比特币（BTC）设定遵循Gold的势头？

随着黄金继续创造新的历史高峰（ATH） - 写作时的交易价格为每盎司3333美元 - 比特币（BTC）已经看到了更加柔和的价格动作

As gold continues to set new all-time highs (ATH) - trading at $3,333 per ounce at the time of writing - Bitcoin (BTC) has seen more subdued price action, consolidating in the mid-$80,000 range. However, analysts suggest that the top digital asset may soon mirror gold's recent momentum.

随着黄金继续创造新的历史高峰（ATH） - 写作时的交易价格为每盎司3,333美元 - 比特币（BTC）的价格更加柔和，价格在80,000美元的中期范围内巩固。但是，分析师认为，顶级数字资产可能很快就会反映出Gold最近的势头。

Bitcoin Set To Follow Gold's Momentum?

比特币设定遵循Gold的势头？

比特币设定遵循Gold的势头？

In a recent post on X, crypto trading account Cryptollica hinted that BTC may be poised to replicate gold's historic price movement seen over the past few months. The account shared the following chart, highlighting the striking similarities between the price actions of gold and BTC.

在X上的最近一篇文章中，加密货币账户Cryptollica暗示BTC可能有望复制Gold在过去几个月中看到的历史性价格运动。该帐户共享了以下图表，突出了黄金和BTC的价格动作之间的惊人相似之处。

The chart shows both gold and BTC forming a macro-bottom around early 2023, followed by a rejection at the range top in early 2024. Gold eventually broke out in the following months, while BTC lagged slightly, breaking out around November 2024.

该图显示了黄金和BTC在2023年初左右形成宏大，随后在2024年初拒绝了山脉的拒绝。在接下来的几个月中，黄金最终爆发，而BTC略微落后，在2024年11月左右爆发。

According to Cryptollica, BTC now appears to be breaking out of a consolidatory wedge pattern, with a potential mid-term target as high as $155,000. Currently, Bitcoin's ATH stands at $108,786, recorded earlier this year in January.

根据Cryptollica的说法，BTC现在似乎正在摆脱固结楔形模式，潜在的中期目标高达15.5万美元。目前，比特币的ATH为108,786美元，今年1月初记录。

BTC is also likely to benefit from several favorable macroeconomic trends. For example, the global M2 money supply is expected to increase in 2025, a development that typically supports risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

BTC也可能受益于几种有利的宏观经济趋势。例如，预计全球M2货币供应将在2025年增加，这一开发通常支持像比特币这样的风险资产。

BTC Maturing As A Safe Haven Asset

BTC成熟为避风港资产

BTC成熟为避风港资产

Beyond technical chart patterns, BTC has demonstrated remarkable resilience amid escalating global tariff-induced uncertainty. According to the latest The Week On-Chain report, both gold and BTC have performed well during the ongoing tariff war. The report notes:

除了技术图表模式外，BTC在全球关税引起的不确定性升级时表现出了显着的弹性。根据最新一周的链报告，在持续的关税战争中，黄金和BTC的表现都很好。报告指出：

"Amidst this turmoil, the performance of hard assets remains remarkably impressive. Gold continues to surge higher, having reached a new ATH of $3,300, as investors flee to the traditional safe haven asset. Bitcoin sold off to $75k initially alongside risk assets, but has since recovered the week’s gains, trading back up to $85k, now flat since this burst of volatility."

“在这种动荡中，硬资产的绩效仍然令人印象深刻。由于投资者逃往传统的避风港资产，因此达到了3,300美元的新Ath，黄金仍在增长。最初，比特币与风险资产一起出售至75万美元，但此后又恢复了票房，又恢复到了85k，此后又恢复了85k，此后又兑换了这一不平衡。

The report also mentions that BTC recently experienced its largest price correction of the 2023–25 cycle, a -33% drawdown from its ATH earlier this year. However, this correction remains relatively modest compared to those seen in previous market cycles.

该报告还提到，BTC最近经历了其2023 - 25年周期的最大价格校正，比今年早些时候的ATH下降了-33％。但是，与以前的市场周期相比，这种校正仍然相对谦虚。

The following chart illustrates BTC bull market correction drawdowns since 2011. As shown, the recent -33% correction is the shallowest among past cycles, with the deepest being -72% during the 2012–14 bull market.

以下图表说明了BTC牛市自2011年以来的校正下降。如图所示，最近的-33％的校正是过去周期中最浅的校正，最深的是2012 - 14年的牛市中最高的-72％。

While BTC continues to show signs of maturing as a reliable asset during times of geopolitical uncertainty, institutional investors appear to be taking profits. This is evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

尽管在地缘政治不确定性时期，BTC继续表现出成为可靠资产的迹象，但机构投资者似乎正在获利。比特币交易所贸易资金（ETF）的最新流出证明了这一点。

At press time, BTC is trading at $84,694, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

发稿时，BTC的交易价格为84,694美元，在过去24小时内增长了0.7％。