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看涨预测假设比特币和更广泛的股市都将在明年保持强劲的积极势头。
Bitcoin price is set to “at least” double if the current breakout proves to be genuine, according to a new analysis by Ecoinometrics.
根据 Ecoinometrics 的一项新分析,如果当前的突破被证明是真实的,比特币价格将“至少”翻倍。
Bitcoin’s price tanked to $65,188 on Wednesday after trading at a three-month high of $69,500 on Monday, battling bearish momentum. A recovery is already underway, with Bitcoin posting a mild 0.3% gain today, trading at $67,132 at the time of writing.
比特币价格周一触及三个月高点 69,500 美元,周三跌至 65,188 美元,与看跌势头作斗争。复苏已经开始,比特币今天小幅上涨 0.3%,截至撰写本文时交易价格为 67,132 美元。
While opinions vary on whether Bitcoin will cross $70,000 or drop below $60,000, Ecoinometrics has offered a bold analysis suggesting that Bitcoin’s price must “at least” double in the next 12 months.
尽管对于比特币是否会突破 70,000 美元还是跌破 60,000 美元意见不一,Ecoinometrics 提供了一项大胆的分析,表明比特币的价格在未来 12 个月内“至少”必须翻倍。
Why Bitcoin Could See “At Least” 100% Price Growth
为什么比特币的价格增长“至少”100%
The bullish projection assumes that both Bitcoin and the broader stock market will maintain strong positive momentum over the next year. Under this scenario, the median expectation is for Bitcoin to gain about 100%, potentially pushing its value into the $130,000 range by late 2025.
看涨预测假设比特币和更广泛的股市都将在明年保持强劲的积极势头。在这种情况下,比特币的中值预期将上涨约 100%,到 2025 年末可能将其价值推至 130,000 美元的范围。
However, the 5th percentile in the simulation indicates a more conservative outlook, projecting a potential loss of 26% if momentum falters over the next 12 months.
然而,模拟中的第 5 个百分位表明了更为保守的前景,预计如果未来 12 个月势头减弱,可能会损失 26%。
The 95th percentile in the simulation, on the other hand, suggests even more aggressive gains, projecting cumulative returns reaching up to 465% if momentum surges beyond expectations.
另一方面,模拟中的第 95 个百分位表明收益更为激进,如果势头飙升超出预期,预计累积回报率将高达 465%。
Crucial Support Bitcoin Must Hold to Confirm a Sustainable Uptrend
比特币必须保持关键支撑才能确认可持续的上升趋势
The analysis also highlighted signs of market overheating, which could challenge this projection.
该分析还强调了市场过热的迹象,这可能会挑战这一预测。
Bitcoin has been in an uptrend since September 18, following the Fed's interest rate cut. During this period, the leading asset has risen by over 20% from $57,628. Although it briefly revisited the $59,000 level earlier this month, the retracement led to a stronger rebound to $69,500 by October 21.
自 9 月 18 日美联储降息以来,比特币一直处于上涨趋势。在此期间,领先资产从 57,628 美元上涨了 20% 以上。尽管本月早些时候曾短暂重返 59,000 美元水平,但回调导致 10 月 21 日更强劲反弹至 69,500 美元。
Bitcoin continues to struggle around this threshold, with market participants awaiting the next decisive move.
比特币继续在这一门槛附近挣扎,市场参与者正在等待下一个决定性举措。
Ecoinometrics noted that Bitcoin's ability to sustain itself above $65,000 is essential for maintaining a strong long-term outlook. Analyst Rekt Capital expressed similar optimism, stating that Bitcoin's outlook remains bullish as long as it stays above $66,000 by the end of the week.
Ecoinometrics 指出,比特币维持在 65,000 美元以上的能力对于维持强劲的长期前景至关重要。分析师 Rekt Capital 也表达了类似的乐观态度,表示只要比特币到本周末保持在 66,000 美元以上,其前景仍然看涨。
While Ecoinometrics suggests $130,000 as Bitcoin's minimum target in a continued bull run, analysts at Bernstein have released a new analysis suggesting that even $200,000 would be a conservative price outlook for Bitcoin by 2025.
虽然计量经济学建议 13 万美元作为比特币持续牛市的最低目标,但 Bernstein 分析师发布的一项新分析表明,到 2025 年,即使是 20 万美元也将是比特币的保守价格前景。
DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not necessarily reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do their own research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
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