如果比特币（BTC）破裂并超过此级别，则可能会飙升至112,000美元

Martinez使用市场价值来实现价值（MVRV）极端偏差定价乐队，指出了两个关键的价格水平

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has identified a key price level that could determine Bitcoin’s (BTC) next major move, potentially sending the flagship cryptocurrency soaring to $112,000.

加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）确定了一个关键价格水平，可以决定比特币（BTC）的下一个重大举措，可能会使旗舰加密货币飙升至112,000美元。

In an X post yesterday, the analyst used Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands to highlight two crucial price levels.

在昨天的X帖子中，分析师使用市场价值来实现价值（MVRV）极端偏差定价频段来突出两个至关重要的价格水平。

According to the analyst, if BTC breaks and stays above $94,000, it has a “high probability” of rallying to $112,000. However, if BTC falls below $76,000, it risks plunging to $58,000, or even $44,000, as market conditions turn bearish.

根据分析师的说法，如果BTC中断并保持在94,000美元以上，则其“高可能性”为112,000美元。但是，如果BTC低于76,000美元，随着市场状况变成看跌，它可能会跌至58,000美元甚至44,000美元。

“If BTC breaks and stays above $94k (orange box), then it has a high probability of continuing to rally to $112k. But if BTC falls below $76k (green box), then it risks cascading lower to $58k, maybe even $44k as market conditions turn bearish,” said the analyst.

“如果BTC的破损和保持在$ 94K（橙色盒）以上（橙色盒），那么它的可能性很大，可能会继续升至112,000美元。但是，如果BTC低于$ 76K（绿色框），那么它的风险会降低到58K美元，甚至可能是44K $ 44K，因为市场条件会变成持久性。”分析师。

Notably, BTC hit $76,606 on March 10 before recovering to the low $80,000 range.

值得注意的是，BTC在3月10日达到了76,606美元，然后恢复到$ 80,000的范围。

What Are MVRV Pricing Bands?

什么是MVRV定价乐队？

MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands indicate whether an asset is priced too high or too low compared to its past averages. It helps identify when the market might be overbought – potential market top – or oversold – potential buying opportunity.

MVRV极端偏差定价频段表明，与过去的平均值相比，资产的价格过高还是太低。它有助于确定何时可能过多的市场（潜在市场顶级）或超售潜在的购买机会。

According to the analyst’s chart, BTC is currently trading between the mean – yellow band – and +0.5 standard deviation – orange band. A sustained breakout above or below these bands could indicate Bitcoin’s next significant price direction.

根据分析师的图表，BTC目前正在平均值 - 黄色带 - +0.5标准偏差 - 橙色带之间进行交易。这些乐队上方或之下的持续突破可能表明比特币的下一个重要价格方向。

As seen in the above chart, BTC’s price action closely follows the MVRV Bands, suggesting that this indicator could be a valuable tool for traders. A breakout or breakdown of these bands could be a key factor to watch out for in the coming weeks.

如上图所示，BTC的价格行动紧随MVRV频段，这表明该指标可能是交易者的宝贵工具。这些乐队的突破或细分可能是在接下来的几周内要注意的关键因素。

Bitcoin Remains In A Crucial Support Level

比特币仍然处于关键支持水平

Meanwhile, another crypto analyst, Rekt Capital, says that Bitcoin is retesting the crucial $84,000 support level. A successful hold at this price could set BTC up to challenge the $94,000 resistance, paving the way for a new all-time high.

同时，另一位加密分析师Rekt Capital说，比特币正在重新测试至关重要的84,000美元支持水平。以这个价格成功持有，BTC可能会挑战94,000美元的阻力，为新的历史最高水平铺平了道路。

“BTC has produced Long Wicks below this level before which is why a Daily Close above $84k is essential for this retest to be successful. A break of $94k (grey) would put the next resistance at $104k (not pictured). A new ATH is quickly approaching,” the analyst noted.

“ BTC在此级别以下产生了长的灯芯，这就是为什么每天关闭$ 8.4K对于这次重新测试至关重要的原因。$ 94K（灰色）的休息将使下一个阻力降至104K $ 104K（未贴上图形）。新的ATH迅速接近，”分析师指出。

Will BTC Witness A Short Squeeze?

BTC会见证短暂的挤压吗？

In a separate X post, crypto trader Merlijn The Trader suggests that widespread pessimism around BTC’s recent price action might fuel a powerful short squeeze.

在单独的X帖子中，加密货币交易者Merlijn交易员认为，围绕BTC最近的价格行动的广泛悲观情绪可能会引起强有力的短暂挤压。

According to the analyst, roughly $2 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated if BTC manages to break above $87,000, potentially driving the price even higher.

根据分析师的说法，如果BTC设法超过87,000美元，可能会清算价值约20亿美元的短职位，这可能会使价格更高。

“People are so incredibly pessimistic on BTC now that the potential for a short squeeze is massive. Roughly $2B in shorts will get liquidated if BTC manages to break $87k,” the trader stated.

交易员说：“既然人们对BTC感到非常悲观，以至于短暂的挤压可能会大大巨大。如果BTC设法打破8.7万美元，大约2B美元的短裤将被清算。”

Adding to the bullish outlook, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes suggests that BTC’s March 10 drop to $77,000 may have marked the bottom of this market cycle.

加密企业家亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）除看涨外表外，还表明，BTC的3月10日下降至77,000美元，可能标志着这一市场周期的最低点。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $84,043, down 2% over the past 24 hours.

在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为84,043美元，在过去24小时内下跌了2％。