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看漲預測假設比特幣和更廣泛的股市都將在明年保持強勁的積極勢頭。
Bitcoin price is set to “at least” double if the current breakout proves to be genuine, according to a new analysis by Ecoinometrics.
根據 Ecoinometrics 的一項新分析,如果當前的突破被證明是真實的,比特幣價格將「至少」翻倍。
Bitcoin’s price tanked to $65,188 on Wednesday after trading at a three-month high of $69,500 on Monday, battling bearish momentum. A recovery is already underway, with Bitcoin posting a mild 0.3% gain today, trading at $67,132 at the time of writing.
比特幣價格週一觸及三個月高點 69,500 美元,週三跌至 65,188 美元,與看跌勢頭作鬥爭。復甦已經開始,比特幣今天小幅上漲 0.3%,截至撰寫本文時交易價格為 67,132 美元。
While opinions vary on whether Bitcoin will cross $70,000 or drop below $60,000, Ecoinometrics has offered a bold analysis suggesting that Bitcoin’s price must “at least” double in the next 12 months.
儘管對於比特幣是否會突破 70,000 美元還是跌破 60,000 美元意見不一,Ecoinometrics 提供了一項大膽的分析,表明比特幣的價格在未來 12 個月內「至少」必須翻倍。
Why Bitcoin Could See “At Least” 100% Price Growth
為什麼比特幣的價格成長「至少」100%
The bullish projection assumes that both Bitcoin and the broader stock market will maintain strong positive momentum over the next year. Under this scenario, the median expectation is for Bitcoin to gain about 100%, potentially pushing its value into the $130,000 range by late 2025.
看漲預測假設比特幣和更廣泛的股市都將在明年保持強勁的積極勢頭。在這種情況下,比特幣的平均預期漲幅約為 100%,到 2025 年底,其價值可能達到 13 萬美元。
However, the 5th percentile in the simulation indicates a more conservative outlook, projecting a potential loss of 26% if momentum falters over the next 12 months.
然而,模擬中的第 5 個百分位顯示了更保守的前景,預計如果未來 12 個月勢頭減弱,可能會損失 26%。
The 95th percentile in the simulation, on the other hand, suggests even more aggressive gains, projecting cumulative returns reaching up to 465% if momentum surges beyond expectations.
另一方面,模擬中的第 95 個百分位數表明收益更為激進,如果勢頭飆升超出預期,預計累積回報率將高達 465%。
Crucial Support Bitcoin Must Hold to Confirm a Sustainable Uptrend
比特幣必須保持關鍵支撐才能確認可持續的上升趨勢
The analysis also highlighted signs of market overheating, which could challenge this projection.
該分析還強調了市場過熱的跡象,這可能會挑戰這一預測。
Bitcoin has been in an uptrend since September 18, following the Fed's interest rate cut. During this period, the leading asset has risen by over 20% from $57,628. Although it briefly revisited the $59,000 level earlier this month, the retracement led to a stronger rebound to $69,500 by October 21.
自 9 月 18 日聯準會降息以來,比特幣一直處於上漲趨勢。在此期間,領先資產從 57,628 美元上漲了 20% 以上。儘管本月稍早短暫重返 59,000 美元水平,但回調導致 10 月 21 日更強勁反彈至 69,500 美元。
Bitcoin continues to struggle around this threshold, with market participants awaiting the next decisive move.
比特幣繼續在這一門檻附近掙扎,市場參與者正在等待下一個決定性舉措。
Ecoinometrics noted that Bitcoin's ability to sustain itself above $65,000 is essential for maintaining a strong long-term outlook. Analyst Rekt Capital expressed similar optimism, stating that Bitcoin's outlook remains bullish as long as it stays above $66,000 by the end of the week.
Ecoinometrics 指出,比特幣維持在 65,000 美元以上的能力對於維持強勁的長期前景至關重要。分析師 Rekt Capital 也表達了類似的樂觀態度,表示只要比特幣到本週末保持在 66,000 美元以上,其前景仍然看漲。
While Ecoinometrics suggests $130,000 as Bitcoin's minimum target in a continued bull run, analysts at Bernstein have released a new analysis suggesting that even $200,000 would be a conservative price outlook for Bitcoin by 2025.
雖然計量經濟學建議 13 萬美元作為比特幣持續牛市的最低目標,但 Bernstein 分析師發布的一項新分析表明,到 2025 年,即使是 20 萬美元也將是比特幣的保守價格前景。
DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not necessarily reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do their own research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
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