据 CoinDesk 23 日报道,虚拟资产管理公司 Bitwise 欧洲研究主管 Andre Dragos 表示,“未来几周比特币价格很有可能出现更大损失。”
An analysis suggests that the decline in Bitcoin (BTC) prices may continue for the next few weeks. According to CoinDesk on the 23rd, Andre Dragos, Head of European Research at the virtual asset management company Bitwise, stated, "There is a high possibility of greater losses for Bitcoin prices in the coming weeks." Initially, Bitwise had a positive outlook on Bitcoin prices over the past few months. However, it seems that they have shifted their stance considering the macroeconomic situation, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) signaling a moderation in the pace of interest rate cuts. Dragos anticipates that the aversion to investing in virtual assets like Bitcoin will persist for the time being. This is based on the judgment that if the pace of interest rate cuts is slower than initially expected, investments in safe assets like bonds will increase, while investments in risky assets like virtual assets will shrink. However, there is still an analysis that the price increase factor due to the shortage of Bitcoin supply remains. Dragos stated, "If the Fed aggressively cuts rates, there is a risk of rapidly accelerating inflation, and conversely, if no action is taken, the economy could suffer," adding, "Ultimately, financial tightening due to rising (government bond) yields and the dollar index will pressure the Fed." He continued, "The shortage of Bitcoin supply will remain a long-term bullish factor."
分析表明,比特币(BTC)价格可能会在未来几周内持续下跌。据 CoinDesk 23 日报道,虚拟资产管理公司 Bitwise 欧洲研究主管 Andre Dragos 表示,“未来几周比特币价格很有可能出现更大损失。”最初,Bitwise 对过去几个月的比特币价格持乐观态度。然而,考虑到宏观经济形势,例如美联储(Fed)发出放缓降息步伐的信号,他们似乎已经改变了立场。 Dragos 预计,对投资比特币等虚拟资产的厌恶情绪将暂时持续存在。这是基于这样的判断:如果降息步伐慢于最初预期,债券等安全资产的投资将会增加,而虚拟资产等风险资产的投资将会减少。但仍有分析认为,比特币供应短缺导致的价格上涨因素依然存在。德拉戈斯表示,“如果美联储大幅降息,则存在通胀迅速加速的风险,相反,如果不采取行动,经济可能会受到影响,”他补充道,“最终,由于(政府债券)收益率上升而导致金融紧缩美元指数将给美联储带来压力。”他继续说道,“比特币供应短缺仍将是一个长期看涨因素。”
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