到2025年6月，比特币（BTC）可能达到126,000美元

正如加密市场所显示的合并迹象一样，最近的分析表明，到2025年6月，比特币可以达到126,000美元。

As the crypto market shows signs of consolidation, a recent analysis suggests that bitcoin (BTC) could reach $126,000 by June 1, 2025.

正如加密市场所显示的合并迹象时，最近的分析表明，到2025年6月1日，比特币（BTC）可能达到126,000美元。

Currently, BTC is trading at the lower end of its historical seasonal range, but several indicators suggest a strong comeback of the bullish market.

目前，BTC正在其历史季节性范围的低端交易，但有一些指标表明对看涨市场的卷土重来。

Bitcoin: a bullish cycle approaching?

比特币：看涨周期即将来临？

In the crypto universe, history often repeats itself, and this time, it shows us that nearly 100% of bitcoin’s annual performance concentrates in just two months: April and October. This pattern, observed repeatedly since 2014, could indicate an explosive movement coming.

在加密货币宇宙中，历史常常重演，这一次，它向我们表明，比特币的年度绩效中，近两个月的年度绩效集中在两个月中：四月和十月。自2014年以来反复观察到的这种模式可能表明爆炸性运动即将到来。

Moreover, periods during which BTC remains below its average bullish trend typically last four months, a threshold that was recently crossed by surpassing the $85,000 mark. Following this trend, bitcoin could regain upward momentum as early as April, with a potential target of $126,000 by June 1, 2025, as indicated by the trendline shown in the technical analysis.

此外，在此期间，BTC保持低于平均看涨趋势的时期通常持续四个月，这一门槛最近通过超过了85,000美元的大关而越过。遵循这一趋势，比特币可能早在4月就可以重新获得向上的动力，到2025年6月1日，潜在的目标为126,000美元，如技术分析中所示的趋势线所示。

Technical Factors

技术因素

The analysis is based on a bullish trendline represented below by red dashed lines, indicating that BTC has been following a consistent growth channel for several cycles. This type of technical model has historically worked well to anticipate major market movements.

该分析基于下面以红色虚线表示的看涨趋势线，表明BTC一直遵循多个循环的一致生长通道。这种类型的技术模型历史上可以很好地预测主要的市场发展。

Furthermore, the historical peak of bitcoin recorded in November 2021 at $69,000 now seems to be a key support level with a 95% chance of holding. If this suggested scenario materializes, BTC could exceed its previous record of $109,000 even before summer 2025, opening the door to a new phase of euphoria in the market.

此外，现在在2021年11月以69,000美元的价格记录的比特币的历史峰值似乎是一个关键支持水平，持有的机会为95％。如果建议的情况呈现出来，BTC甚至在2025年夏季之前就可以超过其以前的109,000美元记录，这为市场上新欧波里亚的新阶段打开了大门。

The dangers that could break bitcoin

可能打破比特币的危险

Despite this convincing bullish scenario, elements may hinder or invalidate this projection. The monetary policy of central banks, a potential decline in institutional interest, or geopolitical tensions could weigh on bitcoin.

尽管这种令人信服的看涨场景，但元素可能会阻碍或无效这一预测。中央银行的货币政策，机构利益的潜在下降或地缘政治紧张局势可能会对比特币造成压力。

Additionally, some analysts believe that the current correction could prolong, invalidating the idea of an immediate rebound.

此外，一些分析人士认为，当前的校正可能会延长，从而使立即反弹的想法无效。

In addition to recent signals indicating a BTC at $90,000 in the coming days, achieving a new ATH in June now seems entirely feasible. It remains to be seen whether investors will seize this opportunity or if headwinds will slow this upward trajectory. One thing is certain: bitcoin has not said its last word.

除了最近的信号表明在未来几天内的BTC为90,000美元，现在在6月实现了一个新的ATH，现在似乎是完全可行的。投资者是否会抓住这个机会，还是逆风将减缓这一向上的轨迹还有待观察。可以肯定的是：比特币尚未说出最后一句话。