比特币（BTC）在25％下滑后稳定在$ 80K以上

随着比特币（BTC）在大幅下滑超过25％之后，比特币（BTC）稳定在关键的80,000美元支持水平上

As Bitcoin (BTC) stabilizes above the critical $80,000 support level following a substantial downturn of over 25% from its January peak, market analyst Doctor Profit has unveiled a new report that pivots on a pressing question: is the market entering a bear market, or is the bullish tide still turning?

随着比特币（BTC）从1月份的峰值开始大幅下降25％之后，比特币（BTC）稳定在关键的80,000美元支持水平上，市场分析师的医生利润已经公布了一份新的报告，该报告涉及一个紧迫的问题：市场是进入熊市的市场，还是看涨的潮流仍在转向？

Doctor Profit, recognized for his technical analysis and keen market observations, introduces his insights with a focus on liquidity in the current economic climate. While many celebrate the increase in the M2 Money Supply—a key macroeconomic indicator—there’s a critical need to understand the timing of its effects.

以他的技术分析和敏锐的市场观察认可的医生利润在当前经济环境中介绍了他的见解，并介绍了他的见解。尽管许多人庆祝M2货币供应的增加（这是一个关键的宏观经济指标），但仍需要了解其影响的时机。

« We can see that M2 is increasing at a rapid pace and has reached a 12-month high in January 2024,″ explains Doctor Profit in his report. « We also know that there’s usually a lag in how quickly the stock markets react to the period of M2 expansion. Typically, we see a delay of about six months. However, Bitcoin reacts much faster, although not immediately. »

“我们可以看到，M2正在快速增长，并在2024年1月达到了12个月的高点。” «我们还知道，股票市场对M2扩展时期的反应速度通常存在滞后。通常，我们看到大约六个月的延迟。但是，比特币反应速度更快，尽管不立即。 »»

Highlighting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions regarding interest rates as particularly influential, Doctor Profit notes that, despite official data suggesting inflation is declining, underlying realities, such as OPEC’s influence on oil prices, complicate the outlook.

医生指出，强调联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）关于利率特别有影响力的决策，但尽管官方数据表明通货膨胀率正在下降，基本现实，例如欧佩克对石油价格的影响，使前景变得复杂。

In the context of rising M2, Doctor Profit predicts that Bitcoin’s bullish trend could resume around May or June, but anticipates a period of sideways movement and potential short-term bearish pressure leading up to that point. He cautions that many who are currently bullish may shift to a bearish stance as the market evolves.

在M2上升的背景下，医生的利润预测，比特币的看涨趋势可能会在5月或6月左右恢复，但预计将横向运动和潜在的短期看跌压力导致到这一点。他警告说，随着市场的发展，许多目前看涨的人可能会转向看跌的立场。

The analyst further mentions the significance of the weekly EMA50—a critical moving average he refers to as the “Golden Line”—which Bitcoin has respected in recent price action. After bouncing off this line at $76,000, the cryptocurrency reached the anticipated $87.4K, triggering several short positions.

分析师进一步提到了每周EMA50的重要性，这是他称为“金线”的关键移动平均线，比特币在最近的价格行动中尊重。在以76,000美元的价格弹起这条线后，加密货币达到了预期的87.4k美元，触发了几个短职位。

Looking ahead, Doctor Profit’s strategy involves targeting a potential drop to the $70,000 to $74,000 zone. This region is crucial; if Bitcoin merely wicks into it but then closes strongly above the Golden Line, he plans to take long positions.

展望未来，医生利润的策略涉及将潜在的降至70,000美元至74,000美元的区域。该区域至关重要；如果比特币只是陷入困境，但随后在黄金线上远远超过了，他计划占据很长的位置。

Doctor Profit maintains a bullish long-term outlook, expecting a resumption of the bull run by mid-2024, with price targets ranging from $120,000 to $140,000. He remains cautious, holding significant cash reserves and expanding short positions in anticipation of market fluctuations.

利润医生保持看涨的长期前景，预计将在2024年中期恢复公牛，价格目标从120,000美元到140,000美元不等。他仍然谨慎，持有大量现金储备，并在预期市场波动方面扩大了短期职位。

Doctor Profit outlines two bearish scenarios that traders should consider: a manageable drop to the $70,000 to $74,000 range and the more severe “Black Swan” event that could push prices down to the $50,000 region. While he is confident in a bounce at the higher target, he advises preparedness for both scenarios.

医生利润概述了交易者应考虑的两种看跌方案：可管理的跌至70,000美元至74,000美元的范围，而更严重的“黑天鹅”活动可能会将价格降至50,000美元。尽管他对较高目标的反弹充满信心，但他建议为这两种情况做好准备。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $80.8K, showing a loss of 3.5% in the last fourteen days and 12% in the last thirty days.

在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为80.8k美元，在过去的14天内亏损了3.5％，在过去的三十天中损失了12％。