根據 CoinDesk 23 日報道,虛擬資產管理公司 Bitwise 歐洲研究主管 Andre Dragos 表示,“未來幾週比特幣價格很有可能出現更大損失。”
An analysis suggests that the decline in Bitcoin (BTC) prices may continue for the next few weeks. According to CoinDesk on the 23rd, Andre Dragos, Head of European Research at the virtual asset management company Bitwise, stated, "There is a high possibility of greater losses for Bitcoin prices in the coming weeks." Initially, Bitwise had a positive outlook on Bitcoin prices over the past few months. However, it seems that they have shifted their stance considering the macroeconomic situation, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) signaling a moderation in the pace of interest rate cuts. Dragos anticipates that the aversion to investing in virtual assets like Bitcoin will persist for the time being. This is based on the judgment that if the pace of interest rate cuts is slower than initially expected, investments in safe assets like bonds will increase, while investments in risky assets like virtual assets will shrink. However, there is still an analysis that the price increase factor due to the shortage of Bitcoin supply remains. Dragos stated, "If the Fed aggressively cuts rates, there is a risk of rapidly accelerating inflation, and conversely, if no action is taken, the economy could suffer," adding, "Ultimately, financial tightening due to rising (government bond) yields and the dollar index will pressure the Fed." He continued, "The shortage of Bitcoin supply will remain a long-term bullish factor."
分析表明,比特幣(BTC)價格可能會在未來幾週內持續下跌。根據 CoinDesk 23 日報道,虛擬資產管理公司 Bitwise 歐洲研究主管 Andre Dragos 表示,“未來幾週比特幣價格很有可能出現更大損失。”最初,Bitwise 對過去幾個月的比特幣價格持樂觀態度。然而,考慮到宏觀經濟形勢,例如聯準會(Fed)發出放緩降息步伐的信號,他們似乎已經改變了立場。 Dragos 預計,對投資比特幣等虛擬資產的厭惡情緒將暫時持續存在。這是基於這樣的判斷:如果降息步伐慢於最初預期,債券等安全資產的投資將會增加,而虛擬資產等風險資產的投資將會減少。但仍有分析認為,比特幣供應短缺導致的價格上漲因素依然存在。德拉戈斯表示,「如果聯準會大幅降息,則存在通膨迅速加速的風險,相反,如果不採取行動,經濟可能會受到影響,」他補充道,「最終,由於(政府債券)收益率上升而導致金融緊縮美元指數將給聯準會帶來壓力。他繼續說道,“比特幣供應短缺仍將是一個長期看漲因素。”
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