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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)看起來已經在$ 80,000範圍內發現了穩定性,為新的向上移動奠定了基礎

2025/03/21 14:00

加密分析師科林(Colin)也被稱為“ M2傢伙”,他指出了比特幣與全球M2貨幣供應之間的顯著相關性。

比特幣(BTC)看起來已經在$ 80,000範圍內發現了穩定性,為新的向上移動奠定了基礎

Crypto analyst Colin, also known as “The M2 Guy,” has noted a significant correlation between Bitcoin and the global M2 money supply. His latest analysis, shared on X, suggests that an impending liquidity influx could drive BTC into a major price move in two different scenarios.

加密分析師科林(Colin)也被稱為“ M2 Guy”,他指出了比特幣與全球M2貨幣供應之間的顯著相關性。他在X上分享的最新分析表明,在兩種不同的情況下,即將來臨的流動性湧入可能會使BTC成為主要價格轉移。

M2 Money Supply And Bitcoin’s Liquidity-Driven Rally

M2貨幣供應和比特幣的流動性集會

Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin’s price action against the global money supply is pointing to a big move in the coming months. This outlook, noted by analyst Colin, revolves around the timing of a liquidity shift between global markets and BTC. His analysis presents two possible scenarios based on historical patterns of money supply expansion and Bitcoin’s price response, each pointing to a major price move either in late March or late April.

技術分析表明,比特幣針對全球貨幣供應的價格行動表明,在未來幾個月中,比特幣的價格行動是一個巨大的舉動。分析師科林(Colin)指出的這種前景圍繞著全球市場與BTC之間的流動性轉變的時機。他的分析基於貨幣供應量擴展和比特幣的價格響應的歷史模式提出了兩種可能的方案,每種情況都指向3月下旬或4月下旬的重大價格轉移。

The global M2 money supply, which represents the total amount of liquid money circulating in the economy, is a good metric for predicting how capital flows into risk assets, including BTC. Notably, Colin’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s price offset with the Global M2 money supply, particularly with the 70-day offset and the 107-day offset.

全球M2貨幣供應代表經濟中流通的流動資源總量,是預測資本如何流入風險資產(包括BTC)的良好指標。值得注意的是,Colin的分析重點是全球M2貨幣供應的比特幣價格抵消,尤其是在70天的偏移量和107天偏移量的情況下。

Bitcoin’s price can be compared with different offsets with the Global M2 money supply, but analysis shows that these two offsets have the best correlation with BTC’s price across multiple timeframes. However, the mathematical correlation seems to be stronger in the case of the 107-day offset.

可以將比特幣的價格與全球M2貨幣供應的不同偏移量進行比較,但是分析表明,這兩個偏移量與BTC在多個時間範圍內的價格具有最好的相關性。但是,在107天偏移的情況下,數學相關性似乎更強。

Colin’s analysis, therefore, outlines two primary scenarios based on these offsets. In the first case, BTC could experience an early surge around March 24, aligning with the 70-day offset. The second scenario suggests that if the liquidity shift follows the more historically accurate 107-day offset, the major move would take place around April 30.

因此,科林的分析概述了基於這些偏移的兩個主要情況。在第一種情況下,BTC可能會在3月24日左右發生早期激增,與70天的偏移保持一致。第二種情況表明,如果流動性轉移遵循歷史上更準確的107天偏移,那麼主要舉措將在4月30日左右發生。

BTC’s Incoming Price Targets

BTC的傳入價格目標

Regardless of which timeline plays out, the expectation of liquidity flowing into Bitcoin is the same. This flow of liquidity into BTC could be the much-needed primer to push the asset above the $100,000 price level again and potentially to new all-time highs.

無論哪個時間表都播出,流動流入比特幣的期望是相同的。這種流動性流入BTC可能是急需的入門,將資產再次高於100,000美元的價格水平,並有可能將其推向新的歷史最高點。

Although Colin’s analysis does not specify an exact price target, projections of the global M2 money supply point to a break above $120,000 in each case. The 70-day offset puts Bitcoin at a price target around $122,000 before June. Meanwhile, the second scenario, which aligns with the 107-day offset, projects a slightly delayed but potentially more powerful rally and BTC reaching around $130,000 by July.

儘管Colin的分析未指定確切的目標目標,但在每種情況下,全球M2貨幣供應供應的預測指向超過120,000美元的中斷。 70天的偏移量將比特幣的價格目標定為6月之前的122,000美元。同時,第二種情況與107天的偏移相吻合,預計了稍微延遲但可能更強大的集會,而BTC到7月的$ 130,000左右。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $85,850, up by 3% in the past 24 hours.

在撰寫本文時,比特幣的交易價格為85,850美元,在過去24小時內增長了3%。

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