比特幣（BTC）在25％下滑後穩定在$ 80K以上

隨著比特幣（BTC）在大幅下滑超過25％之後，比特幣（BTC）穩定在關鍵的80,000美元支持水平上

As Bitcoin (BTC) stabilizes above the critical $80,000 support level following a substantial downturn of over 25% from its January peak, market analyst Doctor Profit has unveiled a new report that pivots on a pressing question: is the market entering a bear market, or is the bullish tide still turning?

隨著比特幣（BTC）從1月份的峰值開始大幅下降25％之後，比特幣（BTC）穩定在關鍵的80,000美元支持水平上，市場分析師的醫生利潤已經公佈了一份新的報告，該報告涉及一個緊迫的問題：市場是進入熊市的市場，還是看漲的潮流仍在轉向？

Doctor Profit, recognized for his technical analysis and keen market observations, introduces his insights with a focus on liquidity in the current economic climate. While many celebrate the increase in the M2 Money Supply—a key macroeconomic indicator—there’s a critical need to understand the timing of its effects.

以他的技術分析和敏銳的市場觀察認可的醫生利潤在當前經濟環境中介紹了他的見解，並介紹了他的見解。儘管許多人慶祝M2貨幣供應的增加（這是一個關鍵的宏觀經濟指標），但仍需要了解其影響的時機。

« We can see that M2 is increasing at a rapid pace and has reached a 12-month high in January 2024,″ explains Doctor Profit in his report. « We also know that there’s usually a lag in how quickly the stock markets react to the period of M2 expansion. Typically, we see a delay of about six months. However, Bitcoin reacts much faster, although not immediately. »

“我們可以看到，M2正在快速增長，並在2024年1月達到了12個月的高點。” «我們還知道，股票市場對M2擴展時期的反應速度通常存在滯後。通常，我們看到大約六個月的延遲。但是，比特幣反應速度更快，儘管不立即。 »»

Highlighting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions regarding interest rates as particularly influential, Doctor Profit notes that, despite official data suggesting inflation is declining, underlying realities, such as OPEC’s influence on oil prices, complicate the outlook.

醫生指出，強調聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）關於利率特別有影響力的決策，但儘管官方數據表明通貨膨脹率正在下降，基本現實，例如歐佩克對石油價格的影響，使前景變得複雜。

In the context of rising M2, Doctor Profit predicts that Bitcoin’s bullish trend could resume around May or June, but anticipates a period of sideways movement and potential short-term bearish pressure leading up to that point. He cautions that many who are currently bullish may shift to a bearish stance as the market evolves.

在M2上升的背景下，醫生的利潤預測，比特幣的看漲趨勢可能會在5月或6月左右恢復，但預計將橫向運動和潛在的短期看跌壓力導致到這一點。他警告說，隨著市場的發展，許多目前看漲的人可能會轉向看跌的立場。

The analyst further mentions the significance of the weekly EMA50—a critical moving average he refers to as the “Golden Line”—which Bitcoin has respected in recent price action. After bouncing off this line at $76,000, the cryptocurrency reached the anticipated $87.4K, triggering several short positions.

分析師進一步提到了每週EMA50的重要性，這是他稱為“金線”的關鍵移動平均線，比特幣在最近的價格行動中尊重。在以76,000美元的價格彈起這條線後，加密貨幣達到了預期的87.4k美元，觸發了幾個短職位。

Looking ahead, Doctor Profit’s strategy involves targeting a potential drop to the $70,000 to $74,000 zone. This region is crucial; if Bitcoin merely wicks into it but then closes strongly above the Golden Line, he plans to take long positions.

展望未來，醫生利潤的策略涉及將潛在的降至70,000美元至74,000美元的區域。該區域至關重要；如果比特幣只是陷入困境，但隨後在黃金線上遠遠超過了，他計劃佔據很長的位置。

Doctor Profit maintains a bullish long-term outlook, expecting a resumption of the bull run by mid-2024, with price targets ranging from $120,000 to $140,000. He remains cautious, holding significant cash reserves and expanding short positions in anticipation of market fluctuations.

利潤醫生保持看漲的長期前景，預計將在2024年中期恢復公牛，價格目標從120,000美元到140,000美元不等。他仍然謹慎，持有大量現金儲備，並在預期市場波動方面擴大了短期職位。

Doctor Profit outlines two bearish scenarios that traders should consider: a manageable drop to the $70,000 to $74,000 range and the more severe “Black Swan” event that could push prices down to the $50,000 region. While he is confident in a bounce at the higher target, he advises preparedness for both scenarios.

醫生利潤概述了交易者應考慮的兩種看跌方案：可管理的跌至70,000美元至74,000美元的範圍，而更嚴重的“黑天鵝”活動可能會將價格降至50,000美元。儘管他對較高目標的反彈充滿信心，但他建議為這兩種情況做好準備。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $80.8K, showing a loss of 3.5% in the last fourteen days and 12% in the last thirty days.

在撰寫本文時，BTC的交易價格為80.8k美元，在過去的14天內虧損了3.5％，在過去的三十天中損失了12％。