, this retracement follows a remarkable rally that propelled the cryptocurrency to not only double in value but also surpass its previous all-time high set in 2021. Driven primarily by retail investors, Bitcoin reached a historic milestone of approximately $70,000.

在撰寫本文時，比特幣正在經歷一段整合期。然而，這次回撤是在一次顯著的反彈之後發生的，這場反彈不僅推動加密貨幣的價值翻了一番，還超過了2021 年創下的歷史新高。主要在散戶投資者的推動下，比特幣達到了約7 萬美元的歷史性里程碑。

Institutional Backing Fueling Growth

機構支持推動成長

The subsequent surge to a record high of $73,800 was largely attributed to institutional involvement. In January 2024, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved multiple spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This decision has resulted in billions of dollars flowing into these products, notably those issued by financial powerhouses such as BlackRock and Fidelity.

隨後飆升至 73,800 美元的歷史新高很大程度上歸功於機構的參與。 2024 年 1 月，美國證券交易委員會（SEC）批准了多個現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）。這項決定導致數十億美元流入這些產品，特別是貝萊德和富達等金融巨頭發行的產品。

Bullish Technical Signals

看漲技術訊號

Based on these supportive fundamentals, the analyst contends that the current bull market is poised to surpass the 2021 surge in strength. The trader notes that key technical indicators, including the Average Directional Index (ADX) and Directional Indicators (DI), have flashed numerous bullish signals.

基於這些支撐性的基本面，分析師認為目前的多頭市場預計將超越 2021 年的強勁勢頭。該交易員指出，包括平均方向指數（ADX）和方向指標（DI）在內的關鍵技術指標已經閃現出許多看漲訊號。

Flat Prices, Upbeat Sentiment

物價穩定，市場情緒樂觀

Although the price action may temporarily appear subdued, the formations on the daily chart suggest that market participants remain optimistic about Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency landscape. The presence of these bullish signals amidst sideways price movement indicates an underlying accumulation phase.

儘管價格走勢可能暫時顯得疲軟，但日線圖上的形態顯示市場參與者對比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣格局仍然持樂觀態度。價格橫盤走勢中出現的這些看漲訊號顯示潛在的累積階段。

Gold's Surge, Bitcoin's Opportunity

黃金的上漲，比特幣的機會

Beyond technical factors, developments surrounding gold are also seen as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin. Gold recently experienced a breakout, reaching a high of $2,300 this week, as global economic uncertainty heightened the demand for the precious metal.

除了技術因素之外，圍繞黃金的發展也被視為比特幣的潛在催化劑。由於全球經濟的不確定性加劇了對貴金屬的需求，金價最近經歷了突破，本週觸及 2,300 美元的高點。

While Bitcoin has consistently outperformed gold in recent years, the analyst suggests that as gold ascends to new highs, it could potentially propel Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," to follow suit.

儘管近年來比特幣的表現一直優於黃金，但分析師表示，隨著黃金升至新高，它可能會推動比特幣（通常被稱為「數位黃金」）效仿黃金。

Hong Kong's Spot Bitcoin ETFs: A Game-Changer

香港現貨比特幣 ETF：遊戲規則改變者

Upcoming events in Hong Kong could further accelerate Bitcoin's upward momentum. Following in the footsteps of the US SEC, Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is considering approving multiple applications for spot Bitcoin ETFs. These ETFs would enable investors of all types, including institutions, to gain exposure to Bitcoin.

香港即將發生的事件可能會進一步加速比特幣的上漲勢頭。跟隨美國證券交易委員會的腳步，香港證券及期貨事務監察委員會（證監會）正在考慮批准多筆現貨比特幣 ETF 申請。這些 ETF 將使包括機構在內的所有類型的投資者能夠獲得比特幣的投資。

One of the notable applicants is Harvest Fund Management, a mainland China-based asset manager. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong would signal a significant shift in the territory's stance towards cryptocurrency investment and regulation.

嘉實基金管理公司（Harvest Fund Management）是著名的申請人之一，這是一家總部位於中國大陸的資產管理公司。香港現貨比特幣 ETF 的批准將標誌著該地區對加密貨幣投資和監管的立場發生重大轉變。

Conclusion

結論

The combination of bullish technical signals, gold's surge, and the potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong suggests that the current bull market could eclipse the strength of its 2021 predecessor. Analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, particularly as institutional adoption and mainstream acceptance continue to grow.

看漲的技術訊號、黃金的飆升以及香港現貨比特幣 ETF 的潛在批准等因素相結合，表明當前的牛市可能會超過 2021 年牛市的強度。分析師對比特幣的長期前景仍然樂觀，特別是隨著機構採用和主流接受度持續成長。