比特幣（BTC）設定遵循Gold的勢頭？

隨著黃金繼續創造新的歷史高峰（ATH） - 寫作時的交易價格為每盎司3333美元 - 比特幣（BTC）已經看到了更加柔和的價格動作

As gold continues to set new all-time highs (ATH) - trading at $3,333 per ounce at the time of writing - Bitcoin (BTC) has seen more subdued price action, consolidating in the mid-$80,000 range. However, analysts suggest that the top digital asset may soon mirror gold's recent momentum.

隨著黃金繼續創造新的歷史高峰（ATH） - 寫作時的交易價格為每盎司3,333美元 - 比特幣（BTC）的價格更加柔和，價格在80,000美元的中期範圍內鞏固。但是，分析師認為，頂級數字資產可能很快就會反映出Gold最近的勢頭。

Bitcoin Set To Follow Gold's Momentum?

比特幣設定遵循Gold的勢頭？

比特幣設定遵循Gold的勢頭？

In a recent post on X, crypto trading account Cryptollica hinted that BTC may be poised to replicate gold's historic price movement seen over the past few months. The account shared the following chart, highlighting the striking similarities between the price actions of gold and BTC.

在X上的最近一篇文章中，加密貨幣賬戶Cryptollica暗示BTC可能有望復制Gold在過去幾個月中看到的歷史性價格運動。該帳戶共享了以下圖表，突出了黃金和BTC的價格動作之間的驚人相似之處。

The chart shows both gold and BTC forming a macro-bottom around early 2023, followed by a rejection at the range top in early 2024. Gold eventually broke out in the following months, while BTC lagged slightly, breaking out around November 2024.

該圖顯示了黃金和BTC在2023年初左右形成宏大，隨後在2024年初拒絕了山脈的拒絕。在接下來的幾個月中，黃金最終爆發，而BTC略微落後，在2024年11月左右爆發。

According to Cryptollica, BTC now appears to be breaking out of a consolidatory wedge pattern, with a potential mid-term target as high as $155,000. Currently, Bitcoin's ATH stands at $108,786, recorded earlier this year in January.

根據Cryptollica的說法，BTC現在似乎正在擺脫固結楔形模式，潛在的中期目標高達15.5萬美元。目前，比特幣的ATH為108,786美元，今年1月初記錄。

BTC is also likely to benefit from several favorable macroeconomic trends. For example, the global M2 money supply is expected to increase in 2025, a development that typically supports risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

BTC也可能受益於幾種有利的宏觀經濟趨勢。例如，預計全球M2貨幣供應將在2025年增加，這一開發通常支持像比特幣這樣的風險資產。

BTC Maturing As A Safe Haven Asset

BTC成熟為避風港資產

BTC成熟為避風港資產

Beyond technical chart patterns, BTC has demonstrated remarkable resilience amid escalating global tariff-induced uncertainty. According to the latest The Week On-Chain report, both gold and BTC have performed well during the ongoing tariff war. The report notes:

除了技術圖表模式外，BTC在全球關稅引起的不確定性升級時表現出了顯著的彈性。根據最新一周的鏈報告，在持續的關稅戰爭中，黃金和BTC的表現都很好。報告指出：

"Amidst this turmoil, the performance of hard assets remains remarkably impressive. Gold continues to surge higher, having reached a new ATH of $3,300, as investors flee to the traditional safe haven asset. Bitcoin sold off to $75k initially alongside risk assets, but has since recovered the week’s gains, trading back up to $85k, now flat since this burst of volatility."

“在這種動盪中，硬資產的績效仍然令人印象深刻。由於投資者逃往傳統的避風港資產，因此達到了3,300美元的新Ath，黃金仍在增長。最初，比特幣與風險資產一起出售至75萬美元，但此後又恢復了票房，又恢復到了85k，此後又恢復了85k，此後又兌換了這一不平衡。

The report also mentions that BTC recently experienced its largest price correction of the 2023–25 cycle, a -33% drawdown from its ATH earlier this year. However, this correction remains relatively modest compared to those seen in previous market cycles.

該報告還提到，BTC最近經歷了其2023 - 25年周期的最大價格校正，比今年早些時候的ATH下降了-33％。但是，與以前的市場週期相比，這種校正仍然相對謙虛。

The following chart illustrates BTC bull market correction drawdowns since 2011. As shown, the recent -33% correction is the shallowest among past cycles, with the deepest being -72% during the 2012–14 bull market.

以下圖表說明了BTC牛市自2011年以來的校正下降。如圖所示，最近的-33％的校正是過去週期中最淺的校正，最深的是2012 - 14年的牛市中最高的-72％。

While BTC continues to show signs of maturing as a reliable asset during times of geopolitical uncertainty, institutional investors appear to be taking profits. This is evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

儘管在地緣政治不確定性時期，BTC繼續表現出成為可靠資產的跡象，但機構投資者似乎正在獲利。比特幣交易所貿易資金（ETF）的最新流出證明了這一點。

At press time, BTC is trading at $84,694, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

發稿時，BTC的交易價格為84,694美元，在過去24小時內增長了0.7％。