比特幣（BTC）的價格預測：2025年它會達到2025年的$ 200k嗎？

比特幣繼續證明其懷疑論者是錯誤的。截至2月7日下午的撰寫本文時，每枚硬幣的交易價格為97,300美元。

Bitcoin (BTC -2.73%) continues to defy its skeptics. At the time of writing on the afternoon of Feb. 7, it trades at $97,300 per coin. That figure is up 130% in one year and 906% over the past five.

比特幣（BTC -2.73％）繼續無視其懷疑論者。在2月7日下午撰寫本文時，每枚硬幣的交易價格為97,300美元。這個數字在一年內增長了130％，在過去五個中增長了906％。

The bulls are setting their sights on the next milestone to be achieved in a short period of time. A whopping 68% of cryptocurrency investors believe Bitcoin will hit $200,000 in 2025. While that certainly seems like a very optimistic scenario in less than 11 months' time, here's why those believers could be proven right.

公牛將目光投向了下一個里程碑，將在短時間內實現。高達68％的加密貨幣投資者認為，比特幣將在2025年達到200,000美元。雖然這似乎在不到11個月的時間內似乎是非常樂觀的情況，但這就是為什麼這些信徒可以被證明是正確的原因。

Past catalysts

過去的催化劑

The trajectory that Bitcoin is on is quite impressive. It all started in early January 2024 with the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These provided a regulatory-compliant way for anyone to gain exposure to Bitcoin's price in a convenient way. They have seen massive amounts of capital inflows.

比特幣的軌跡令人印象深刻。這一切始於2024年1月初，並批准了比特幣ETF。這些為任何人以方便的方式獲得了符合法規的方式。他們看到了大量的資本流入。

What's more, in April of last year, Bitcoin's network underwent another halving. This cut in half the amount of new Bitcoin that miners receive when approving transactions to the blockchain. This critical event not only enforces the crypto's predetermined inflation rate, but it has typically preceded a bullish march forward for Bitcoin's price. We have been experiencing this firsthand in the past year.

更重要的是，去年4月，比特幣的網絡又減少了一半。這減少了礦工批准交易到區塊鏈時收到的新比特幣的一半。這項關鍵事件不僅可以實施加密貨幣的預定通貨膨脹率，而且通常在比分幣的價格前向前進的前進。在過去的一年中，我們已經親身經歷了這一第一手。

Bitcoin is becoming legitimate

比特幣正變得合理

I believe that Bitcoin's next catalyst will come from its being viewed more as a legitimate financial asset in the minds of powerful people. This means politicians in Washington and financiers on Wall Street will no longer brush Bitcoin to the side.

我相信，比特幣的下一個催化劑將源於在有權勢人民的心中被視為合法的金融資產。這意味著華盛頓的政客和華爾街的金融家將不再將比特幣刷在一邊。

To be clear, we have already started to see this play out during the presidential campaign trail, with Donald Trump voicing his support for Bitcoin.

需要明確的是，我們已經開始在總統競選期間看到這場比賽，唐納德·特朗普表達了對比特幣的支持。

Perhaps the most notable thing he said was that he wants the U.S. to build a Bitcoin strategic reserve. Details on how exactly this would be implemented are scarce. However, it's an obvious sign that this top digital asset is now being taken seriously as a potential tool to fix the government's fiscal situation.

他說的最顯著的可能是他希望美國建立比特幣戰略儲備。有關如何確切實施的詳細信息很少。但是，這是一個明顯的跡象表明，現在，該頂級數字資產正在認真對待解決政府財政狀況的潛在工具。

There are 15 states that have shown an interest in adding Bitcoin to their own balance sheets. Banks might soon start to custody Bitcoin.

有15個州對在自己的資產負債表中添加比特幣有興趣。銀行可能很快就開始接受監護比特幣。

Also, there was a recent accounting rule change that makes corporations report their Bitcoin holdings at fair value on their balance sheets. Based on Bitcoin's historical rise, this can provide an impactful earnings bump to companies that can impress their shareholders.

此外，最近發生的會計規則更改使公司報告其比特幣持有的資產負債表。根據比特幣的歷史上升，這可以為可以打動其股東的公司帶來有影響力的收入顛簸。

If the U.S. somehow gets a Bitcoin strategic reserve off the ground, just imagine how many countries across the world will follow in our footsteps. And if individual states and more companies start doing the same thing, it could open up the floodgates. No one will want to get left behind.

如果美國以某種方式獲得了比特幣戰略儲備，請想像一下我們的腳步將遵循世界上有多少個國家。而且，如果各個州和越來越多的公司開始做同樣的事情，它可能會打開閘門。沒有人會願意被拋在後面。

That could add tremendous buying pressure to Bitcoin. Because its total supply can't be altered to meet surging interest, we can safely assume the price will skyrocket.

這可能會給比特幣增加巨大的購買壓力。由於無法更改其總供應以滿足激增的興趣，因此我們可以肯定地假設價格會飆升。

Making accurate forecasts is hard

進行準確的預測很難

Bitcoin's rise over the past decade and a half is truly remarkable. To see its price increase about 100% to $200,000 over the course of this year, which would be a fantastic gain for any other asset class, would actually not be out of the ordinary for the world's oldest and most valuable crypto.

在過去的十年中，比特幣的崛起確實很了不起。為了看到今年的價格上漲了約100％，至200,000美元，對於任何其他資產類別來說，這將是一個巨大的收益，實際上，對於世界上最古老，最有價值的加密貨幣而言，這實際上不會與眾不同。

However, investors must realize that making predictions, while a fun exercise, is impossible to do accurately on a consistent basis. There are many unknown variables at play that can impact Bitcoin's price in 2025, like macro factors, regulatory developments, or changing investor sentiment.

但是，投資者必須意識到，在一個有趣的練習中做出預測是不可能一致地準確地做的。有許多未知的變量在起作用，可能會影響2025年比特幣的價格，例如宏觀因素，監管發展或不斷變化的投資者情緒。

Therefore, the best thing investors can do is to decide if Bitcoin is an asset they want to own for the long haul. If you're willing to own it for five or 10 years, then perhaps it's time to add the digital asset to your portfolio.

因此，投資者可以做的最好的事情是確定比特幣是否是他們想要長期擁有的資產。如果您願意擁有五到十年，那麼也許是時候將數字資產添加到您的投資組合中了。