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加密分析师科林(Colin)也被称为“ M2家伙”,他指出了比特币与全球M2货币供应之间的显着相关性。
Crypto analyst Colin, also known as “The M2 Guy,” has noted a significant correlation between Bitcoin and the global M2 money supply. His latest analysis, shared on X, suggests that an impending liquidity influx could drive BTC into a major price move in two different scenarios.
加密分析师科林(Colin)也被称为“ M2 Guy”,他指出了比特币与全球M2货币供应之间的显着相关性。他在X上分享的最新分析表明,在两种不同的情况下,即将来临的流动性涌入可能会使BTC成为主要价格转移。
M2 Money Supply And Bitcoin’s Liquidity-Driven Rally
M2货币供应和比特币的流动性集会
Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin’s price action against the global money supply is pointing to a big move in the coming months. This outlook, noted by analyst Colin, revolves around the timing of a liquidity shift between global markets and BTC. His analysis presents two possible scenarios based on historical patterns of money supply expansion and Bitcoin’s price response, each pointing to a major price move either in late March or late April.
技术分析表明,比特币针对全球货币供应的价格行动表明,在未来几个月中,比特币的价格行动是一个巨大的举动。分析师科林(Colin)指出的这种前景围绕着全球市场与BTC之间的流动性转变的时机。他的分析基于货币供应量扩展和比特币的价格响应的历史模式提出了两种可能的方案,每种情况都指向3月下旬或4月下旬的重大价格转移。
The global M2 money supply, which represents the total amount of liquid money circulating in the economy, is a good metric for predicting how capital flows into risk assets, including BTC. Notably, Colin’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s price offset with the Global M2 money supply, particularly with the 70-day offset and the 107-day offset.
全球M2货币供应代表经济中流通的流动资源总量,是预测资本如何流入风险资产(包括BTC)的良好指标。值得注意的是,Colin的分析重点是全球M2货币供应的比特币价格抵消,尤其是在70天的偏移量和107天偏移量的情况下。
Bitcoin’s price can be compared with different offsets with the Global M2 money supply, but analysis shows that these two offsets have the best correlation with BTC’s price across multiple timeframes. However, the mathematical correlation seems to be stronger in the case of the 107-day offset.
可以将比特币的价格与全球M2货币供应的不同偏移量进行比较,但是分析表明,这两个偏移量与BTC在多个时间范围内的价格具有最好的相关性。但是,在107天偏移的情况下,数学相关性似乎更强。
Colin’s analysis, therefore, outlines two primary scenarios based on these offsets. In the first case, BTC could experience an early surge around March 24, aligning with the 70-day offset. The second scenario suggests that if the liquidity shift follows the more historically accurate 107-day offset, the major move would take place around April 30.
因此,科林的分析概述了基于这些偏移的两个主要情况。在第一种情况下,BTC可能会在3月24日左右发生早期激增,与70天的偏移保持一致。第二种情况表明,如果流动性转移遵循历史上更准确的107天偏移,那么主要举措将在4月30日左右发生。
BTC’s Incoming Price Targets
BTC的传入价格目标
Regardless of which timeline plays out, the expectation of liquidity flowing into Bitcoin is the same. This flow of liquidity into BTC could be the much-needed primer to push the asset above the $100,000 price level again and potentially to new all-time highs.
无论哪个时间表都播出,流动流入比特币的期望是相同的。这种流动性流入BTC可能是急需的入门,将资产再次高于100,000美元的价格水平,并有可能将其推向新的历史最高点。
Although Colin’s analysis does not specify an exact price target, projections of the global M2 money supply point to a break above $120,000 in each case. The 70-day offset puts Bitcoin at a price target around $122,000 before June. Meanwhile, the second scenario, which aligns with the 107-day offset, projects a slightly delayed but potentially more powerful rally and BTC reaching around $130,000 by July.
尽管Colin的分析未指定确切的目标目标,但在每种情况下,全球M2货币供应供应的预测指向超过120,000美元的中断。 70天的偏移量将比特币的价格目标定为6月之前的122,000美元。同时,第二种情况与107天的偏移相吻合,预计了稍微延迟但可能更强大的集会,而BTC到7月的$ 130,000左右。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $85,850, up by 3% in the past 24 hours.
在撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格为85,850美元,在过去24小时内增长了3%。
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