到2025年6月，比特幣（BTC）可能達到126,000美元

正如加密市場所顯示的合併跡像一樣，最近的分析表明，到2025年6月，比特幣可以達到126,000美元。

As the crypto market shows signs of consolidation, a recent analysis suggests that bitcoin (BTC) could reach $126,000 by June 1, 2025.

正如加密市場所顯示的合併跡象時，最近的分析表明，到2025年6月1日，比特幣（BTC）可能達到126,000美元。

Currently, BTC is trading at the lower end of its historical seasonal range, but several indicators suggest a strong comeback of the bullish market.

目前，BTC正在其歷史季節性範圍的低端交易，但有一些指標表明對看漲市場的捲土重來。

Bitcoin: a bullish cycle approaching?

比特幣：看漲週期即將來臨？

In the crypto universe, history often repeats itself, and this time, it shows us that nearly 100% of bitcoin’s annual performance concentrates in just two months: April and October. This pattern, observed repeatedly since 2014, could indicate an explosive movement coming.

在加密貨幣宇宙中，歷史常常重演，這一次，它向我們表明，比特幣的年度績效中，近兩個月的年度績效集中在兩個月中：四月和十月。自2014年以來反復觀察到的這種模式可能表明爆炸性運動即將到來。

Moreover, periods during which BTC remains below its average bullish trend typically last four months, a threshold that was recently crossed by surpassing the $85,000 mark. Following this trend, bitcoin could regain upward momentum as early as April, with a potential target of $126,000 by June 1, 2025, as indicated by the trendline shown in the technical analysis.

此外，在此期間，BTC保持低於平均看漲趨勢的時期通常持續四個月，這一門檻最近通過超過了85,000美元的大關而越過。遵循這一趨勢，比特幣可能早在4月就可以重新獲得向上的動力，到2025年6月1日，潛在的目標為126,000美元，如技術分析中所示的趨勢線所示。

Technical Factors

技術因素

The analysis is based on a bullish trendline represented below by red dashed lines, indicating that BTC has been following a consistent growth channel for several cycles. This type of technical model has historically worked well to anticipate major market movements.

該分析基於下面以紅色虛線表示的看漲趨勢線，表明BTC一直遵循多個循環的一致生長通道。這種類型的技術模型歷史上可以很好地預測主要的市場發展。

Furthermore, the historical peak of bitcoin recorded in November 2021 at $69,000 now seems to be a key support level with a 95% chance of holding. If this suggested scenario materializes, BTC could exceed its previous record of $109,000 even before summer 2025, opening the door to a new phase of euphoria in the market.

此外，現在在2021年11月以69,000美元的價格記錄的比特幣的歷史峰值似乎是一個關鍵支持水平，持有的機會為95％。如果建議的情況呈現出來，BTC甚至在2025年夏季之前就可以超過其以前的109,000美元記錄，這為市場上新歐波里亞的新階段打開了大門。

The dangers that could break bitcoin

可能打破比特幣的危險

Despite this convincing bullish scenario, elements may hinder or invalidate this projection. The monetary policy of central banks, a potential decline in institutional interest, or geopolitical tensions could weigh on bitcoin.

儘管這種令人信服的看漲場景，但元素可能會阻礙或無效這一預測。中央銀行的貨幣政策，機構利益的潛在下降或地緣政治緊張局勢可能會對比特幣造成壓力。

Additionally, some analysts believe that the current correction could prolong, invalidating the idea of an immediate rebound.

此外，一些分析人士認為，當前的校正可能會延長，從而使立即反彈的想法無效。

In addition to recent signals indicating a BTC at $90,000 in the coming days, achieving a new ATH in June now seems entirely feasible. It remains to be seen whether investors will seize this opportunity or if headwinds will slow this upward trajectory. One thing is certain: bitcoin has not said its last word.

除了最近的信號表明在未來幾天內的BTC為90,000美元，現在在6月實現了一個新的ATH，現在似乎是完全可行的。投資者是否會抓住這個機會，還是逆風將減緩這一向上的軌跡還有待觀察。可以肯定的是：比特幣尚未說出最後一句話。