比特币（BTC）的价格预测：2025年它会达到2025年的$ 200k吗？

比特币继续证明其怀疑论者是错误的。截至2月7日下午的撰写本文时，每枚硬币的交易价格为97,300美元。

Bitcoin (BTC -2.73%) continues to defy its skeptics. At the time of writing on the afternoon of Feb. 7, it trades at $97,300 per coin. That figure is up 130% in one year and 906% over the past five.

比特币（BTC -2.73％）继续无视其怀疑论者。在2月7日下午撰写本文时，每枚硬币的交易价格为97,300美元。这个数字在一年内增长了130％，在过去五个中增长了906％。

The bulls are setting their sights on the next milestone to be achieved in a short period of time. A whopping 68% of cryptocurrency investors believe Bitcoin will hit $200,000 in 2025. While that certainly seems like a very optimistic scenario in less than 11 months' time, here's why those believers could be proven right.

公牛将目光投向了下一个里程碑，将在短时间内实现。高达68％的加密货币投资者认为，比特币将在2025年达到200,000美元。虽然这似乎在不到11个月的时间内似乎是非常乐观的情况，但这就是为什么这些信徒可以被证明是正确的原因。

Past catalysts

过去的催化剂

The trajectory that Bitcoin is on is quite impressive. It all started in early January 2024 with the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These provided a regulatory-compliant way for anyone to gain exposure to Bitcoin's price in a convenient way. They have seen massive amounts of capital inflows.

比特币的轨迹令人印象深刻。这一切始于2024年1月初，并批准了比特币ETF。这些为任何人以方便的方式获得了符合法规的方式。他们看到了大量的资本流入。

What's more, in April of last year, Bitcoin's network underwent another halving. This cut in half the amount of new Bitcoin that miners receive when approving transactions to the blockchain. This critical event not only enforces the crypto's predetermined inflation rate, but it has typically preceded a bullish march forward for Bitcoin's price. We have been experiencing this firsthand in the past year.

更重要的是，去年4月，比特币的网络又减少了一半。这减少了矿工批准交易到区块链时收到的新比特币的一半。这项关键事件不仅可以实施加密货币的预定通货膨胀率，而且通常在比分币的价格前向前进的前进。在过去的一年中，我们已经亲身经历了这一第一手。

Bitcoin is becoming legitimate

比特币正变得合理

I believe that Bitcoin's next catalyst will come from its being viewed more as a legitimate financial asset in the minds of powerful people. This means politicians in Washington and financiers on Wall Street will no longer brush Bitcoin to the side.

我相信，比特币的下一个催化剂将源于在有权势人民的心中被视为合法的金融资产。这意味着华盛顿的政客和华尔街的金融家将不再将比特币刷在一边。

To be clear, we have already started to see this play out during the presidential campaign trail, with Donald Trump voicing his support for Bitcoin.

需要明确的是，我们已经开始在总统竞选期间看到这场比赛，唐纳德·特朗普表达了对比特币的支持。

Perhaps the most notable thing he said was that he wants the U.S. to build a Bitcoin strategic reserve. Details on how exactly this would be implemented are scarce. However, it's an obvious sign that this top digital asset is now being taken seriously as a potential tool to fix the government's fiscal situation.

他说的最显着的可能是他希望美国建立比特币战略储备。有关如何确切实施的详细信息很少。但是，这是一个明显的迹象表明，现在，该顶级数字资产正在认真对待解决政府财政状况的潜在工具。

There are 15 states that have shown an interest in adding Bitcoin to their own balance sheets. Banks might soon start to custody Bitcoin.

有15个州对在自己的资产负债表中添加比特币有兴趣。银行可能很快就开始接受监护比特币。

Also, there was a recent accounting rule change that makes corporations report their Bitcoin holdings at fair value on their balance sheets. Based on Bitcoin's historical rise, this can provide an impactful earnings bump to companies that can impress their shareholders.

此外，最近发生的会计规则更改使公司报告其比特币持有的资产负债表。根据比特币的历史上升，这可以为可以打动其股东的公司带来有影响力的收入颠簸。

If the U.S. somehow gets a Bitcoin strategic reserve off the ground, just imagine how many countries across the world will follow in our footsteps. And if individual states and more companies start doing the same thing, it could open up the floodgates. No one will want to get left behind.

如果美国以某种方式获得了比特币战略储备，请想象一下我们的脚步将遵循世界上有多少个国家。而且，如果各个州和越来越多的公司开始做同样的事情，它可能会打开闸门。没有人会愿意被抛在后面。

That could add tremendous buying pressure to Bitcoin. Because its total supply can't be altered to meet surging interest, we can safely assume the price will skyrocket.

这可能会给比特币增加巨大的购买压力。由于无法更改其总供应以满足激增的兴趣，因此我们可以肯定地假设价格会飙升。

Making accurate forecasts is hard

进行准确的预测很难

Bitcoin's rise over the past decade and a half is truly remarkable. To see its price increase about 100% to $200,000 over the course of this year, which would be a fantastic gain for any other asset class, would actually not be out of the ordinary for the world's oldest and most valuable crypto.

在过去的十年中，比特币的崛起确实很了不起。为了看到今年的价格上涨了约100％，至200,000美元，对于任何其他资产类别来说，这将是一个巨大的收益，实际上，对于世界上最古老，最有价值的加密货币而言，这实际上不会与众不同。

However, investors must realize that making predictions, while a fun exercise, is impossible to do accurately on a consistent basis. There are many unknown variables at play that can impact Bitcoin's price in 2025, like macro factors, regulatory developments, or changing investor sentiment.

但是，投资者必须意识到，在一个有趣的练习中做出预测是不可能一致地准确地做的。有许多未知的变量在起作用，可能会影响2025年比特币的价格，例如宏观因素，监管发展或不断变化的投资者情绪。

Therefore, the best thing investors can do is to decide if Bitcoin is an asset they want to own for the long haul. If you're willing to own it for five or 10 years, then perhaps it's time to add the digital asset to your portfolio.

因此，投资者可以做的最好的事情是确定比特币是否是他们想要长期拥有的资产。如果您愿意拥有五到十年，那么也许是时候将数字资产添加到您的投资组合中了。