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比特幣經歷了大幅上漲,從週日的低點 62,050 美元攀升至週一晚間的峰值 66,500 美元。截至週二,BTC 價格在這一關鍵阻力位下方小幅回調,但徘徊在 65,000 美元上方。
Bitcoin price surged from a low of $62,050 on Sunday to reach a peak of $66,500 late Monday. On Tuesday, the BTC price showed a slight correction from this key resistance level, but it still hovered above $65,000.
比特幣價格從週日的 62,050 美元低點飆升至週一晚間的 66,500 美元高峰。週二,比特幣價格從這一關鍵阻力位小幅回調,但仍徘徊在 65,000 美元上方。
Several factors contributed to the rally, including a short squeeze coinciding with the upcoming US elections, strong demand in the spot Bitcoin market, and substantial inflows into US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
多種因素促成了此次上漲,包括即將到來的美國大選期間的軋空、現貨比特幣市場的強勁需求以及大量資金流入美國現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)。
Short Squeeze And US Election Influence
空頭擠壓與美國大選的影響
Yesterday’s price surge can be partly attributed to the liquidation of leveraged short positions. Singapore-based trading firm QCP Capital writes in their latest investor note that nearly $80 million worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum leveraged shorts were liquidated, applying upward pressure on the market.
昨天的價格飆升部分歸因於槓桿空頭部位的清算。新加坡交易公司 QCP Capital 在最新投資者報告中寫道,價值近 8,000 萬美元的比特幣和以太坊槓桿空頭被清算,給市場帶來上行壓力。
While some speculate that the postponement of Mt. Gox’s repayment deadline to October 2025 played a role, this news was already published on Friday, suggesting other factors were at play during Monday’s rally.
儘管有些人猜測 Mt. Gox 的還款期限推遲至 2025 年 10 月起到了一定作用,但這一消息已於週五發布,表明週一的上漲還有其他因素在發揮作用。
“Although there could be many factors that could explain today’s move, it is quite an interesting time if we look at historical price action. We are in the middle of October and just three weeks away from the US elections,” QCP Capital notes.
「儘管可能有很多因素可以解釋今天的走勢,但如果我們看看歷史價格走勢,這是一個非常有趣的時刻。現在正值 10 月中旬,距離美國大選只有三週。
In both 2016 and 2020, Bitcoin remained in a tight trading range for months before initiating a significant rally approximately three weeks before the US Election Day.
在 2016 年和 2020 年,比特幣在幾個月內一直保持在窄幅交易區間,然後在美國選舉日前約三週開始大幅反彈。
In 2016, Bitcoin doubled in price from $600 by the first week of January following the election. Similarly, in 2020, it surged from $11,000 to a high of $42,000 by January.
2016 年,到大選後 1 月的第一周,比特幣的價格從 600 美元翻了一番。同樣,2020 年 1 月,它從 11,000 美元飆升至 42,000 美元的高點。
This year, October—often referred to as “Uptober” due to its historically strong performance—has been underwhelming, with Bitcoin up just 1.2% compared to an average of 21%.
今年 10 月(由於其歷史上的強勁表現,通常被稱為「Uptober」)表現平平,比特幣僅上漲 1.2%,而平均漲幅為 21%。
The current rally, occurring three weeks before the US elections, suggests that history might be repeating itself, potentially leading to further price appreciation as investor optimism builds.
目前的上漲發生在美國大選前三週,這表明歷史可能會重演,隨著投資者樂觀情緒的增強,可能會導致價格進一步升值。
Strong Demand For Bitcoin
對比特幣的強勁需求
For the first time since mid-2023, Bitcoin’s buy orders are matching sell orders in spot market order books across exchanges. Ki Young Ju, Founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, highlighted this development via X: “Bitcoin buy walls on all exchanges are now strong enough to neutralize sell walls.”
自 2023 年中期以來,比特幣的買入訂單首次與各交易所現貨市場訂單簿中的賣出訂單相符。 CryptoQuant 創始人兼首席執行官 Ki Young Ju 透過 X 強調了這一發展:“所有交易所的比特幣買入牆現在都足夠強大,可以抵消賣出牆。”
This shift marks a significant change from the trend observed since May 2021.
這一轉變標誌著自 2021 年 5 月以來觀察到的趨勢發生了重大變化。
“Data from the last cycle (2020-2022). It’s the accumulated difference between quoted buy and sell volumes. Since May 2021, sell walls had been consistently thicker than buy walls until the end of the cycle,” Young Ju shared.
「上一個週期(2020-2022)的資料。它是報價買入量和賣出量之間的累積差異。自 2021 年 5 月以來,直到週期結束,賣出牆一直比買入牆厚,」Young Ju 分享道。
Surge In Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows
比特幣 ETF 現貨流入激增
Monday witnessed one of the highest Bitcoin ETF inflows on record, totaling $555.9 million—the largest net inflow day since June 3. This substantial capital influx was spread among several major asset managers.
週一見證了有史以來最高的比特幣ETF 流入量之一,總計5.559 億美元,這是自6 月3 日以來最大的淨流入日。 。
BlackRock received $79.5 million, Fidelity attracted $239.3 million, Bitwise accumulated $100.2 million, Ark Invest saw inflows of $69.8 million and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) experienced inflows of $37.8 million.
貝萊德(BlackRock) 獲得7,950 萬美元資金,富達(Fidelity) 資金流入2.393 億美元,Bitwise 累計資金1.002 億美元,Ark Invest 資金流入6,980 萬美元,灰度比特幣信託(GBTC) 資金流入3,780 萬美元。
Nate Geraci, President of The ETF Store and host of the ETF Prime podcast, commented on these inflows via X: “Monster day for spot btc ETFs… $550mil inflows.
The ETF Store 總裁兼 ETF Prime 播客主持人 Nate Geraci 透過 X 評論了這些資金流入:「現貨 BTC ETF 的怪物日……流入了 5.5 億美元。
Now approaching *$20bil* net inflows in 10mos. Simply ridiculous & blows away every pre-launch demand estimate. This is NOT “degen retail” $$$ IMO. It’s advisors & institutional investors continuing to slowly adopt.”
現在 10 個月內淨流入將接近*200 億美元*。簡直太荒謬了,並且超出了所有發布前的需求估計。在我看來,這不是「德根零售」$$$。顧問和機構投資者繼續緩慢採用。
At press time, BTC traded at $65,750.
截至發稿時,BTC 交易價格為 65,750 美元。
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