比特币（BTC）可能处于重大突破的边缘，但只有当它可以保持在关键水平上

加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）说，比特币可能处于重大突破的边缘，但只有当它可以保持在关键水平上方之上时，比特币可能处于关键水平。

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez says that Bitcoin (BTC) might be setting the stage for a major breakout—but only if it can stay above a key level.

加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）表示，比特币（BTC）可能正在为重大突破奠定基础，但只有当它可以保持在关键水平上方时。

In a post on Tuesday, Martinez explained that if Bitcoin manages to surpass and hold above the $94,000 zone, it could trigger a sharp rise toward the $112,000 zone. This prediction is based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands, which highlight key market pressure zones.

马丁内斯（Martinez）在周二的一篇文章中解释说，如果比特币设法超过94,000美元的区域，它可能会触发112,000美元的区域。该预测基于MVRV极端偏差定价带，该定价带突出了关键市场压力区。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is hovering in the low $80,000s after briefly dipping earlier this month. It rebounded from a low of $76,606 on March 10, inching upward following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s move to ease the pace of its balance sheet reductions. That announcement gave the broader market a minor lift, with Bitcoin bouncing back into safer territory.

在写作时，本月初短暂浸入后，比特币悬停在低价$ 80,000中。它从3月10日的76,606美元的低点反弹，在美国美联储的举动缓解其资产负债表减少的步伐之后，它向上反弹。该公告使更广泛的市场略有提升，比特币弹回更安全的领域。

If Bitcoin fails to hold $76,000, the coin could retrace much further. A breakdown from that level may open the door for a drop to $58,000—or even as low as $44,000—if sentiment shifts more bearish.

如果比特币无法持有76,000美元，则硬币可能会进一步追溯。如果情绪变化更多的看跌，从该水平的细分可能会降至58,000美元，甚至低至44,000美元。

Critical Levels Shaping Bitcoin’s Trend

关键水平塑造比特币趋势

Another well-followed analyst, Rekt Capital, added that the $84,000 zone plays a critical role in determining Bitcoin’s next direction.

另一位备受关注的分析师Rekt Capital补充说，84,000美元的区域在确定比特币的下一个方向方面起着至关重要的作用。

According to Rekt, previous price action has shown long wicks below this mark, highlighting the need for a daily close above $84,000 to confirm a successful retest. A rebound from this support could generate enough momentum to push beyond the $94,000 barrier.

根据Rekt的说法，以前的价格动作已显示出在此标记以下的较长的灯芯，这突出了每天关闭84,000美元以上以确认成功的重新测试的必要性。从这种支持中反弹可以产生足够的动力，超越了94,000美元的障碍。

Chart: Rekt Capital

图表：Rekt Capital

Clearing resistance at $94,000 would open the path toward $112,000 and signal the potential for a new all-time high.

$ 94,000的清除电阻将为$ 112,000的道路打开道路，并指出了新的历史最高水平的潜力。

Currently, Bitcoin fluctuates between the yellow mean band and the orange +0.5 standard deviation band, as identified by Martinez. A breakout in either direction will likely determine the short-term trend.

目前，Martinez确定的黄色平均带和橙色+0.5标准偏差带之间的波动。在任一方向上的突破都可能决定短期趋势。

Meanwhile, long-term investor confidence appears to be strengthening. In a separate post on Tuesday, Martinez revealed that over 10,000 BTC had been withdrawn from exchanges in just one week.

同时，长期投资者的信心似乎正在增强。在周二的另一篇文章中，马丁内斯透露，仅一周内就从交流中撤出了10,000多个BTC。

This is often seen as a bullish indicator, suggesting that investors are moving their coins to private wallets with no intention of selling.

这通常被视为看涨指标，表明投资者将硬币移至私人钱包，而无意出售。

Chart: Ali Chart

图表：Ali图表

Whales Accumulate, Signaling Bullish Shift

鲸鱼积累，信号看涨

On Monday, blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock observed a shift in whale behavior. After months of selling pressure, whales have begun accumulating again. Their holdings have increased by roughly 62,000 BTC since the start of March, which may signal a reversal in sentiment.

周一，区块链分析公司Intotheblock观察到鲸鱼行为发生了变化。经过数月的销售压力，鲸鱼再次开始积累。自3月初以来，他们的持股量增加了大约62,000 BTC，这可能表明情绪逆转。

Renewed interest from these large holders can often foreshadow a bullish phase.

这些大型持有人的新兴趣通常可以预示看涨阶段。

Chart: IntoTheBlock

图表：intotheblock

Another crypto analyst, Captain Faibik, predicts that Bitcoin might be setting the stage for a large breakout thanks to a Falling Wedge chart pattern.

另一位加密分析师Faibik上尉预测，由于楔形图模式下降，比特币可能正在为大型突破奠定基础。

According to Faibik, it might consolidate within this pattern for the next 10 to 15 days before triggering a dramatic move upward.

根据Faibik的说法，它可能会在接下来的10到15天内巩固这种模式，然后触发戏剧性的移动。

Chart: Captain Faibik

图表：Faibik上尉

Faibik estimates the breakout target at $109,000, closely aligning with Martinez’s $112,000 projection.

Faibik估计分组目标为109,000美元，与Martinez的112,000美元预测密切一致。

If both analysts are correct, Bitcoin may not only retest its all-time high but also easily break through it, indicating a new phase in the ongoing bull market.

如果两位分析师都是正确的，则比特币不仅可以重新测试其历史最高的高度，而且可以轻松地突破它，这表明正在进行的牛市的新阶段。