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Bitwise 资产管理公司首席投资官 Matt Hougan 表示,比特币 (BTC) 到 2025 年可能会升至六位数。
Bitcoin (BTC) could reach six figures by 2025, according to Matt Hougan, the chief investment officer of Bitwise Asset Management.
Bitwise 资产管理公司首席投资官 Matt Hougan 表示,到 2025 年,比特币 (BTC) 的价格可能会达到六位数。
In a recent interview on the Altcoin Daily YouTube channel with host Aaron Arnold, Hougan laid out a series of factors that he believes will contribute to this anticipated price surge.
在最近接受山寨币每日 YouTube 频道主持人亚伦·阿诺德 (Aaron Arnold) 采访时,Hougan 列出了一系列他认为将导致预期价格飙升的因素。
Bitcoin is currently trading at around $67,028. If Hougan’s projections hold true, the next few months could see significant volatility and price movements that may propel Bitcoin closer to the six-figure mark.
比特币目前交易价格约为 67,028 美元。如果Hougan的预测成立,那么未来几个月可能会出现大幅波动和价格变动,这可能会推动比特币接近六位数大关。
Optimism for New All-Time Highs
对历史新高的乐观情绪
Hougan expressed a confident outlook for Bitcoin, predicting it will reach a new all-time high. “I think it’s going to be a six-figure Bitcoin for sure,” he remarked.
霍根对比特币前景充满信心,预测其将创下历史新高。 “我认为这肯定会是六位数的比特币,”他说道。
While acknowledging the inherent risks in cryptocurrency investing—advising potential investors to only invest what they can afford to lose—he emphasized that the setup for 2025 appears exceptionally promising. This blend of optimism and caution resonates throughout his analysis.
他承认加密货币投资存在固有风险,建议潜在投资者只投资他们能承受的损失,但他强调 2025 年的前景似乎非常光明。这种乐观与谨慎的结合在他的分析中引起了共鸣。
The Impact of the Halving
减半的影响
One of the primary drivers behind Hougan’s bullish sentiment is the recent Bitcoin halving that occurred in April 2024. This event, which cut the rewards for miners in half, has historically led to significant price increases.
Hougan 看涨情绪背后的主要驱动力之一是最近发生在 2024 年 4 月的比特币减半。这一事件将矿工的奖励减少了一半,历史上曾导致价格大幅上涨。
According to Hougan, we are now entering a phase in Bitcoin’s lifecycle where the effects of this halving will become more pronounced. “This is about the period in Bitcoin’s history where you start to feel the effects of the halving,” he noted, suggesting that reduced supply could coincide with rising demand.
根据 Hougan 的说法,我们现在正进入比特币生命周期的一个阶段,减半的影响将变得更加明显。 “这是比特币历史上你开始感受到减半影响的时期,”他指出,这表明供应减少可能与需求上升同时发生。
Growth in Spot Bitcoin ETFs
现货比特币 ETF 的增长
Another pivotal factor that Hougan believes will contribute to Bitcoin’s ascension is the anticipated growth of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Hougan 认为有助于比特币上涨的另一个关键因素是现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的预期增长。
He remarked, “I expect the spot Bitcoin ETFs will be bigger next year,” indicating that the introduction of more ETFs could attract institutional investors who have been hesitant to enter the market. The legitimacy that ETFs confer on Bitcoin may broaden its appeal and increase market participation.
他表示,“我预计明年比特币现货 ETF 规模将会更大”,这表明推出更多 ETF 可能会吸引一直犹豫是否进入市场的机构投资者。 ETF 赋予比特币的合法性可能会扩大其吸引力并提高市场参与度。
The Role of Federal Reserve Policies
美联储政策的作用
In addition to these technical factors, Hougan pointed to potential shifts in U.S. Federal Reserve policy as a crucial influence on Bitcoin’s price.
除了这些技术因素之外,Hougan 指出美联储政策的潜在变化对比特币价格也有至关重要的影响。
He speculated that forthcoming interest rate cuts could create a more favorable environment for investment, providing the liquidity necessary for a market surge. “There is a really significant amount of money on the sidelines,” he said, emphasizing that this liquidity could flow into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as market conditions improve.
他推测,即将到来的降息可能会创造更有利的投资环境,为市场飙升提供必要的流动性。他表示:“确实有大量资金在观望。”他强调,随着市场状况改善,这些流动性可能会流入比特币和其他加密货币。
Short-Term and Long-Term Predictions
短期和长期预测
While Hougan remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term potential, he also suggests that significant price movements could happen in the near term.
尽管豪根对比特币的长期潜力仍然持乐观态度,但他也表示,短期内可能会发生重大的价格变动。
“Our view at Bitwise is that crypto will end the year at new all-time highs,” he stated, hinting that the rally might have already begun. This short-term outlook aligns with his long-term confidence, providing a holistic view of what investors can expect.
他表示:“我们 Bitwise 的观点是,加密货币将在今年结束时创下历史新高。”他暗示涨势可能已经开始。这种短期前景与他的长期信心相一致,为投资者的预期提供了全面的视角。
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