儘管加密貨幣積極，但比特幣（BTC）價格在宏觀經濟數據之前下跌

儘管過去一周出現了一些加密貨幣積極因素，從美國證券交易委員會監管立場的轉變到唐納德·特朗普總統成立加密貨幣工作組，但比特幣在新的一周之前仍處於虧損狀態。

Bitcoin is trading in the red on Monday, January 27, with the apex cryptocurrency down 7% from Sunday’s highs.

1 月 27 日星期一，比特幣交易出現虧損，這種頂級加密貨幣較週日高點下跌了 7%。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading around $98,600, a significant drop from Sunday’s highs of about $105,500.

截至撰寫本文時，BTC 交易價格約為 98,600 美元，較週日約 105,500 美元的高點大幅下跌。

This price action comes amid several market jitters and macroeconomic developments expected this week.

這次的價格走勢是在市場出現一些不安情緒以及本週宏觀經濟發展的背景下發生。

Bitcoin price dropped on Monday as traders reacted to several macroeconomic developments. / Image via CryptoSlate

由於交易員對宏觀經濟發展做出反應，比特幣價格週一下跌。 / 圖片來自 CryptoSlate

Bitcoin Price Drops as Interest Rate Decision Looms

隨著利率決定的臨近，比特幣價格下跌

These developments include the U.S. interest rate decision following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting, the ECB interest rate decision, and the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure index, slated for release on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, respectively.

這些進展包括聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議後的美國利率決定、歐洲央行利率決定以及定於週三、週四和週五分別發布的美國個人消費支出指數。

Bitcoin’s price reaction suggests that traders are taking profits and erring on the side of caution ahead of these releases.

比特幣的價格反應表明，交易者正在獲利了結，並在這些發布之前保持謹慎。

Economists do not see these major central banks turning dovish just yet. Per TRADING ECONOMICS forecasts, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank could maintain current interest rates as they continue to target 2% inflation.

經濟學家認為這些主要央行尚未變成鴿派。根據 TRADING ECONOMICS 的預測，聯準會和歐洲央行都可能維持當前利率，因為他們繼續將通膨目標定為 2%。

This outlook could keep investors cautious and risk-averse, especially regarding assets like Bitcoin in the short term.

這種前景可能會讓投資者保持謹慎和規避風險，尤其是在短期內對待比特幣等資產。

Complicating the outlook further is the month-on-month core PCE index, which economists predict will see a 0.1% uptick to 0.2%.

令前景更為複雜的是環比核心PCE指數，經濟學家預測該指數將上漲0.1%至0.2%。

This outlook could bolster the Fed’s confidence in keeping rates steady or even considering a hike, as some have recently alluded to.

正如一些人最近提到的那樣，這種前景可能會增強聯準會保持利率穩定甚至考慮升息的信心。

Speaking on a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Friday, January 24, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said there was a possibility of a rate hike in the coming year.

1 月 24 日星期五，貝萊德執行長拉里·芬克在瑞士達沃斯世界經濟論壇的一個小組上發表講話時表示，明年有可能加息。

Fink argued for such an outcome, citing the continued resilience of the U.S. economy and the bond market.

芬克主張這樣的結果，理由是美國經濟和債券市場的持續彈性。

The BlackRock chief is not the first to express this view. Following higher-than-expected jobs numbers released earlier in the month, Bank of America said that the Fed was now more likely to raise rates than continue cutting.

這位貝萊德執行長並不是第一個表達這一觀點的人。在本月稍早發布高於預期的就業數據後，美國銀行表示，聯準會現在更有可能升息，而不是繼續降息。

Beyond interest rate concerns, recent speculation that the U.S. AI sector is overvalued may also be driving risk-off sentiment, which could be spilling over into the Bitcoin market.

除了利率擔憂之外，最近對美國人工智慧產業估值過高的猜測也可能推動避險情緒，這種情緒可能會蔓延到比特幣市場。