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Martinez使用市場價值來實現價值(MVRV)極端偏差定價樂隊,指出了兩個關鍵的價格水平
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has identified a key price level that could determine Bitcoin’s (BTC) next major move, potentially sending the flagship cryptocurrency soaring to $112,000.
加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez)確定了一個關鍵價格水平,可以決定比特幣(BTC)的下一個重大舉措,可能會使旗艦加密貨幣飆升至112,000美元。
In an X post yesterday, the analyst used Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands to highlight two crucial price levels.
在昨天的X帖子中,分析師使用市場價值來實現價值(MVRV)極端偏差定價頻段來突出兩個至關重要的價格水平。
According to the analyst, if BTC breaks and stays above $94,000, it has a “high probability” of rallying to $112,000. However, if BTC falls below $76,000, it risks plunging to $58,000, or even $44,000, as market conditions turn bearish.
根據分析師的說法,如果BTC中斷並保持在94,000美元以上,則其“高可能性”為112,000美元。但是,如果BTC低於76,000美元,隨著市場狀況變成看跌,它可能會跌至58,000美元甚至44,000美元。
“If BTC breaks and stays above $94k (orange box), then it has a high probability of continuing to rally to $112k. But if BTC falls below $76k (green box), then it risks cascading lower to $58k, maybe even $44k as market conditions turn bearish,” said the analyst.
“如果BTC的破損和保持在$ 94K(橙色盒)以上(橙色盒),那麼它的可能性很大,可能會繼續升至112,000美元。但是,如果BTC低於$ 76K(綠色框),那麼它的風險會降低到58K美元,甚至可能是44K $ 44K,因為市場條件會變成持久性。”分析師。
Notably, BTC hit $76,606 on March 10 before recovering to the low $80,000 range.
值得注意的是,BTC在3月10日達到了76,606美元,然後恢復到$ 80,000的範圍。
What Are MVRV Pricing Bands?
什麼是MVRV定價樂隊?
MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands indicate whether an asset is priced too high or too low compared to its past averages. It helps identify when the market might be overbought – potential market top – or oversold – potential buying opportunity.
MVRV極端偏差定價頻段表明,與過去的平均值相比,資產的價格過高還是太低。它有助於確定何時可能過多的市場(潛在市場頂級)或超售潛在的購買機會。
According to the analyst’s chart, BTC is currently trading between the mean – yellow band – and +0.5 standard deviation – orange band. A sustained breakout above or below these bands could indicate Bitcoin’s next significant price direction.
根據分析師的圖表,BTC目前正在平均值 - 黃色帶 - +0.5標準偏差 - 橙色帶之間進行交易。這些樂隊上方或之下的持續突破可能表明比特幣的下一個重要價格方向。
As seen in the above chart, BTC’s price action closely follows the MVRV Bands, suggesting that this indicator could be a valuable tool for traders. A breakout or breakdown of these bands could be a key factor to watch out for in the coming weeks.
如上圖所示,BTC的價格行動緊隨MVRV頻段,這表明該指標可能是交易者的寶貴工具。這些樂隊的突破或細分可能是在接下來的幾週內要注意的關鍵因素。
Bitcoin Remains In A Crucial Support Level
比特幣仍然處於關鍵支持水平
Meanwhile, another crypto analyst, Rekt Capital, says that Bitcoin is retesting the crucial $84,000 support level. A successful hold at this price could set BTC up to challenge the $94,000 resistance, paving the way for a new all-time high.
同時,另一位加密分析師Rekt Capital說,比特幣正在重新測試至關重要的84,000美元支持水平。以這個價格成功持有,BTC可能會挑戰94,000美元的阻力,為新的歷史最高水平鋪平了道路。
“BTC has produced Long Wicks below this level before which is why a Daily Close above $84k is essential for this retest to be successful. A break of $94k (grey) would put the next resistance at $104k (not pictured). A new ATH is quickly approaching,” the analyst noted.
“ BTC在此級別以下產生了長的燈芯,這就是為什麼每天關閉$ 8.4K對於這次重新測試至關重要的原因。$ 94K(灰色)的休息將使下一個阻力降至104K $ 104K(未貼上圖形)。新的ATH迅速接近,”分析師指出。
Will BTC Witness A Short Squeeze?
BTC會見證短暫的擠壓嗎?
In a separate X post, crypto trader Merlijn The Trader suggests that widespread pessimism around BTC’s recent price action might fuel a powerful short squeeze.
在單獨的X帖子中,加密貨幣交易者Merlijn交易員認為,圍繞BTC最近的價格行動的廣泛悲觀情緒可能會引起強有力的短暫擠壓。
According to the analyst, roughly $2 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated if BTC manages to break above $87,000, potentially driving the price even higher.
根據分析師的說法,如果BTC設法超過87,000美元,可能會清算價值約20億美元的短職位,這可能會使價格更高。
“People are so incredibly pessimistic on BTC now that the potential for a short squeeze is massive. Roughly $2B in shorts will get liquidated if BTC manages to break $87k,” the trader stated.
交易員說:“既然人們對BTC感到非常悲觀,以至於短暫的擠壓可能會巨大。如果BTC設法扣除了8.7萬美元,大約2B美元的短褲將被清算。”
Adding to the bullish outlook, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes suggests that BTC’s March 10 drop to $77,000 may have marked the bottom of this market cycle.
加密企業家亞瑟·海斯(Arthur Hayes)除看漲外表外,還表明,BTC的3月10日下降至77,000美元,可能標誌著這一市場週期的最低點。
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $84,043, down 2% over the past 24 hours.
在撰寫本文時,BTC的交易價格為84,043美元,在過去24小時內下跌了2%。
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