尽管加密货币积极，但比特币（BTC）价格在宏观经济数据之前下跌

尽管过去一周出现了一些加密货币积极因素，从美国证券交易委员会监管立场的转变到唐纳德·特朗普总统成立加密货币工作组，但比特币在新的一周之前仍处于亏损状态。

Bitcoin is trading in the red on Monday, January 27, with the apex cryptocurrency down 7% from Sunday’s highs.

1 月 27 日星期一，比特币交易出现亏损，这种顶级加密货币较周日高点下跌了 7%。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading around $98,600, a significant drop from Sunday’s highs of about $105,500.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格约为 98,600 美元，较周日约 105,500 美元的高点大幅下跌。

This price action comes amid several market jitters and macroeconomic developments expected this week.

此次价格走势是在市场出现一些不安情绪以及预计本周宏观经济发展的背景下发生的。

Bitcoin price dropped on Monday as traders reacted to several macroeconomic developments. / Image via CryptoSlate

由于交易员对宏观经济发展做出反应，比特币价格周一下跌。 / 图片来自 CryptoSlate

Bitcoin Price Drops as Interest Rate Decision Looms

随着利率决定的临近，比特币价格下跌

These developments include the U.S. interest rate decision following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting, the ECB interest rate decision, and the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure index, slated for release on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, respectively.

这些进展包括联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议后的美国利率决定、欧洲央行利率决定以及定于周三、周四和周五分别发布的美国个人消费支出指数。

Bitcoin’s price reaction suggests that traders are taking profits and erring on the side of caution ahead of these releases.

比特币的价格反应表明，交易者正在获利了结，并在这些发布之前保持谨慎。

Economists do not see these major central banks turning dovish just yet. Per TRADING ECONOMICS forecasts, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank could maintain current interest rates as they continue to target 2% inflation.

经济学家认为这些主要央行尚未变得鸽派。根据 TRADING ECONOMICS 的预测，美联储和欧洲央行都可能维持当前利率，因为他们继续将通胀目标定为 2%。

This outlook could keep investors cautious and risk-averse, especially regarding assets like Bitcoin in the short term.

这种前景可能会让投资者保持谨慎和规避风险，尤其是在短期内对待比特币等资产。

Complicating the outlook further is the month-on-month core PCE index, which economists predict will see a 0.1% uptick to 0.2%.

令前景进一步复杂化的是环比核心PCE指数，经济学家预测该指数将上涨0.1%至0.2%。

This outlook could bolster the Fed’s confidence in keeping rates steady or even considering a hike, as some have recently alluded to.

正如一些人最近提到的那样，这种前景可能会增强美联储保持利率稳定甚至考虑加息的信心。

Speaking on a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Friday, January 24, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said there was a possibility of a rate hike in the coming year.

1 月 24 日星期五，贝莱德首席执行官拉里·芬克在瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛的一个小组上发表讲话时表示，明年有可能加息。

Fink argued for such an outcome, citing the continued resilience of the U.S. economy and the bond market.

芬克主张这样的结果，理由是美国经济和债券市场的持续弹性。

The BlackRock chief is not the first to express this view. Following higher-than-expected jobs numbers released earlier in the month, Bank of America said that the Fed was now more likely to raise rates than continue cutting.

这位贝莱德首席执行官并不是第一个表达这一观点的人。在本月早些时候发布高于预期的就业数据后，美国银行表示，美联储现在更有可能加息，而不是继续降息。

Beyond interest rate concerns, recent speculation that the U.S. AI sector is overvalued may also be driving risk-off sentiment, which could be spilling over into the Bitcoin market.

除了利率担忧之外，最近对美国人工智能行业估值过高的猜测也可能推动避险情绪，这种情绪可能会蔓延到比特币市场。