|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
比特币经历了大幅上涨,从周日的低点 62,050 美元攀升至周一晚间的峰值 66,500 美元。截至周二,BTC 价格在这一关键阻力位下方小幅回调,但徘徊在 65,000 美元上方。
Bitcoin price surged from a low of $62,050 on Sunday to reach a peak of $66,500 late Monday. On Tuesday, the BTC price showed a slight correction from this key resistance level, but it still hovered above $65,000.
比特币价格从周日的 62,050 美元低点飙升至周一晚间的 66,500 美元峰值。周二,比特币价格从这一关键阻力位小幅回调,但仍徘徊在 65,000 美元上方。
Several factors contributed to the rally, including a short squeeze coinciding with the upcoming US elections, strong demand in the spot Bitcoin market, and substantial inflows into US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
多种因素促成了此次上涨,包括即将到来的美国大选期间的轧空、现货比特币市场的强劲需求以及大量资金流入美国现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)。
Short Squeeze And US Election Influence
空头挤压和美国大选的影响
Yesterday’s price surge can be partly attributed to the liquidation of leveraged short positions. Singapore-based trading firm QCP Capital writes in their latest investor note that nearly $80 million worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum leveraged shorts were liquidated, applying upward pressure on the market.
昨天的价格飙升部分归因于杠杆空头头寸的清算。新加坡交易公司 QCP Capital 在最新投资者报告中写道,价值近 8000 万美元的比特币和以太坊杠杆空头被清算,给市场带来上行压力。
While some speculate that the postponement of Mt. Gox’s repayment deadline to October 2025 played a role, this news was already published on Friday, suggesting other factors were at play during Monday’s rally.
尽管一些人猜测 Mt. Gox 的还款期限推迟至 2025 年 10 月起到了一定作用,但这一消息已于周五发布,表明周一的上涨还有其他因素在发挥作用。
“Although there could be many factors that could explain today’s move, it is quite an interesting time if we look at historical price action. We are in the middle of October and just three weeks away from the US elections,” QCP Capital notes.
“尽管可能有很多因素可以解释今天的走势,但如果我们看看历史价格走势,这是一个非常有趣的时刻。现在正值 10 月中旬,距离美国大选只有三周时间。”QCP Capital 指出。
In both 2016 and 2020, Bitcoin remained in a tight trading range for months before initiating a significant rally approximately three weeks before the US Election Day.
在 2016 年和 2020 年,比特币在几个月内一直保持在窄幅交易区间,然后在美国选举日前约三周开始大幅反弹。
In 2016, Bitcoin doubled in price from $600 by the first week of January following the election. Similarly, in 2020, it surged from $11,000 to a high of $42,000 by January.
2016 年,到大选后 1 月的第一周,比特币的价格从 600 美元翻了一番。同样,2020 年 1 月,它从 11,000 美元飙升至 42,000 美元的高位。
This year, October—often referred to as “Uptober” due to its historically strong performance—has been underwhelming, with Bitcoin up just 1.2% compared to an average of 21%.
今年 10 月(由于其历史上的强劲表现,通常被称为“Uptober”)表现平平,比特币仅上涨 1.2%,而平均涨幅为 21%。
The current rally, occurring three weeks before the US elections, suggests that history might be repeating itself, potentially leading to further price appreciation as investor optimism builds.
目前的上涨发生在美国大选前三周,这表明历史可能会重演,随着投资者乐观情绪的增强,可能会导致价格进一步升值。
Strong Demand For Bitcoin
对比特币的强劲需求
For the first time since mid-2023, Bitcoin’s buy orders are matching sell orders in spot market order books across exchanges. Ki Young Ju, Founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, highlighted this development via X: “Bitcoin buy walls on all exchanges are now strong enough to neutralize sell walls.”
自 2023 年中期以来,比特币的买入订单首次与各交易所现货市场订单簿中的卖出订单相匹配。 CryptoQuant 创始人兼首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 通过 X 强调了这一发展:“所有交易所的比特币买入墙现在都足够强大,可以抵消卖出墙。”
This shift marks a significant change from the trend observed since May 2021.
这一转变标志着自 2021 年 5 月以来观察到的趋势发生了重大变化。
“Data from the last cycle (2020-2022). It’s the accumulated difference between quoted buy and sell volumes. Since May 2021, sell walls had been consistently thicker than buy walls until the end of the cycle,” Young Ju shared.
“上一个周期(2020-2022)的数据。它是报价买入量和卖出量之间的累计差异。自 2021 年 5 月以来,直到周期结束,卖出墙一直比买入墙厚,”Young Ju 分享道。
Surge In Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows
比特币 ETF 现货流入激增
Monday witnessed one of the highest Bitcoin ETF inflows on record, totaling $555.9 million—the largest net inflow day since June 3. This substantial capital influx was spread among several major asset managers.
周一见证了有记录以来最高的比特币 ETF 流入量之一,总计 5.559 亿美元,这是自 6 月 3 日以来最大的净流入日。这一巨额资金流入分布在几家主要资产管理公司之间。
BlackRock received $79.5 million, Fidelity attracted $239.3 million, Bitwise accumulated $100.2 million, Ark Invest saw inflows of $69.8 million and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) experienced inflows of $37.8 million.
贝莱德 (BlackRock) 获得 7,950 万美元资金,富达 (Fidelity) 资金流入 2.393 亿美元,Bitwise 累计资金 1.002 亿美元,Ark Invest 资金流入 6,980 万美元,灰度比特币信托 (GBTC) 资金流入 3,780 万美元。
Nate Geraci, President of The ETF Store and host of the ETF Prime podcast, commented on these inflows via X: “Monster day for spot btc ETFs… $550mil inflows.
The ETF Store 总裁兼 ETF Prime 播客主持人 Nate Geraci 通过 X 评论了这些资金流入:“现货 BTC ETF 的怪物日……流入了 5.5 亿美元。
Now approaching *$20bil* net inflows in 10mos. Simply ridiculous & blows away every pre-launch demand estimate. This is NOT “degen retail” $$$ IMO. It’s advisors & institutional investors continuing to slowly adopt.”
现在 10 个月内净流入将接近*200 亿美元*。简直太荒谬了,并且超出了所有发布前的需求估计。在我看来,这不是“德根零售”$$$。顾问和机构投资者继续缓慢采用。”
At press time, BTC traded at $65,750.
截至发稿时,BTC 交易价格为 65,750 美元。
免责声明:info@kdj.com
所提供的信息并非交易建议。根据本文提供的信息进行的任何投资,kdj.com不承担任何责任。加密货币具有高波动性,强烈建议您深入研究后,谨慎投资!
如您认为本网站上使用的内容侵犯了您的版权,请立即联系我们(info@kdj.com),我们将及时删除。
-
- 到 2025 年 1 月,前 5 名加密货币宝石将飙升 100 倍!
- 2024-10-16 00:20:02
- 随着加密货币市场的发展,精明的投资者知道,获得非凡利润的关键是识别具有未开发潜力的新兴项目。